Snert

I back horses based on my own handicap figures which are based on speed figures.
I know there are not many people who think these are any good so I would like to try and show that there is a future in this.
How do you think Timeform started -  I personally think it provides excellent ratings  - but it is far too expensive for me.
I will try and put out tips based on my ratings on a daily basis but I must confess that only 20% - 30% are likely to be profitable on past experience. 
This is why I personally don't back anything at less than 3-1 and preferably 4-1 or better.
Anyway to kick off - tomorrow I give you Magical Effect at Thirsk  2.30 - around 3-1 
Won Last time out which is normally a negative for me but I think he can go in again this time.

So unlucky !

6.30 Chelmsford
If this was on turf I think Flying Pursuit would have a very good chance and I think he's worth a small bet (with 9-1 available) that he can transfer this form to the a/w. Going from turf to the a/w doesn't always come off - but here's hoping.
 

I've been using speed ratings for a few years now and I only back a horse based on my ratings.
I haven't posted here for a long time as I've been otherwise engaged and have been working on my speed ratings.
Apart from the likes of the Grand National I just don't back a horse now unless my speed ratings are good.
I agree with Trotter that the a/w is ideal for speed ratings but I think this winter just finished was very poor for the quality of races.
Although I still did OK there were far too many poor quality races for my taste.
Over the years i have improved my method of working out my ratings ( I think ) and use a spreadsheet to compute them now.
I find I can do a meeting of say 4 races of interest with 12 - 16 runners in around half an hour to 40 minutes  -  I ignore any race of over one mile.
I concentrate on races up to a mile but I am thinking of Knocking this back and concentrating on the sprints - although I haven't kept a record of which races have done best for me - has anyone ?
I've found that in most races there are too many horses that have similar ratings.
The hard part is to not back anything in these races unless one of them has a compelling advantage - which is not very often - I've lost count of the number of times I've looked back on a race and thought - there's no way I should have backed anything in this race because there were too many horses with similar ratings.
The old method of looking through past form just does not work for me.
I rely on my numbers - if the rating says bet - I bet - regardless of ( almost ) anything else.
I'll be putting up any of my selections in the naps competition but they will certainly not be every day - might be only once a week.
I think the hard part is to be disciplined, and NOT to bet unless your speed ratings give a definite advantage to a particular horse.
I still bet most days even though I know I shouldn't, but I keep my stakes small unless it's a good bet on my ratings.
Remember - the bookies want you to bet on every race but you only have to bet on the races that you want to.
Cheers