mcsilks
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Posts posted by mcsilks
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Hello, I have a query.
Is it normal for a company to ban an account as that account has been regularly winning and is up to the tune of 3~4K over a 2-year period?
My Paddy Power account has been stopped and they have told me that the country where I live is restricted despite it being in the unrestricted list?
All of my friends in Japan can still use their accounts as per usual, but they tell me that my account is no longer allowed. Surely this is just wrong?
Can they do this?
Many thanks
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6 minutes ago, mcsilks said:
I couldn't agree less.
Higgins is one of the finest snooker players of all time, and one of the most decorated. He said after the match that this performance was his greatest ever. Having watched the match in it's entirety, I can see why he said that. Selby stood little or no chance. No player would have lived with Higgins on that form and for that reason, I have backed Higgins to beat Wilson and then Ronnie in the final at 4/
....at 4/1 with PaddyPower.
To quote Ronnie, "John was evil. He just showed what a class player he is. It was ridiculous snooker, bordering on obscene"
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15 hours ago, Foo_Fighter said:
Selby scored 7 points in 6 frames. wow. Pathetic performance. The definition of embarrassment.
I couldn't agree less.
Higgins is one of the finest snooker players of all time, and one of the most decorated. He said after the match that this performance was his greatest ever. Having watched the match in it's entirety, I can see why he said that. Selby stood little or no chance. No player would have lived with Higgins on that form and for that reason, I have backed Higgins to beat Wilson and then Ronnie in the final at 4/
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35 minutes ago, Fader said:
1pt K.Wilson to pot first ball, most centuries and win match 5/1 paddypower50/50 bet but a great price.
What's your fancy for tonight's game? I feel that Bingham has the game suited to beat Smurf, as he is a low percentage player and Smurf always gives his opponent chances. Murphy is actually a very narrow favourite. Maybe too close to call, so a safer bet might be the way to go.
Total frames: Smurf and Bingham Over 9.5 @ 10/11 paddypower
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On 1/7/2021 at 1:11 AM, Darran said:
Good news is that Derby are set to play a team with u18s and those u23s not part of the 1st team squad. We have one hell of a bet now.
It's certainly great odds though bear in mind that Derby do have one of the best youth set ups in the country and therefore, one of the best U18 and U23 sides.
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12 hours ago, Fader said:
4pts Aspinall, Van Duijvenbode & De Sousa to win 2/1 skybet
FYI, this treble is available at PP at 11/4.
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39 minutes ago, Fader said:
Milkins had a mass of chances. 3-2 up and only need 2 balls to win 4-2 but nil bottle. Bingham was all over the place in the final frame.
There are certain players I avoid betting on, as they play an 'unreliable' brand of snooker. Milkins falls into that bracket.
I am making some big money so far this tournament, as the top players are on their games. The quality at this Scottish Open is incredible. 60 centuries so far, and 11 130+ breaks. Staggering for a best of 7 game tournament.
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What a great tournament this has been.
2 bets for the final based on the meetings between these players in the last few years which have produced some very high scoring snooker.
(+4.5) century breaks @ 11/10 paddypower
Neil Robertson to have highest break, most 50 or more breaks & win @ 7/1 paddypower
For the 2nd bet, Robertson has been the more impressive scorer of the two in this tournament and is back to his best whereas Judd has been playing at the top of his B game. If he doesn't improve on that, Robertson will win and the bet should take care of itself.
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1 hour ago, Fader said:
2-2 at the first session. God knows how. Let's hope the silly mistakes disappear for Selby. Gave both frames away.
*edited - echo the 2nd session, again 2-2. Selby bossed the whole session and comes out of it 4-4. 13-11 going into the evening final session. I hope them last two frames are not match defining. Selby needs the first frame tonight. Most important frame of the match.*
I hope Ronnie turns it on and dumps Selby out. Granted, I have backed Selby to win the outright, but I'd sooner Ronnie wins and I lose my bet.
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1 hour ago, Foo_Fighter said:
I happen to disagree with both of you Fader & mcsilks. I believe Ronnie O'Sullivan is still the best snooker player in the world. Nobody else is able to control the cue ball the way Ronnie does. That's why he's such a prolific break-builder. He may not be the best safety player or the best long potter, but when it comes to break building he's so elite... This encounter is very interesting because on one hand, O'Sullivan is much more talented than Selby, but on the other, Selby is mentally stronger than Ronnie. If it is a really close match then it all comes down to mental fortitude, an area where Selby clearly has the upper hand. But I wouldn't count out the possibility of Ronnie winning relatively comfortably. My prediction is O'Sullivan wins this battle.
I am in no doubt that Ronnie O'Sullivan is the best player in the world on his day, but he lacks consistency. His recent record at the crucible isn't anything to write home about. This is the furthest he has got since losing in the final in 2014 against Selby.
I would love to see him overcome Selby, but I believe Selby is a bad match up for Ronnie and should Selby bring anything close to his A game; I think he will play his rather predictable dogged style whereby he feeds off Ronnie's long game mistakes and wins with frames to spare.
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Selby on the outright at 100/30 with PP.
I don't quite understand why O'Sullivan is such a big favourite against Selby.
Selby's form is dramatically improving, while O'Sullivan's is mis-firing by his own admission.
Selby has won both of their previous meetings in Sheffield and has something of a stranglehold over Ronnie.
If Selby were to beat Ronnie, then I cannot see anything other than him powering his way to a fourth World title.
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That’s a bit unfair. I am a snooker fan, I just happen to have been watching the other table to the one Wilson has been on.
’Standout player’ or not, I still have to go on his career, rather than 3 matches this fortnight. David Gilbert for example, although he hasn’t been this far in Sheffield before, he has some pedigree in his career and results elsewhere, whereas Gary Wilson doesn’t have that. I think it’s a total mismatch, but we’ll have to wait and see.
Its actually 6 matches over this last month. He was excellent in qualifying.
Gary Wilson has been on TV a massive amount over this tournament, so I can only assume that you have turned off when his games have been on.
As this is a betting forum, I try and offer reasoned advice, and advising to back against a player that by your own admission you 'haven't seen' is just crazy.
Class and pedigree serve players well, particularly in Sheffield, but Wilson is the form player and is proving that again. His very best game may well mean he will still come up slightly short, but nothing like an -8.5 handicap that you suggest.
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It’s not so much the name ‘Trump’ that’s influencing my bet here, rather the name Gary Wilson.
I’d be lumping on any top player here, against Gary Wilson, given both the circumstances and the length of match, particularly one who scores as heavily as Judd Trump.
Gary Wilson has been the standout player.
I actually stopped taking you seriously when you said that you hadn't watched any of his games.
Judd Trump has been patchy this tournament whereas Wilson has been nothing short of superb.
To base an opinion merely on a players name and rank without taking into account form is amateur to say the least.
Trump has to be favourite, but I think the bookies have priced this one up about right.
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51 minutes ago, Torque said:
Not many would argue that he's the most naturally talented player ever. Is he the greatest though - that depends on your definition of great. I'd argue to be the greatest at anything it isn't just about talent it's also about attitude and application.
Ronnie's attitude has been first class for some time now.
If he didn't have the application, he wouldn't be sitting at the top of the game at his age.
I am also of the opinion that he has to be cut a little more slack than others. He is of genius quality...and with can come some difficulties. Added to the fact that his father is a convicted murderer and his mother is in prison, too. Hardly an easy upbringing.
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Bingham Vs Dott Bingham -1 @ 4/7 PP
Lisowski Vs Carter Lisowski @ 5/6 PP
Ding Vs McGill Ding -1 @ 1/2 PP
Bingham won 13-5 in their only previous World Championship meeting. Am very confident of a comfortable victory for Bingham.
Lisowski has had a real breakthrough season and should have too much for Carter.
Ding beat McGill 13-4 in last year Worlds and has an unbeaten record against him.
Bet: 250 Possible return: 1,080
My two bets are both straight forecasts, each for 20.
1. Trump to beat Robertson in the final @ 25/1 PP
2. Robertson to beat Trump in the final @ 28/1 PP
My reasoning is that Robertson is the form horse coming into this tournament and has the easier half of the draw. Trump is playing very well at the minute and Ronnie is the only player I can see beating him. Having said that, O'Sullivan doesn't like playing Trump and I feel that Trump will prevail in their quarter.
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Paddy Power have a tasty double on at the minute.
Man City to win the title and Cardiff to finish bottom @ 3/1.
Really can't see anything else this season.
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Maybe not a bigger surprise as everyone is claiming as the semi-finals are made up of 4 sides that were in the top 9 in the anti-post betting.
Croatia started the tournament very impressively, but performance wise, are getting worse as each round passes and the pressure goes up.
On the contrary, England are getting better and looked impressive after the first 20 minutes; which were probably the dullest 20 minutes of any match in the World Cup so far.
So, I would surmise that England deservedly start as pretty warm favourites to reach the final. There is little value to be had in this market.
I really like the match-up in the other semi. This match is as good as the final as whoever wins this one, should have little bother seeing off England or Croatia. I believe this match may be won on the touchline. Belgium have one of the most tactically astute managers in Martinez and despite starting as second favourites, I think this will make the difference.
So my bet will be a straight forecast @ 11/2 for Belgium to beat England in the final. I'll wait for a better price with PP. The price given is with WH.
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For all the exciting matces it has given, it has left us with 8 teams who with the exception of Russia, have all failed to impress.
Brazil have played well only in patches in their games and look distinctly average.
France have only come alive for the one game.
Uruguay have looked good only in their last outing.
Belgium have really stuttered.
Sweden have played their usual brand of dour, Stoke City football.
England have largely played like Sweden...winning without impressing.
and Croatia have played in patches well but were very poor in their last outing.
If France wake up, they will walk this tournament. They have played the best football of the lot in their last game and no side, even Brazil, will come close to them if they reproduce that.
I can't get excited over England. They just bore me to the point of wanting to watch their games on fast forward. I am desperate for England to win a World Cup, bit if this current side wins this tournament, it'll be a victory for anti-football.
My predictions for the last 8:
Uruguay to beat France in a dour 1-0.
Brazil to beat Belgium 2-0 as this Belgian defence is not the best.
England to beat Sweden on pens after a 0-0.
Croatia to overcome Russia in a nervy 1-0.
Due to it's unpredictability, I have actually bet on a Uruguay v Croatia final.
Good luck all!
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2 minutes ago, Sir Puntalot said:
It's a 50/50 game in my opinion. I wouldn't say England were really poor, that's a bit over the top. Tunisia are a good side, but yes Panama are awful and I said privately we'd beat them 5-0. The facts are this, we could have put 5 or 6 past Tunisia and 10 past Panama. Belgian game isn't really relevant as both teams put their reserves out, so that's no form record at all.
I think England have to improve to beat Colombia, but there is something about what Southgate has created here that I haven't seen since Hoddle was the guv in 1998. That is a system that all the players understand and like. England look good, but absolutely they need to improve quite a bit to get past Colombia and further, that means taking the chances we create more often.
I would say that losing to Iceland is 'really poor', but I guess it's all about opinions.
I just don't see where all of the new renewed optimism is about England. Do they look good...really?
I compare this England side to a Burnley in the Premiership. Southgate has made us tough to beat, but we are anything but easy on the eye. Kane aside, we don't have any match winners.
I expect that today's game will see us surrender possession and play a counter attacking style. Columbia will be technically better than we are.
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4 minutes ago, StevieDay1983 said:
I think the bookies are really going against Colombia purely because of the absence of James Rodriguez. The journalist Henry Winter pointed out though that the likes of Radamel Falcao and Juan Cuadrado didn't have the best of times in the English game so will have a massive point to prove. Even without Rodriguez, that price looks generous. I can see it going to extra-time or even penalties tonight.
Yes, you might be right.
James Rodriguez incidentally wasn't playing in their first half against Japan when they were the dominant side. After he came on, they looked a shadow of the team from the first half.
He isn't even close to the Rodriguez from 2014.
As far as Cuadrado and Falcao go, they both failed to produce in the English game but the same can be said of Aspas, Thauvin, Fazio, Paulinho, and Boateng...all of whom have been brilliant since leaving the Premiership.
Ashley Young will have his work cut out stopping Cuadrado.
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Am I missing something here or are Columbia just a ridiculously good price at 3/1 to beat England over 90 minutes?
Why have England gone from a really poor side to a team that everyone thinks has a chance of reaching the last 4 or better. I say there is little or no chance.
So far, England have beat a very poor Tunisia side in the dying minutes, beaten the tournaments worst side 6-1 and played off the park against Belgium. Even Panama had the best 2 chances before we opened the scoring.
Columbia on the other hand were much the better side in the first half despite playing with 10 men against Japan, beaten a poor Poland side comfortably and looked very impressive doing it, and beaten a very good and strong Senegal side.
I would honestly make it about 50/50 and possibly even slightly favour the South Americans.
My bets will be Columbia to beat England over the 90 minutes @ 3/1, Columbia HT/FT @ 5/1, and Columbia -1 @ a crazy 8/1 with Paddy Power.
I hope I am wrong, but tournament history suggests the bookmakers may just be favoring this England side a little too much.
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Columbia 1-1 Japan at Half Time. Columbia down to 10 men.
Columbia 4/1 to win with Paddy Power the game despite dominating with their 10 men.
Cracking odds.
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This current Japan side is the worst I have seen for many years. They're an ageing side and have no real good youth to speak of.
I'm based in Japan and the feeling here is that they'll do well to pick up any point in the competition.
Their first game is against a Columbian side that beat them 4-1 at the last World Cup in Brazil. Since then, Japan have gone backwards.
Columbia to win on the -1 handicap at 7/5 looks a fairly no risk pick.
Japan to pick up 0 points is a slightly more risky bet but at 13/2 with Paddy Power, I'll take that gamble.
The Masters
in Snooker Predictions
Posted
The value has to be on Maguire to beat Selby.
Maguire has won their last 2 meetings including a 6-3 triumph in last years Masters Round One.
I'll take Maguire -1.5 @ 7/2 with Bet365.