[Best Bet of the Day KO Cup Qualifying - Deadline Sat 2pm]

Re: Best Bet of the Day KO Cup Qualifying - Deadline Sat 2pm Aintree - 1.30 - Un Ace @ 9/1 Paddypower Wolv - 6.50 - Pandar @ 6/1 Paddypower Wolv - 8.20 - Tellovoi @ 7/2 Paddypower Reserves Aintree - 5.10 - Rainbow Peak @ 16/1 Boylesports Aintree - 3.25 - Saint Are @ 8/1 Ladbrokes

[Aintree Tipsters Competition ~ Day 3 Selections]

Re: Aintree Tipsters Competition ~ Day 3 Selections 1.30: Un Ace 2.05: Balder Succes 2.50: Zarkander 3.25: Saint Are 4.15: Burton Port 5.10: Rainbow Peak 5.45: Our Kaempfer

[Aintree Tipsters Competition ~ Day 2 Selections]

Re: Aintree Tipsters Competition ~ Day 2 Selections 2.00: Mijhaar 2.30: O'Faolains Boy 3.05: Rajdhani Express 3.40: Standing Ovation 4.15: Beat That 4.50: Alaivan 5.25: Hannah's Princess

[Aintree Tipsters Comp ~ Latest Table]

Re: Aintree Tipsters Comp ~ Latest Table I spent all of about 2 minutes coming to those selections :lol Compared to the days i spent studying Cheltenham form and i picked 2 winners all week!

[Aintree Tipsters Competition ~ Day 1 Selections]

Re: Aintree Tipsters Competition ~ Day 1 Selections 2.00 Broughton 2.30 Silviniaco Conti 3.05 Grandouet 3.40 Mossey Joe 4.15 Claret Cloak 4.50 Uxizandre 5.25 Doctor Harper

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread Hi Guys Apologies for not posting up any bets today. Unfortunately i am going to have to take a little break from the forum, i have some personal issues which mean i won't have the time to spend watching racing. I'm going to take the opportunity to have a couple of weeks off and refresh myself ready for the flat season! I will be back at the beginning of April with some winners :p

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread

Sorry for posting this one abit late, couldn't leave him at the price though: 2.30 - Exeter - Monderon 1pt @ 18/1 Betvictor I can help but have a small bet on Moderon. On bare form he looks massively overpriced, having beaten the favourite on these terms 2 starts back. I saw him at Towcester where he beat Kings Apollo, he travelled sweetly and stayed on well up the hill over 2m 5f. The form of the race has worked out okay with Kings Apollo winning nto and Faith Keeper who was 4th also winning nto. That was his seasonal re-appearance and also only his 6th start over hurdles so you’d expect there to be more to come from him. That run would also suggest to me he needs at least that distance to be seen to full effect and the step up to what is nearly 3m is a big positive in my eyes. I think you can put a line through his last 2 runs, on his penultimate start he didn’t have the turn of foot to get involved in a slowly run affair. He was 7th but only beaten 10L or so. Last time he put in a no show over an inadequate trip, i don’t quite understand why he was dropped back to 2m 3f and i don’t think he liked the heavy ground either. He has at least been dropped a couple of lbs for those efforts and with conditions and the trip likely to be much more to his liking today i expect him to run well. I’m not concerned by the fact he has drifted this morning, he’s from a very small yard and has never gone off a single figure price. Theres a few unexposed horse in this field and he might find 1 too good, but with Kings Apollo leading the market at around 9/2 i think it sums up the quality of this race, it certainly looks winnable to me.

4.10 - Exeter - Aimigayle - 2pts @ 9/1 William Hill I'm glad that i spotted this one was running as i had a good feeling she'd pop up once the ground started to dry up. She is a very ground dependant horse with all wins coming on a sound surface. She was in good form last summer winning at Plumpton in September over hurdles before running with credit nto over the same C&D in softer conditions. Her last run came in a grade 3 handicap chase at Cheltenham where i felt she shaped much better than the bare result. She was out of the handicap a couple of lbs that day and her jockey was overweight meaning she was running off a 6lb higher than she runs off tomorrow, the fact that she ran with such credit suggests to me she retains all ability, but just needs conditions to suit. She takes a drop in grade tomorrow and that will make a big difference in my opinion. If she can get into a good rhythm up front i think she'll take plenty of passing. I've gone with a 2pt bet, just got a good feeling about this one!

Bitterly disappointing day once more :sad Staked: 155pts Returned: 261.72ts P/L: +106.72pts

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread Sorry for posting this one abit late, couldn't leave him at the price though: 2.30 - Exeter - Monderon 1pt @ 18/1 Betvictor I can help but have a small bet on Moderon. On bare form he looks massively overpriced, having beaten the favourite on these terms 2 starts back. I saw him at Towcester where he beat Kings Apollo, he travelled sweetly and stayed on well up the hill over 2m 5f. The form of the race has worked out okay with Kings Apollo winning nto and Faith Keeper who was 4th also winning nto. That was his seasonal re-appearance and also only his 6th start over hurdles so you’d expect there to be more to come from him. That run would also suggest to me he needs at least that distance to be seen to full effect and the step up to what is nearly 3m is a big positive in my eyes. I think you can put a line through his last 2 runs, on his penultimate start he didn’t have the turn of foot to get involved in a slowly run affair. He was 7th but only beaten 10L or so. Last time he put in a no show over an inadequate trip, i don’t quite understand why he was dropped back to 2m 3f and i don’t think he liked the heavy ground either. He has at least been dropped a couple of lbs for those efforts and with conditions and the trip likely to be much more to his liking today i expect him to run well. I’m not concerned by the fact he has drifted this morning, he’s from a very small yard and has never gone off a single figure price. Theres a few unexposed horse in this field and he might find 1 too good, but with Kings Apollo leading the market at around 9/2 i think it sums up the quality of this race, it certainly looks winnable to me.

[AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL > 4:15pm Saturday April 5th]

Re: Aintree Grand National > Saturday April 5th Yeah i'd imagine Sam will ride Tidal Bay, bit of a shame for my selection... I'd like Ryan Hatch to get the opportunity on Same Difference though, hasn't done much wrong in the big races this season. NTD had 3 runners last year, Sam obviously rode Imperial Commander, Adam Wedge and Tom Scudamore rode the other 2....

[BBOTD > Tuesday March 18th]

Re: BBOTD > Tuesday March 18th 4.10 - Exeter - Aimigayle - 1pts @ 8/1 Bet365 I'm glad that i spotted this one was running as i had a good feeling she'd pop up once the ground started to dry up. She is a very ground dependant horse with all wins coming on a sound surface. She was in good form last summer winning at Plumpton in September over hurdles before running with credit nto over the same C&D in softer conditions. Her last run came in a grade 3 handicap chase at Cheltenham where i felt she shaped much better than the bare result. She was out of the handicap a couple of lbs that day and her jockey was overweight meaning she was running off a 6lb higher than she runs off tomorrow, the fact that she ran with such credit suggests to me she retains all ability, but just needs conditions to suit. She takes a drop in grade tomorrow and that will make a big difference in my opinion. If she can get into a good rhythm up front i think she'll take plenty of passing.

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread 4.10 - Exeter - Aimigayle - 2pts @ 9/1 William Hill I'm glad that i spotted this one was running as i had a good feeling she'd pop up once the ground started to dry up. She is a very ground dependant horse with all wins coming on a sound surface. She was in good form last summer winning at Plumpton in September over hurdles before running with credit nto over the same C&D in softer conditions. Her last run came in a grade 3 handicap chase at Cheltenham where i felt she shaped much better than the bare result. She was out of the handicap a couple of lbs that day and her jockey was overweight meaning she was running off a 6lb higher than she runs off tomorrow, the fact that she ran with such credit suggests to me she retains all ability, but just needs conditions to suit. She takes a drop in grade tomorrow and that will make a big difference in my opinion. If she can get into a good rhythm up front i think she'll take plenty of passing. I've gone with a 2pt bet, just got a good feeling about this one!

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread

First 2 for tomorrow: 4.20 - Kempton - Yeeoow 1pt @ 5/1 Bet365 Yeeoow hardly looked a winner in waiting last time but i actually thought he showed enough to warrant a bet tomorrow. First of all it was his first run since October so he was probably abit rusty even though he has a good record fresh. He was drawn out wide at Lingfield, over a trip he’s never won at and in a much better race than this. He was caught out very wide throughout and made up as much ground as could be expected in the straight, finishing beaten 4L by Grey Mirage. Tomorrow he drops back to 6f (only distance he has won over), and also returns to Kempton, where he is 2 from 4 over C&D (2nd on both of the other starts). He has also dropped to his last winning of 90, which he won off last May and he has Martin Harley back in the saddle, who has been aboard for all of his 3 career wins. This class 3 race looks much less competitive that the 0-105 handicap he ran in last time and i expect him to run well with plenty in his favour. 5.00 - Wolverhampton - Delightful Sleep 1pt @ 4/1 Bet365 Delightful Sleep was a big eye-catcher for me last time under a weak ride from an in-experienced apprentice so if Eoin Walsh can get a better tune out of him i expect him to be hard to beat here. He finished 3rd only beaten by 2 in-form rivals, but also had a subsequent winner in behind and the form looks strong for this grade. Tomorrows race looks slightly easier and Delightful Sleep runs off his last winning mark of 57. I think the step up to the 9.5f at Wolverhampton will suit as he was slightly outpaced when Reggie Bond kicked for home last time but still appeared to be going well down the straight. His record over this exact C&D in handicaps is: 3-1-3. I’m not out to knock the young jockey that rode him last time (she’s only 16) but had he been ridden by a jockey who was abit stronger in the finish i reckon he’d have won in all honesty. Eoin Walsh takes over and he has 18% strike rate so far this year.

What a load of shite! Yeoow backed into 7/4 and never threatened. I knew Delightful Sleep's fate when he opened up at double the price i'd backed him at and he duly finished last. Staked: 152pts Returned: 261.72ts P/L: +109.72pts

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread I did have a few other runners tomorrow that i considered but i couldn't back them all, Aldeburgh (3.50 Kemp), Carpincho (2.35 South), Hand On Bach (4.10 South), Darnathean (4.00 Wolv). Be interesting to see how they all run

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread First 2 for tomorrow: 4.20 - Kempton - Yeeoow 1pt @ 5/1 Bet365 Yeeoow hardly looked a winner in waiting last time but i actually thought he showed enough to warrant a bet tomorrow. First of all it was his first run since October so he was probably abit rusty even though he has a good record fresh. He was drawn out wide at Lingfield, over a trip he’s never won at and in a much better race than this. He was caught out very wide throughout and made up as much ground as could be expected in the straight, finishing beaten 4L by Grey Mirage. Tomorrow he drops back to 6f (only distance he has won over), and also returns to Kempton, where he is 2 from 4 over C&D (2nd on both of the other starts). He has also dropped to his last winning of 90, which he won off last May and he has Martin Harley back in the saddle, who has been aboard for all of his 3 career wins. This class 3 race looks much less competitive that the 0-105 handicap he ran in last time and i expect him to run well with plenty in his favour. 5.00 - Wolverhampton - Delightful Sleep 1pt @ 4/1 Bet365 Delightful Sleep was a big eye-catcher for me last time under a weak ride from an in-experienced apprentice so if Eoin Walsh can get a better tune out of him i expect him to be hard to beat here. He finished 3rd only beaten by 2 in-form rivals, but also had a subsequent winner in behind and the form looks strong for this grade. Tomorrows race looks slightly easier and Delightful Sleep runs off his last winning mark of 57. I think the step up to the 9.5f at Wolverhampton will suit as he was slightly outpaced when Reggie Bond kicked for home last time but still appeared to be going well down the straight. His record over this exact C&D in handicaps is: 3-1-3. I’m not out to knock the young jockey that rode him last time (she’s only 16) but had he been ridden by a jockey who was abit stronger in the finish i reckon he’d have won in all honesty. Eoin Walsh takes over and he has 18% strike rate so far this year.

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread

For abit of interest in todays racing i'll chance my arm with another selection: 3.05 - Carlisle - Most Honourable 1pt @ 14/1 Skybet There are questions over plenty of the runners in this field so i feel it may just be worth taking a chance on one of the outsiders Most Honourable. The 4yo has shown bits and pieces of form to date that would give him a chance on his handicap debut. He won a juvenile hurdle back in December at Catterick, out-battling Morning With Ivan up the run in who has subsequently scored twice. His 2 runs since haven't really been as good. Particularly the first when he was a disappointing favourite upped in trip, the fact he was beaten so far suggests something wasn't right though, an obvious excuse would be the ground. He then ran in the Scottish Triumph hurdle trial won by Broughton, to be beaten 24L was certainly no disgrace as he wasn't given a hard time. As you'd expect the form of that race is pretty solid, Broughton went off 3rd fav in the Triumph and the 2nd horse Clarcam was running a corker in the Fred Winter until falling late on. He's been allotted and opening mark of 116, its hard to make a case for that being an overly lenient opening mark but at the same time i don't think any of the horses in this field are that well handicapped. One thing that is certainly in his favour is the ground, interestingly his win came on good ground, and his 2 subsequent runs have been on the bottomless ground we've experienced most of this winter. He steps up to 2m 4f, its hard to say whether it will improve him, the way he won his race back in December certainly suggested he would get further. Its also worth noting he gets into this race off a nice low weight with Adam Nichol claiming 5lb (17.31% strike rate) and a hefty weight for age allowance. All in all, not a bet to put your mortgage on but i'd hope he'd outrun odds of 14/1 if he gets the trip.

A shade disappointing, he ran okay just didn't really quicken, must have been beaten about 10L. Got a couple of AW cards to get stuck into for tomorrow now which is good though. Staked: 150pts Returned: 261.72ts P/L: +111.72pts

[BBOTD - Sun 16th March]

Re: BBOTD - Sun 16th March Cheltenham hangover guys? 3.05 - Carlisle - Most Honourable 1pt @ 14/1 Skybet There are questions over plenty of the runners in this field so i feel it may just be worth taking a chance on one of the outsiders Most Honourable. The 4yo has shown bits and pieces of form to date that would give him a chance on his handicap debut. He won a juvenile hurdle back in December at Catterick, out-battling Morning With Ivan up the run in who has subsequently scored twice. His 2 runs since haven't really been as good. Particularly the first when he was a disappointing favourite upped in trip, the fact he was beaten so far suggests something wasn't right though, an obvious excuse would be the ground. He then ran in the Scottish Triumph hurdle trial won by Broughton, to be beaten 24L was certainly no disgrace as he wasn't given a hard time. As you'd expect the form of that race is pretty solid, Broughton went off 3rd fav in the Triumph and the 2nd horse Clarcam was running a corker in the Fred Winter until falling late on. He's been allotted and opening mark of 116, its hard to make a case for that being an overly lenient opening mark but at the same time i don't think any of the horses in this field are that well handicapped. One thing that is certainly in his favour is the ground, interestingly his win came on good ground, and his 2 subsequent runs have been on the bottomless ground we've experienced most of this winter. He steps up to 2m 4f, its hard to say whether it will improve him, the way he won his race back in December certainly suggested he would get further. Its also worth noting he gets into this race off a nice low weight with Adam Nichol claiming 5lb (17.31% strike rate) and a hefty weight for age allowance. All in all, not a bet to put your mortgage on but i'd hope he'd outrun odds of 14/1 if he gets the trip.

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread For abit of interest in todays racing i'll chance my arm with another selection: 3.05 - Carlisle - Most Honourable 1pt @ 14/1 Skybet There are questions over plenty of the runners in this field so i feel it may just be worth taking a chance on one of the outsiders Most Honourable. The 4yo has shown bits and pieces of form to date that would give him a chance on his handicap debut. He won a juvenile hurdle back in December at Catterick, out-battling Morning With Ivan up the run in who has subsequently scored twice. His 2 runs since haven't really been as good. Particularly the first when he was a disappointing favourite upped in trip, the fact he was beaten so far suggests something wasn't right though, an obvious excuse would be the ground. He then ran in the Scottish Triumph hurdle trial won by Broughton, to be beaten 24L was certainly no disgrace as he wasn't given a hard time. As you'd expect the form of that race is pretty solid, Broughton went off 3rd fav in the Triumph and the 2nd horse Clarcam was running a corker in the Fred Winter until falling late on. He's been allotted and opening mark of 116, its hard to make a case for that being an overly lenient opening mark but at the same time i don't think any of the horses in this field are that well handicapped. One thing that is certainly in his favour is the ground, interestingly his win came on good ground, and his 2 subsequent runs have been on the bottomless ground we've experienced most of this winter. He steps up to 2m 4f, its hard to say whether it will improve him, the way he won his race back in December certainly suggested he would get further. Its also worth noting he gets into this race off a nice low weight with Adam Nichol claiming 5lb (17.31% strike rate) and a hefty weight for age allowance. All in all, not a bet to put your mortgage on but i'd hope he'd outrun odds of 14/1 if he gets the trip.

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread

Bet for tomorrow: 3.50 - Ffos Las - Hold Court 1pt @ 9/1 Bet365 Hold Court certainly isn't a horse to hold the most confidence in but on a going day he is very capable and his trainer has held him in fairly high regard in the past. He's slipped down to a lowly mark of 115 (was rated 132 this time last year) and while he has put in a series of tame efforts this season i reckon he could be worth chancing. He didn't run too bad when beaten 11L on his penultimate start and after being well backed last time he was a well held 4th. Its worth noting the form of that race has worked out exceptionally well though, with Baltimore Rock going on to win the Imperial Cup and the other 2 horses ahead of him also running well (Canadian Diamond a neck 2nd next time and Whispering Harry scoring at Newbery). He steps back up in trip to 2m 4f and i feel that should be his ideal distance, his last win came over this sort of trip. One thing which could be significant to his chances is the dryer ground. All 4 career wins have come on good/good-sft ground therefore you can give him a slight excuse for some of his recent efforts. I nearly backed him last time at around the 10/1 mark, by the time of the off he was a 9/4 shot suggesting to me someone in the know thinks he's well in. Paul Moloney rides so considering Evan Williams has 3 in this is its fair to assume he is the yards best opportunity of a winner. A very competitive race on paper but if Hold Court can get back to anywhere near the level of his novice form he'd win this no problem

Non Runner - Self Cert (Tempurature) I'll keep an eye out for him in the next few weeks

[AINTREE GRAND NATIONAL > 4:15pm Saturday April 5th]

Re: Aintree Grand National > Saturday April 5th I thought The Package ran quite well at Cheltenham considering he hadn't been seen for a year, looks like he's going to run in this now and off 10-4 i could see him going quite well. He's currently a 66/1 shot... My antepost selection Same Difference (posted above) came 5th trying to defend his crown in the Kim Muir last week. The finishing position makes the run sound better than it was, as he was beat a long way from home. The run should have freshened him up abit though and hopefully i'll still get a run for my money.

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread Think that'll be the only selection for tomorrow, bit of an all or nothing one!

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread Bet for tomorrow: 3.50 - Ffos Las - Hold Court 1pt @ 9/1 Bet365 Hold Court certainly isn't a horse to hold the most confidence in but on a going day he is very capable and his trainer has held him in fairly high regard in the past. He's slipped down to a lowly mark of 115 (was rated 132 this time last year) and while he has put in a series of tame efforts this season i reckon he could be worth chancing. He didn't run too bad when beaten 11L on his penultimate start and after being well backed last time he was a well held 4th. Its worth noting the form of that race has worked out exceptionally well though, with Baltimore Rock going on to win the Imperial Cup and the other 2 horses ahead of him also running well (Canadian Diamond a neck 2nd next time and Whispering Harry scoring at Newbery). He steps back up in trip to 2m 4f and i feel that should be his ideal distance, his last win came over this sort of trip. One thing which could be significant to his chances is the dryer ground. All 4 career wins have come on good/good-sft ground therefore you can give him a slight excuse for some of his recent efforts. I nearly backed him last time at around the 10/1 mark, by the time of the off he was a 9/4 shot suggesting to me someone in the know thinks he's well in. Paul Moloney rides so considering Evan Williams has 3 in this is its fair to assume he is the yards best opportunity of a winner. A very competitive race on paper but if Hold Court can get back to anywhere near the level of his novice form he'd win this no problem

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread

3.50 - Uttoxeter - Goulanes 1pt @ 8/1 Stan James David Pipe has won the last 3 renewals of this race and its probably no coincidence that the 2 i liked in this were trained by him. I felt that Junior was interesting, purely for the fact its the first time in ages he hasn't had to lug a huge weight around in a race like this. However i have sided for Goulanes who does have his risks attached, but looks very well handicapped on the best of his form. He won a Grade 2 novice race on his chasing debut just over a year ago and then backed that up with a fair 6th in the RSA and a 2nd in a good novice race towards the end of the season. This year hasn't been quite as good, you can forgive him his re-appearance when down the field in a competitive Cheltenham handicap, but he was then pulled up in the Welsh national which was his next race. He hasn't been seen since but you can probably view that as a positive, as he comes into tough race like this fresh and he has won off the back of a break before. He's also been given a chance by the handicapper being dropped 8lb since the start of the season, meaning he gets into this race off a feather light weight of 10-3. He wears blinkers and tongue tie and hopefully they'll bring about an improvement of some sort. Richard Johnson rides which is a massive positive, he had a good week riding a winner in these colours in the Arkle.

Should have had more on that one, the wonder of hindsight eh?! Staked: 149pts Returned: 261.72ts P/L: +112.72pts

[Up,Down,Level]

Re: Up,Down,Level I was down, don't know why i bothered really :lol

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread Well done. Unlucky with On His Own, felt abit sorry for David Casey in the stewards room, what an amazing race though. Enjoy tomorrow, i'll be sat watching C4 for the 5th day running :lol

[Lodge's Thread]

Re: Lodge's Thread 3.50 - Uttoxeter - Goulanes 1pt @ 8/1 Stan James David Pipe has won the last 3 renewals of this race and its probably no coincidence that the 2 i liked in this were trained by him. I felt that Junior was interesting, purely for the fact its the first time in ages he hasn't had to lug a huge weight around in a race like this. However i have sided for Goulanes who does have his risks attached, but looks very well handicapped on the best of his form. He won a Grade 2 novice race on his chasing debut just over a year ago and then backed that up with a fair 6th in the RSA and a 2nd in a good novice race towards the end of the season. This year hasn't been quite as good, you can forgive him his re-appearance when down the field in a competitive Cheltenham handicap, but he was then pulled up in the Welsh national which was his next race. He hasn't been seen since but you can probably view that as a positive, as he comes into tough race like this fresh and he has won off the back of a break before. He's also been given a chance by the handicapper being dropped 8lb since the start of the season, meaning he gets into this race off a feather light weight of 10-3. He wears blinkers and tongue tie and hopefully they'll bring about an improvement of some sort. Richard Johnson rides which is a massive positive, he had a good week riding a winner in these colours in the Arkle.