jolly red
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Posts posted by jolly red
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Well done to JB with Novellist :cow Finish off the Blog with a winner, I'll post the final figures tonight. Well Done mate, been good fun :clap
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Ascot 3.15: Lets see if we can finish this blog with a massive payday. Easily the toughest race of todays cards but Dubawi Sound at 50-1 looks too good to pass up. On his winning record he is weighted to the hilt but has been showing plenty of improvement. Started off this year with a campaign in Dubai, where he ran well in 3 races, a couple of big handicaps and a Group 3. First run back in this country was at Royal Ascot in the Buckingham Palace, where he finished down the field but only 6 lengths off the winner, considering that run came on the back of a 4 month layoff, that was a decent effort, dropped 2lb since that run. Beaten when Fav last time out but did get hampered a couple of times and easy to forgive him that run. 0.5 pt EW at 50-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. [TABLE=width: 416]
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 3.25 Yarmouth: This is real low grade stuff, only 3 previous winners in the field, two of which won sellers, so in reality this is no better than a seller. Planchette is no world beater by any means but her last two runs over 9f, one in a seller at Yarmouth, have seen her looking unable to go the pace over that trip but staying on at the finish. She steps up in trip today, which could bring about some improvement, her sire Mount Nelson, has had 3 winners of 5 races between them, over 12f and 14f. With the riders claim, she's racing off bottom weight and at the price, worth taking a chance that this stiffer test will suit. 0.5 pt EW at 33-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog.
5.15 Brighton: Surrey Dream was my selection when he last ran at Brighton a couple of runs back, only finished 5th that day, after being backed in from 12-1 to 5-1. Now running here in a seller and will give him a chance to redeem himself. 1 pt win at 7-1 bogBrighton 2.45 Surrey Dream is a modest looking maiden, still seeking its first win after 19 runs so far. Doesn't seem to stay a mile and lacks early pace for 6f but does stay on at the finish. Back at 6f today but it all depends on getting a good break and keeping in touch with the leaders on the downhill stretch, once they reach the climb at Brighton, this should be staying on. Last couple of runs over this trip look modest, well beaten in a C/D maiden, then a couple of days later, 6th of 9 at Goodwood. To be fair had little to no chance in those two runs, in the maiden he was trying to give weight to the front two, both of which have won since and are rated 79 and 80, at Goodwood he was racing 11lb out of the handicap. Has no excuses today, its all down to the first couple of furlongs and how much ground is lost, if able to keep up with the early pace, has his best chance of finally breaking the maiden tag. 0.5 pt Each Way at 12-1 bog -
Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 5.00 Musselburgh: Two runs this season from Prince of Vasa don't make for good reading, last of 7 and 8th of 11 runners on most recent outing. Which is a good enough reason to see him at 33-1 in the betting. Looking at his form, its easy to discount his two runs this year, he had a tough time of things from April 2011 and April 2012, had 22 runs within the space of those 12 months. His first outing this year, was on the back of a 14 month layoff, so entitled to need that run. Latest run was at Catterick, where he was drawn widest of all and just couldn't get competitive, being forced to run wide. Prior to his layoff, he had been in fairly good form on the AW at Southwell, winning twice. Should strip a lot fitter today and has a better draw at Mussleburgh, so worthy of a little EW. 0.5 pt EW at 33-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 2.45 Cartmel: todays racing is pretty dire and this handicap hurdle at Cartmel is possibly one of the worst races of the day. The Mongolian might be worth a little EW punt as she only has 4 runs under her belt and is far less exposed than most of her rivals. She is bred to stay all day, by Presenting out of a Scallywag mare, the Dam, Elegant City was a dual winner for Nicky Richards, winning a bumper and a novice hurdle. This mare had her first run following a 5 month break, when finishing 4th last time out. That was her first try over 2m 4f and the step up to 2m 6f should be in her favour. She should also strip a lot fitter for that recent run and gets into this handicap, from a reasonable mark of 82. 0.5 pt EW at 22-1 bog Non Runner
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 4.10 Redcar: Tough looking sprint handicap in which one of the old boy's Medici Time would have to be considered, on the best of his form. He is a law unto himself this old boy, which is reflected in how he runs. Last win was last summer when landing a £12K handicap at Newmarket, having previously been well beaten at York. Since that win he has run 6 times and finished, either last or 2nd last in each run. What he has in his favour today, race conditions ideal, lowest handicap mark for 3 years and the he is racing without any of his usual headgear on, which might be the spark he needs. He won his maiden over C/D as a 3yo, in the visor for the first time, winning at 40-1, hopefully a return to Redcar, without the visor, might see him return to form. 0.5 pt EW at 16-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Cheers JB I wouldn't worry too much about that last one, sometimes the Trainers don't even know how much a race has taken out of a horse, they can look fit and healthy as ever at home, only really tells during the race, by which time its too late
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 3.50 Newbury: The Weatherbys Super Sprint, 24 runners and all 24 would have a chance. The weights for this race are governed by the sales prices fetched at auction, so the more expensive the purchase, the more weight carried and equally the cheaper the purchase, the less weight carried. I'm going for one of the bottom weighted runners Oasis Town, one of four entries from the Kevin Ryan yard. This filly only cost £8,000 as a yearling, hence her low weight. Ryan usually runs 3 or 4 in this race every year and has gone mighty close in each of the last 6 running's with at least one of his entries. His record reads 3rd-3rd-5th-2nd-3rd-6th, so hopefully today he can win this with one of his runners and hopefully I've picked the right one. This filly is of interest as she may not have the form in the book of some of her rivals but she showed great improvement from her first run to win a run of the mill maiden auction at Carlisle, which may not sound great but it is also the same race that Ryan won with Bold Bidder in 2010 before that filly finished 2nd in this race, Bold Bidder had also had another run in between winning the Carlisle race and running 2nd in this, whereas this filly has seemingly been kept with this race in mind. 0.5 pt EW at 16-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. [TABLE=width: 416]
[TR] [TD=class: xl26, width: 139, bgcolor: #FFFF99] P & L Account [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 77, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Outlay [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 79, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Return [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 80, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Profit [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 89, bgcolor: #FFFF99] R.O.I. [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 91, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] April [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £8.00 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £2.75 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] -£5.25 [/TD] [TD=class: xl36, bgcolor: transparent] -66% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] May [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £56.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £75.46 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £18.96 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 34% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] June [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £47.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £85.67 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £38.17 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 80% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] July [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £34.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £86.27 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £51.77 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 150% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl32, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] Sub Total [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £146.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £250.15 [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £103.65 [/TD] [TD=class: xl34, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 71% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl29, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Results [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 1st [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 2nd [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 3rd [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Unplaced [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Strike Rate [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] April [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 1 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 0 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 4 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 14% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] May [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 12 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 6 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 8 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 42 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 18% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] June [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 10 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 7 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 5 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 28 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 20% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] July [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 12 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 3 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 19 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 33% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl32, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] Sub Total [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 35 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 18 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 15 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 93 [/TD] [TD=class: xl34, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 22% [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Today will be the day of the Unraced 2yo's for me, I won't go into great detail about Trainers and Pedigree etc, suffice to say that two come from the John Gosden yard and the other two from the Saeed Bin Suroor yard, both trainer highly capable of getting one ready for debut. All 4 have very good pedigree's, a couple have very good US pedigree's, the other two by Oasis Dream and Street Cry. Each of the 4 selections looks more than capable of making their debuts a winning one but should they fail, they still look the types to put into the notebooks for later in the season and for next year. 1.50 Newbury Muwaary @ 6-1 2.20 Newbury Terhaab @ 11-2 2.40 Haydock Strategical @ 7-2 6.20 Newmarket Folk Melody @ 3-1 1 pt win on each
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 5.10 Leicester: A very modest looking apprentice sprint handicap in which I'm taking a punt with The Bendy Fella. Late starter having his first run as a 4yo early last year on the AW at Kempton, where he had 3 quick runs in maidens, didn't show a great deal at big odds. Following a 10 month layoff, returned to Kempton for his first handicap run, was well backed and didn't run too badly, considering his wide draw and the time off. Also well backed in two of his next 3 runs at Kempton, the latest over a mile and the other two, missed the break both times. Having his first start on turf following a 4 month layoff, if he doesn't blow the start, could show a fair bit of improvement. Very speedy pedigree, by Choisir out of an unraced mare by Mummys Pet, so he is at least bred to be very speedy, although still to show it yet. 0.5 pt EW at 16-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 2.00 Lingfield: On the book, this maiden looks to be between 3 of the runners. Familiarity and Response have both had 3 tries at losing their maiden tags and come up short each time, both look capable enough to win this but I would rather side with the Stoute filly who makes her seasonal debut, having had just one run on the AW last year. Qareenah is a well bred filly, cost 340,000 Euros as a yearling, related to a few modest runners but also related a Group 1 winner in Ireland and is full sister to a Grade 1 winner in the States. Had just one run on the AW in what looked a fair maiden, produced some winners and the winner went on to land Group 3 in Meydan for the Godolphin team, her maiden was also run in a decent time, over a second quicker than division two. The step up in trip is also sure to benefit this filly and with the Stoute yard in far better form this year, than they were compared to last year, I would rather be on the side of this filly, even though the other two will have race fitness on their side. 1 pt win at 11-4 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 7.10 Sandown: With the front two in the market at 4-1 this 2yo maiden looks an open race. Hannon looks well represented with a couple of runners, ridden by Hughes and Moore, so will no doubt attract some support, Top of the Glas was made Fav on debut but was green and eventually finished 3rd, the form of that race hasn't worked out that strongly. I like the look of John Portmans Polar Express, the trainer runs two in here, both making their debuts. The selection is a gelded son of Sahkee's Secret out of a Polar Falcon mare. The dam Polar Dawn wasn't anything out of the ordinary but she was a winner twice and also finished runner up twice in her career, she very nearly made a winning debut as a 2yo, sent off a 33-1 chance, after taking a while to get the hang of things, she finished strongly and only beaten a nose by a much more experienced rival. John Portman is more than capable of getting one ready for debut, had his best ever year, last season with his 2yos, winning 6 from 35, of which 3 of those 6 winners made their debut a winning one. 0.5 pt each way at 20-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 4.30 Ayr: Adorable Choice isn't the most consistent mare but she is still capable on a going day. I backed her last time on the AW and she just wasn't interested from the off. She gave me the impression that day, that she may have been showing signs of coming into season, which would explain her lacklustre run, even though she isn't overly consistent. I'm ready to forgive her that recent run and hope the switch back to turf, might also spark a bit of interest from her. She hasn't won for a couple of years but both her wins in turf handicaps were on fast ground, over this trip and came from handicap marks between 10 and 14lbs higher than she is on now. 0.5 pt each way at 12-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. [TABLE=width: 416]
[TR] [TD=class: xl26, width: 139, bgcolor: #FFFF99] P & L Account [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 77, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Outlay [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 79, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Return [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 80, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Profit [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 89, bgcolor: #FFFF99] R.O.I. [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 91, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] April [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £8.00 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £2.75 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] -£5.25 [/TD] [TD=class: xl36, bgcolor: transparent] -66% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] May [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £56.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £75.46 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £18.96 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 34% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] June [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £47.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £85.67 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £38.17 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 80% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] July [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £24.75 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £69.62 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £44.87 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 181% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl32, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] Sub Total [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £136.75 [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £233.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £96.75 [/TD] [TD=class: xl34, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 71% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl29, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Results [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 1st [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 2nd [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 3rd [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Unplaced [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Strike Rate [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] April [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 1 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 0 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 4 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 14% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] May [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 12 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 6 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 8 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 42 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 18% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] June [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 10 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 7 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 5 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 28 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 20% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] July [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 8 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 1 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 14 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 32% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl32, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] Sub Total [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 31 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 17 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 14 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 88 [/TD] [TD=class: xl34, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 21% [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 2.25 Tipperary: This race won't attract too much attention in the scheme of todays racing, only a 4 runner maiden and the main reason for posting the selection today, isn't just about winning this race, its about the antepost price for next years Epsom Derby. Illinois is the 2yo colt I have been waiting to see, makes it debut and although only 4 runners, he gets a good yardstick of an opponent in Warbird, who ran with plenty of promise on debut and didn't finish too far behind Australia ( 2nd ) another of O'Brien's Derby hopefuls for next years classic. Jamie Heffernan rides this colt today, with Joseph O'Brien over in Longchamp with Battle of Marengo. Illinois is a classically bred colt, by Galileo out of a Danehill Dancer mare. The dam Chintz, was a Group 3 winner as a 2yo and finished 5th in the Irish 1,000 Guineas, the dam also made a winning debut as a 2yo. Chintz comes from family line of the mare Vallee Dansante, who was also responsible for Funsie, who was the dam of Derby winner Auhorized. I'd be happy with a workmanlike performance today from this colt and hopefully a winning debut will see him enter into the bookies antepost pricelist for next years Derby, for which any winnings from today will be re-invested in the antepost market. 1 pt win at Evens bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 1.55 Ascot: This is the first race I looked at and narrowed it down to at least 5 with a decent chance. From a list of Taajub-Massamah-Racy-Miss Lahar and Confessional, the final choice was Confessional from the Easterby yard. Need to ignore his latest run when putting in a below par effort, which may have been the draw, his overall form is plenty good enough, far better than his 28-1 price he's offered at. Slowly creeping down the weights and in 3 runs at Ascot, never run a bad race. Often met trouble in running, which hopefully he can evade today and if he does get a trouble free passage, which is no guarantee in these big field sprints, he shouldn't be far away. 0.5 pt each way at 28-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. York 4.05 Tough looking sprint handicap and a little EW on the top weight might be worth a punt. Secret Asset hasn't won for almost two years, when he landed a C/D handicap back in August 2011. Not surprised he hasn't won since though, as he has been on a globetrotting mission or taking in some top races, sometimes both. Has run twice in the Prix De L'Abbaye, been over to Singapore, also been over in Meydan a couple of times. Tried in Group 1 and 2 company against the top sprinters. Last two runs, both in pattern races, ran well at Chester, running to his mark of 100, not so well last time out but now he's taking on inferior competition in handicaps, could see him get more competitive, despite having to carry top weight. 0.5 pt Each Way at 16-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 1.40 Newmarket: Ryan Moore rides at probably his lowest weight on Jubilante in the opener and this filly could be the one to beat. Mick Channon runs two here, both with a chance but Strictly Silca, near the bottom of the handicap could be very well handicapped on her 2yo form. She ran well to run 2nd on her debut, despite showing plenty of inexperience. Followed that with two very good efforts, behind two of this seasons leading 3yo's, running 4th to Just the Judge, then runner up to Toronado in a 7f Listed race at Ascot. Her two subsequent runs were a long way short of those two efforts and she was then put away for this season. Ran well on her 3yo debut on the AW, behind an improving sort, then won her maiden very easily. First run in a handicap but if she runs to the best of her juvenile form, she shouldn't be far away. 0.5 pt Each Way at 11-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. 3.15 Newmarket Tough looking 3yo handicap and John Gosden's Space Ship looks the one for me. Had some decent maiden form, finally breaking his maiden tag over this trip at Chester. Last two runs have been in decent handicaps, at Epsom and Royal Ascot. Will Buick must have thought he was in an actual space ship, as his hold up tactics were a little over the top. Given far too much to do at Epsom but at least he didn't give this one a hard race, once he knew he wasn't going to win. Same tactics employed at Ascot and a strong late run, saw him get into 2nd place. Can't afford to overdo those tactics today, over this shorter trip but the track at Newmarket, should be more suitable for a hold up ride. 0.5 pt Each Way at 8-1 bog
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. Karijini Thanks for that
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Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. [TABLE=width: 416]
Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog.
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Re: Bully's, BB and ******* betting blog. [TABLE=width: 416]
[TR] [TD=class: xl26, width: 139, bgcolor: #FFFF99] P & L Account [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 77, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Outlay [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 79, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Return [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 80, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Profit [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, width: 89, bgcolor: #FFFF99] R.O.I. [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, width: 91, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] April [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £8.00 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £2.75 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] -£5.25 [/TD] [TD=class: xl36, bgcolor: transparent] -66% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] May [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £56.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £75.46 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £18.96 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 34% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] June [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £47.50 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £85.67 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £38.17 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 80% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] July [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £46.75 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £102.67 [/TD] [TD=class: xl25, bgcolor: transparent] £55.92 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 120% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl32, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] Sub Total [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £158.75 [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £266.55 [/TD] [TD=class: xl33, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] £107.80 [/TD] [TD=class: xl34, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 68% [/TD] [TD=class: xl24, bgcolor: transparent][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [TD=class: xl31, bgcolor: black][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl29, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Results [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 1st [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 2nd [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] 3rd [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Unplaced [/TD] [TD=class: xl26, bgcolor: #FFFF99] Strike Rate [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] April [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 1 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 2 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 0 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 4 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 14% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] May [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 12 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 6 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 8 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 42 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 18% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] June [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 10 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 7 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 5 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 28 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 20% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl27, bgcolor: #CCFFCC] July [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 14 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 4 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 3 [/TD] [TD=class: xl30, bgcolor: transparent] 27 [/TD] [TD=class: xl28, bgcolor: transparent] 29% [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl32, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] Sub Total [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 37 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 19 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 16 [/TD] [TD=class: xl35, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 101 [/TD] [TD=class: xl34, bgcolor: #CCFFFF] 21% [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]