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Posts posted by ExcitableBoy
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Tuesday's Selections:
Time Track Horse Odds 13:30:00 Lingfield Ennaadd 2.98 15:10:00 Lingfield Naizah (IRE) 3.6 15:25:00 Punchestown Fine Article (IRE) 4.7 15:50:00 Catterick Tarando 4.6 17:10:00 Wolverhampton Frank The Barber (IRE) 5.8 19:10:00 Wolverhampton Lacey 4.1 -
Monday Results:
Time Track Horse Odds Result P/L 13:20:00 Leicester Zaza Zest (IRE) 2.42 L 0.95 13:35:00 Wexford Prince Kup (IRE) 5.55 L Outside Range 13:50:00 Leicester Robert The Painter (IRE) 3.73 L 0.95 13:55:00 Galway Captain Von Trappe (IRE) 1.63 W -0.63 14:05:00 Redcar Soldier In Action (FR) 2.48 L 0.95 14:15:00 Ayr Love The Leader (IRE) 3.3 W -2.3 14:15:00 Ayr Andhaar 3.7 L 0.95 14:15:00 Ayr Farragon (IRE) 5.88 L Outside Range 14:25:00 Leicester Hillside Dream (IRE) 2.71 L 0.95 15:35:00 Galway Baily Cloud (IRE) 5 W -4 15:55:00 Ayr Jack Steel (IRE) 2.47 W -1.47 16:20:00 Wexford Tuzo (IRE) 3.13 W -2.13 Loss on Day -5.78 -
Monday's Selections:
Time Track Horse Odds 13:20:00 Leicester Zaza Zest (IRE) 2.08 13:35:00 Wexford Prince Kup (IRE) 4.2 13:50:00 Leicester Robert The Painter (IRE) 3.5 13:55:00 Galway Captain Von Trappe (IRE) 2.34 14:05:00 Redcar Soldier In Action (FR) 2.48 14:15:00 Ayr Love The Leader (IRE) 3.45 14:15:00 Ayr Andhaar 4.6 14:15:00 Ayr Farragon (IRE) 4.9 14:25:00 Leicester Hillside Dream (IRE) 3.75 15:35:00 Galway Baily Cloud (IRE) 4.4 15:55:00 Ayr Jack Steel (IRE) 3.45 16:20:00 Wexford Tuzo (IRE) 2.96 -
Losing Day yesterday :
Time Track Horse BFSP Result 13:55:00 Aintree Gone Forever 12.5 L Outside Range 14:05:00 Galway My Direction 10.96 L Outside Range 14:15:00 Wincanton Uncle Tone (IRE) 6.2 L Outside Range 14:20:00 Leopardstown Sovereign Debt (IRE) 4.94 W -3.94 15:05:00 Galway Dramatic Event (IRE) 3.03 L 0.95 15:45:00 Wincanton Wade Harper (IRE) 2 L 0.95 16:35:00 Aintree La Bague Au Roi (FR) 3.12 W -2.12 Loss on Day: -4.16 -
Sunday's selections (NO BET IF UNDER 5.0 BFSP):
Time Track Horse 13:55:00 Aintree Gone Forever 14:05:00 Galway My Direction 14:15:00 Wincanton Uncle Tone (IRE) 14:20:00 Leopardstown Sovereign Debt (IRE) 15:05:00 Galway Dramatic Event (IRE) 15:45:00 Wincanton Wade Harper (IRE) 16:35:00 Aintree La Bague Au Roi (FR) -
Saturday's Results:
Time Track Horse BFSP Result P/L 13:50:00 Newbury Zonderland 3.13 L 0.95 13:55:00 Kelso Towerburn (IRE) 12.63 L Outside Range 14:10:00 Cheltenham Boondooma (IRE) 9.49 W Outside Range 14:25:00 Newbury Rawaki (IRE) 10.88 L Outside Range 14:30:00 Kelso Racing Europe (IRE) 3.54 L 0.95 14:55:00 Leopardstown Torcedor (IRE) 5.47 L Outside Range 15:10:00 Doncaster Storm Force Ten 5.83 L Outside Range 15:30:00 Leopardstown Blue De Vega (GER) 2.52 W -1.52 15:35:00 Newbury Alamode 4.28 L 0.95 15:40:00 Kelso Baraboy (IRE) 11.5 L Outside Range 15:50:00 Wexford Coolbane West (IRE) 13 L Outside Range 15:55:00 Cheltenham Atlantic Gold (IRE) 5.17 W Outside Range 15:55:00 Cheltenham Tradewinds (FR) 7.62 L Outside Range 16:05:00 Leopardstown Fire Tree (IRE) 12 L Outside Range 16:15:00 Kelso Oscar Blue (IRE) 2.04 W -1.04 16:20:00 Doncaster Mystic Miraaj 6.6 L Outside Range 16:25:00 Wexford Marvellous Moment (IRE) 3.72 L 0.95 16:40:00 Leopardstown Laganore (IRE) 5.68 W Outside Range 16:50:00 Kelso The Ice Factor 13.84 L Outside Range 17:05:00 Cheltenham Sky Khan 20 L Outside Range 17:05:00 Cheltenham Slim Pickens (IRE) 11.29 L Outside Range 17:15:00 Leopardstown Whatsforuwontgobyu (IRE) 9.24 L Outside Range 17:35:00 Wexford Cashelard Lady (IRE) 11.29 W Outside Range 17:40:00 Cheltenham Fountains Windfall 4.8 L 0.95 18:40:00 Chelmsford City King Cole (USA) 1.8 W -0.8 20:40:00 Chelmsford City Doctor Kehoe 3.28 L 0.95 20:40:00 Chelmsford City Peeps 8.92 L Outside Range 21:10:00 Chelmsford City Bubbly Bailey 18.06 L Outside Range Day Profit 2.34 Bets 30 Start Bank 100 Wins 23 Profit/Loss 7.71 S/R 76.70% Av Odds 3.7 Bank 107.71 Av Win Odds 3.91 -
15:20 Cheltenham Big Casino 11.0 Ladbrokes
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I have sightly tweaked the selection criteria today as when I analysed last night I discovered one category was underperforming really badly. I'm very early again so these are forecast prices which seem to mean nothing.
- NO BET UNDER 5.0 BFSP!!!!
Time Track Horse F/C Odds 13:50:00 Newbury Zonderland 3 13:55:00 Kelso Towerburn (IRE) 6 14:10:00 Cheltenham Boondooma (IRE) 3.5 14:25:00 Newbury Rawaki (IRE) 4 14:30:00 Kelso Racing Europe (IRE) 6 14:55:00 Leopardstown Torcedor (IRE) 2.5 15:10:00 Doncaster Storm Force Ten 5.5 15:30:00 Leopardstown Blue De Vega (GER) 2.5 15:35:00 Newbury Alamode 2.25 15:40:00 Kelso Baraboy (IRE) 6 15:50:00 Wexford Coolbane West (IRE) 5 15:55:00 Cheltenham Atlantic Gold (IRE) 4 15:55:00 Cheltenham Tradewinds (FR) 5 16:05:00 Leopardstown Fire Tree (IRE) 5 16:15:00 Kelso Oscar Blue (IRE) 2 16:20:00 Doncaster Mystic Miraaj 4.5 16:25:00 Wexford Marvellous Moment (IRE) 2 16:40:00 Leopardstown Laganore (IRE) 3 16:50:00 Kelso The Ice Factor 3.5 17:05:00 Cheltenham Sky Khan 6 17:05:00 Cheltenham Slim Pickens (IRE) 4.5 17:15:00 Leopardstown Whatsforuwontgobyu (IRE) 6 17:35:00 Wexford Cashelard Lady (IRE) 6 17:40:00 Cheltenham Fountains Windfall 4 18:40:00 Chelmsford City King Cole (USA) 4 20:40:00 Chelmsford City Doctor Kehoe 2 20:40:00 Chelmsford City Peeps 5 21:10:00 Chelmsford City Bubbly Bailey 6 -
This evening's results:
Time Track Horse BFSP Result P/L 18:35:00 Dundalk Aye Aye Skipper (IRE) 4.79 L 0.95 19:50:00 Wolverhampton Zed Candy Girl 6.1 L Outside Range 20:05:00 Dundalk Take Cover 4.56 W -3.56 20:50:00 Wolverhampton Minstrel Lad 4.61 L 0.95 21:05:00 Dundalk Maknificent (IRE) 4.94 L 0.95 21:05:00 Dundalk Talented Kid 4.77 L 0.95 Profit 0.24 -
Selections for this evening (Over 5.0 at BFSP THEN NO BET): Time Track Horse Odds 18:35:00 Dundalk Aye Aye Skipper (IRE) 4 19:50:00 Wolverhampton Zed Candy Girl 4.9 20:05:00 Dundalk Take Cover 4.3 20:50:00 Wolverhampton Minstrel Lad 5.5 21:05:00 Dundalk Maknificent (IRE) 3.15 21:05:00 Dundalk Talented Kid 5.5 -
Results from this afternoon:
Time Track Horse BFSP Result P/L 13:30:00 Doncaster Scarlet Dragon 9.82 L Outside Range 13:50:00 Newbury Bedrock 3.7 W -2.7 14:10:00 Cheltenham Exxaro (IRE) 3.63 L 0.95 14:45:00 Cheltenham Sizing Codelco (IRE) 4 N/R N/R 15:00:00 Newbury Missy Blue Eyes 7.63 L Outside Range 15:00:00 Newbury Silken Skies (IRE) 9.4 L Outside Range 15:35:00 Newbury Mill Point 21.6 L Outside Range 16:10:00 Newbury Predominance (IRE) 5.12 L Outside Range 16:20:00 Doncaster Newera 10.76 L Outside Range 16:45:00 Newbury Victory Bond 18.9 L Outside Range 16:55:00 Doncaster Clovelly Bay (IRE) 4.81 L 0.95 17:05:00 Cheltenham Top Cat Henry (IRE) 4.2 L 0.95 17:15:00 Newbury Medburn Cutler 9.6 L Outside Range 17:15:00 Newbury The Ducking Stool 14 W Outside Range 17:30:00 Doncaster Gone Viral (IRE) 4.33 L 0.95 17:30:00 Doncaster Moojaned (IRE) 21.7 W Outside Range Bets 16 Day P/L +1.1 Wins 13 Start Bank 100 Strike Rate 81.20% Total P/L 5.13 Av. Odds 3.64 Av. W Odds 3.69 Bank 105.13 -
Cheltenham 17.05 Perfect Timing @11.0 Ladbrokes
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I'm rather early with this today as I'm in a rush.
The odds below are forecast and there are a lot around the cutoff point. NO BET IF BFSP IS OVER 5.0.
I will look at this evening's racing later in the day.
Time Track Horse F/C Odds 13:30:00 Doncaster Scarlet Dragon 6 13:50:00 Newbury Bedrock 4.5 14:10:00 Cheltenham Exxaro (IRE) 4 14:45:00 Cheltenham Sizing Codelco (IRE) 4 15:00:00 Newbury Missy Blue Eyes 6 15:00:00 Newbury Silken Skies (IRE) 2.25 15:35:00 Newbury Mill Point 6 16:10:00 Newbury Predominance (IRE) 2.25 16:20:00 Doncaster Newera 5 16:45:00 Newbury Victory Bond 6 16:55:00 Doncaster Clovelly Bay (IRE) 5.5 17:05:00 Cheltenham Top Cat Henry (IRE) 4 17:15:00 Newbury Medburn Cutler 5.5 17:15:00 Newbury The Ducking Stool 6 17:30:00 Doncaster Gone Viral (IRE) 4 17:30:00 Doncaster Moojaned (IRE) 6 -
I'll say it again~ No Exchanges allowed
Sorry!
I'll read the rules tomorrow!
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Time Track Horse Result BFSP P/L 14:30:00 Southwell Larkhall W 3.55 -2.55 15:15:00 Thurles Buyer Beware (IRE) L 4.30 0.95 15:45:00 Ludlow Angus Glens L 2.68 0.95 15:55:00 Carlisle Courtown Oscar (IRE) L 3.95 0.95 16:05:00 Southwell Stormbay Bomber (IRE) L 3.96 0.95 16:15:00 Ludlow Butlergrove King (IRE) W 2.97 -1.97 16:20:00 Thurles Ted Veale (IRE) L 2.39 0.95 16:45:00 Ludlow Gowanauthat (IRE) L 3.45 0.95 16:50:00 Thurles Vic Approach (IRE) L 2.70 0.95 16:55:00 Carlisle Solway Legend L 4.70 0.95 17:15:00 Ludlow Makethedifference (IRE) L 2.93 0.95 TOTAL FOR DAY 4.03 -
Bit late to start this month, but I'll get into it by November.
2.30 Southwell Going Nowhere Fast Currently 2.84 Fav on BF
Reasoning? I'd lay the next three in the betting
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Selections Thursday 22 October:
Time Track Horse Odds Taken 14:30:00 Southwell Larkhall 4.7 15:15:00 Thurles Buyer Beware (IRE) 3.55 15:45:00 Ludlow Angus Glens 2.74 15:55:00 Carlisle Courtown Oscar (IRE) 3.1 16:05:00 Southwell Stormbay Bomber (IRE) 3.4 16:15:00 Ludlow Butlergrove King (IRE) 3.3 16:20:00 Thurles Ted Veale (IRE) 2.46 16:45:00 Ludlow Gowanauthat (IRE) 3.8 16:50:00 Thurles Vic Approach (IRE) 2.74 16:55:00 Carlisle Solway Legend 4.8 17:15:00 Ludlow Makethedifference (IRE) 2.76 -
I've had a break from horseracing due to family commitments but now I'm back and I'm having a look at laying. I've never had much success laying, so be warned!
The angle is this: I am looking at trainers who are having a barren patch who are putting out horses in races where they should have a good chance on paper. The theory is that if they are generally not doing well the horse won't be at it's best either so gives us an edge. I'm only laying under 5.0 as I've had a look at this over the last week or so and this gives me the biggest edge. I am also filtering against my own ratings which can mean that what might be an otherwise obvious pick will be excluded.
I will try to post before 1pm and will show BF prices I have taken. In practice I'd lay to liability, but as per forum rules I'll show profit/loss to 1 unit at BFSP.
Wish me luck!
EB
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Re: *** Grosvenor Poker League starts 4th May - £440 Added Value - 1st Leg May 4th **
Ouch! Was that first or second hand?that was fun - AA v KK v 33 and Mr Bell hits a 3 -
Re: *** Grosvenor Poker League starts 4th May - £440 Added Value - 1st Leg May 4th ** Took a while, but I'm in!
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Re: *** Grosvenor Poker League starts 4th May - £440 Added Value - 1st Leg May 4th ** Hi Everyone, Great to hear that this has been resurrected - I'd love to play again if I can get my account up and running in time. I think my username is tigergambit99. EB
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Re: PL Exclusive - Stan James November Poker League - $650 added Final 2nd Dec
Yes, it's there. Under the special tab. Unclick the "Hide registration closed" button.Is it on? Can't see it! Quick bath! -
Re: Sunday Night Poker 1/12/13 Bubbled the PP mag - really annoying. Still in the 20K 100/168 with 108 paid. Need a double really.
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Re: IPOPS MAIN EVENT £400k IN RUNNING THREAD WP all, keep at it!
Cold Trainer Lays
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Sorry, I haven't had time to get on this today. Here are today's selections, for completeness I'm shoeing three who have already run, but I won't include in the stats. A couple of winning lays yesterday.
No bet over 5.0!!!