binomial
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Posts posted by binomial
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Sydney never looked like covering until the last few minutes so can't feel too bad but this is an ugly last two minutes: [TABLE=width: 359]
[TR] [TD]0:01[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:02[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:03[/TD] [TD]5, J. Kennedy, shot 2pt blocked[/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:13[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:15[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:19[/TD] [TD]14, T. Tupaea, turnover badpass[/TD] [TD]76-58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:20[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:32[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:35[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-58[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:49[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, turnover badpass[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:49[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:49[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, rebound defensive[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:49[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:51[/TD] [TD]31, T. Roberts, turnover badpass[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:55[/TD] [TD]31, T. Roberts, rebound offensive[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]0:56[/TD] [TD]11, M. Joy, shot 2pt missed[/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:15[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:24[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-55[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD]11, M. Joy, substitution in[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD]21, S. Graham, substitution out[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:25[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, foul personal[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:26[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:30[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:34[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:34[/TD] [TD]14, T. Tupaea, foul personal[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:37[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:38[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, shot 3pt missed[/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-54[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]76-52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1:59[/TD] [TD]21, S. Graham, foul personal[/TD] [TD]76-52[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2:01[/TD] [TD]24, A. Sykes, turnover ballhandling[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 she had a neck injury agravated by plane travel as i understood it, no plane travel between bulleen and Dandenong.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Tricky games tonight as I see it. Tend to think Adelaide wont be too fatigued not having to travel too far and having a full squad to choose from, assuming no injuries last night. They got crushed in the second game of back to backs a couple of times earlier in the season but were missing key players. On the other hand Dandenong may be much more motivated for this. Playing WC at home when they are back to back looks the easiest game you could ask for. Sydney have only won one game by 18+ all season but they beat WC last week by 14 neutral venue, with most players looking to have played pretty ordinary on the back to back. Having lost their last home game in double overtime they could come to play to finish off in front of the home fans on a high note or having beaten WC handily last week may just go thru the motions. I lean to the former. WC could ride a wave of momentum after slaying the mighty canberra, or they could play poorly like they usually do. I see this one 80 odd to 50 odd and think there is a bit of value in what i initially though was an inflated line. Townsville face a tougher road trip and could play poorly because of it. Despite this think the over is value, but no opinion on the side at this stage.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 I played: Townsville -4 2u Adelaide -5.5 1.5u Adelaide over 150 1.5u - this was at $1.99 so liked it a bit more
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 yes you got nice prices there. i only just got around to having a look but pretty happy to play the current odds. Adelaide over was the other one i liked, although not as much as the two you are playing. GL.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 brutally short turnaround here for canberra, about 14 hours after a bed shet performance, cant see them showing much in this spot. bulleen only have 9 wins for the season but four of them have been by 20+. betting they handle Canberra easily. Bulleen -15 1.5u Bulleen under 145.5 1.5u don't mind that under dogs although average for Dandenong at Logan this season is 183.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Played: Sydney -8.5 1u Sydney under 143 1u Bendigo over 140 1.5u Since mid season when Sydney got their squad together they have pretty much handled the sides outside the top 4 fairly comfortably and been handled comfortably by the top sides most of the time. Looks a decent spot for WC with Sydney on back to back in what could be tough conditions in Alice Springs. However, WC have been so terrible without Deanna Smith playing lately in particular the last two weeks I think Sydney should cover. Think Bendigo will come to play after being smashed last week and they have scored 80 or more in four of their last five home games. Canberra are missing players but have still been putting some points on the board. Bendigo may shut them down but more likely they score over 60 which will be more than enough to push it over.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 agree with Ashtee about Townsville v Adelaide and Bendigo, don't have much of an opinion on this one. like the over in adelaide and maybe adelaide as well. adelaide have been stomping teams at home and get the impression from last week that sydney have had enough for the season.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 impressive weekend so far Ashtee. bit of a lean to Adelaide -3, even though Bendigo players didn't play many minutes it is still a nasty travel schedule plus Adaelaide have been destroying teams at home. might just stay away.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 do you bet NBL Ashtee?
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 bit chalky, but they look like the right sides i agree. i have played Townsville -6.5 1.5u Bendigo over 140 1u might add Bendigo but i agree is they may hold back for the adelaide game, plus it is a situation where embarrassing WC again in front of their home fans doesn't achieve much for anyone.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Sydney -1.5 looks generous to me. i am on it for 3u.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Played: Canberra under 148 1u Sydney +12.5 1u Sydney over 147 1.5u Townsville -15.5 1.5u Thought about Canberra couldn't pull the trigger. I am hoping it is a war without to much fouling and stays low scoring. GL with your plays.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Logan -1.5 2u Logan under 144 2u
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 people seem to be pushing the total up also which seems stupid. west coast have been terrible without Deanna Smith playing. maybe they have a ring in?
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Bulleen -6.5 1u - last chance for Bulleen to make finals - they were neck and neck with Dandenong for 3 quarters last week and may take some confidence from this - townsville have played back to back twice and been hideous both times - bulleen have lost 3 home games Agree Townsville is the better side but going to play the situation as i see it. Like tomorrows game much more.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 As i see it they have little to play for as it is unlikely they can get past bendigo for top spot. they creamed canberra in canberra by 39 a few weeks ago, and it seems possible they were easing back a bit last week as it doesn't prove alot when they crush the weaker teams they are expected to crush. alternatively they may have just been taking it a bit easier due to double header last week and with only one game will be up and running tonight. even if they aren't canberra are generally so bad they could beat them by 20+ in third gear. basically i have no idea, likewise with the total.
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 I was focusing on Bulleen beating Townsville by 28 when they caught them earlier in the season on a back to back. Townsville playing better now, but I need a good reason to take any team on a back to back. Could be opposite you again. :\
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 Im playing: Logan +17 1u Logan over 146 1u Bendigo over 144 2u
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Re: WNBL 22/12/2012: West Coast Waves v Adelaide lightning Tonight: Dandenong -12 2u and West Coast under 138.5 2u On anything Ashtee?
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Re: WNBL 22/12/2012: West Coast Waves v Adelaide lightning my thinking is Bendigo know they have to get better offensively to win it. last game they did so scoring 98. I am thinking this may continue on tonight against Bulleen who are generally higher scoring when fresh. GL
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Re: WNBL 22/12/2012: West Coast Waves v Adelaide lightning nice call Ashtee. tonight I am playing: Sydney +8.5 1u Sydney over 159.5 ($1.85) 3u Logan +6.5 2u Bendigo -11 1u Bendigo over 142 2u
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Re: WNBL 22/12/2012: West Coast Waves v Adelaide lightning I did but it is looking a bit iffy. I played: Dandenong -13.5 1u Dandenong over 153.5 2u Townsville +6 2u Townsville over 146 1u Could be a wash. GL to you.
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Re: WNBL 22/12/2012: West Coast Waves v Adelaide lightning Townsville +6 without Batkovic playing look a play.
WNBL Season 2012/2013
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Re: WNBL Season 2012/2013 i thought about playing that myself after i saw your post, but ended up having a unit at +8 $2. i was looking at the odds to win it and thought Adelaide looked the value at $4. then i reflected you could get $4+ for them winning one game last weekend. it is a tough ask for them, but on last few weeks form i would make them equal with Bendigo and Dandenong at least. if you make an adjustment for back to back, you could say they have handled Dandenong twice and they beat Bendigo by 20 at home. Adelaide to Melbourne trip two weeks in a row is not really that big a deal....