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thecurlyone1
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Looks like a week off. No sign of a column.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
A winner this week with Montpellier winning the corner match up 5-4.
3 wins, 2 pushes and 6 losses for -3.3 points with an ROI of -30%.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Montpellier +4 Asian handicap corners v Lens, 1pt at 1.925 with 365.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
No joy this week, we'd have needed +5 just for a push so Kev continues to toil a bit.
2 wins, 2 pushes and 6 losses for -4.225 points with an ROI of -42.25%.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to giraldi in CgmBet System Software - (Exclusive PL Registered Forum Users 50% Discount Code)
I don-t think you will find many games where both teams had 2 draws in a row at home (away)
In the UPCOMING section search for games, (I set the next 5 days) where both home/away had 2 draws in the last 2 games at home/away. Similar you find games only one of the team (home or away) had 2 draws.
I found 3 games, 2 of them in Spain 2 (check the first picture)
So, I will check, using the Advanced Goals Statistics what happens after is draw at HT in Spain 2, since 2005 (check the second picture )
The same way, you can play with it.
You can set in the AGS module even the teams you want (instead of the entire league) to see what happens.
Etc...
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thecurlyone1 reacted to giraldi in CgmBet System Software - (Exclusive PL Registered Forum Users 50% Discount Code)
Understood now.
It-s not possible directly but a workaround. I will post some pictures with explanations later or tomorrow morning
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Cheltenham +4 Asian handicap corners v Sheffield Wed, 1pt at evens with 365
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
A winner this week, with Espanyol getting 1 more card than Valencia.
2 wins, 2 pushes and 5 losses for -3.225 points with an ROI of -35.83%.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
bet
Espanyol 0 Asian handicap corners v Valencia, 1pt at 2.025 with 365
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thecurlyone1 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Kevin is struggling to get going this season
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
A game of 4 cards, but for each team unfortunately!
1 win, 2 pushes and 5 losses for -4.25 points with an ROI of -53.13%.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Under six Asian total cards Fiorentina v Verona 1pt at 1.85 with 365
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Yeah, frustrating, I was waiting for the game to end and ready to update it as a winner! Worked out ok for me in terms of being limited on the AH bets as I had a bit on the next best option, <6.5 cards at 8/11.
1 win, 2 pushes and 4 losses for -3.25 points with an ROI of -46.43%.
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thecurlyone1 got a reaction from harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Red card in the last minute put the Kybosh on this for a push
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Duck broken at last, albeit with only 1 card to spare before we would have had to settle for a push.
1 win, 1push and 4 losses for -3.25 points with an ROI of -54.17%.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Under 6 Asian total cards in Spezia v Bologna 2pm Sunday, 1pt at 1.75 with 365
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thecurlyone1 reacted to The Accountant in Win Backing System
Hi All, will update the bank & stake later today/in the morning; 4 picks today;
29/08/2022 15:08 RIPON Garden Oasis 29/08/2022 15:59 CARTMEL Dr Sanderson 29/08/2022 16:16 RIPON Jewel Maker 29/08/2022 17:10 CARTMEL Ange Endormi
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thecurlyone1 got a reaction from alexcaruso808 in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Very un Kevin like atm
he’ll come good I’m sure
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Elche +1 Asian handicap corners v Sociedad, 1pt at 1.95 with 365
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
We've had a poor start before and recovered. I was thinking he's "doing a Harry Kane" (in past seasons I think he's not scored until September). Hardly concerning at the sort of stakes I'm allowed on!
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thecurlyone1 got a reaction from harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Yet to get up and running. Plenty of time yet H
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Lecce 0 Asian handicap cards v Sassuolo, 1pt at 1.8 with 365
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
Almeria +2.5 Asian handicap corners v Real Madrid, 1pt at 1.825 with 365.
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Kevin Pullein Saturday Picks 2022/23
We start with a push (1 yellow card each). I think we can all "do the math" on where that leaves us!
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thecurlyone1 reacted to harry_rag in Football Season Stats Review
Here's some more "DOLITA" (Data of limited interest to anyone) and thoughts on a possible system for the new season.
From To Total <40 <45 <50 <55 <60 <65 45 49.5 209 34.93% 55.50% 56.94% 70.33% 72.73% 79.90% 50 54.5 353 28.33% 46.74% 48.44% 63.74% 65.16% 74.79% 55 59.5 298 26.17% 39.26% 40.27% 53.69% 54.70% 64.09% 60 64.5 130 16.92% 36.92% 36.92% 52.31% 53.85% 66.92% 65 69.5 63 12.70% 26.98% 26.98% 39.68% 41.27% 53.97% 70 Plus 34 8.82% 14.71% 14.71% 26.47% 26.47% 38.24% The data is a sample I have of 1087 games where I recorded the midpoint of the bookings spread price and the actual make up, so for games where the midpoint was between 45 and 49.5, 55.5% of the games had a bookings points total of under 45. The average for the whole sample was midpoint 55.34, sell price 53.9 and make up 52.52. The numbers align reasonably well with a table in a book I have which shows the expected unders numbers based on a team's average total bookings make ups.
Now fixed odds betting on bookings is a bit of a pain (trawling all the firms to find out the lines and prices, hoping that the attractive price isn't with a firm who only allow me a tiny stake) and there's a strong case to be made for betting on unders rather than overs. So I'm wondering if a viable approach would be to bet on BF aiming to get a price that equates to the "true" % with a bit of an edge added. Much will depend on what lines they offer on which leagues. I'll see what's offered where as the new season gets underway.
Selling bookings on the spreads seems reasonably profitable so it's not a giant leap to assume that there may be some mileage in looking to bet on unders (most people prefer to buy and most people prefer to back overs).