Smurf
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Re: Last 16 - Colombia v Uruguay > Saturday June 28th
Up until now' date=' Colombia and Uruguay played 38 matches and the results were relatively similar:11 wins for Colombia, 18 for Uruguay, and 9 draws. It means there are no obvious favorites this time and both teams can win the match. So I predict that both teams score and Colombia wins[/quote'] If i'm being honest your reasoning for this outcome is about as good as the Man Utd namesake of your username :\ You cannot compare the last 38 matches between two nations to use as a guide to their next game against each other, let alone saying that because the "results were relatively similar that there are no obvious favourites so you predict both teams will score". Columbia now and Columbia 38 games ago are two completely different teams. Likewise with Uruguay. I am not saying your prediction will not come out, but the basis on which you have made it, is grossly flawed. Not least because Uruguay's main man, main attacking threat and overall link up player will be banned. -
Re: Last 16 - Colombia v Uruguay > Saturday June 28th
It crossed my mind' date=' but I think there is an outside chance it might end up goalless as Uruguay, with their attack blunted tighten up at back, which is why I'd rather go heavily on Uruguay not to score.[/quote'] Yes. You could be right actually and to be fair Uruguay can defened well when they did in, but for me I think I will take the risk on Columbia being able to score a goal. -
Re: Last 16 - Colombia v Uruguay > Saturday June 28th
I agree with your post entirely, although as I don't see Uruguay keeping Columbia from scoring over 90 minutes with how impressive Rodriguez and Co. have been I think there is more value in Columbia to win to nil @ 3.00 rather than just to keep a clean sheet @ 2.37?Hi guys, my first post here. I'm a huge believer in following the trend. The columbians are riding the crest of the wave at the moment, while the uruguayans are now ingulfed in the turmoil of the Suarez bite. We saw how clueless they looked against Costa Rica without him and how completely transformed they were against England when he did play. It's not just the goal threat he poses, but he genuinely lifts them up in a way that I don't see any other player do for his country. We are now in the knock out stages and even though this has been a record breaking tournament when it comes to the number of goals scored, teams tend to tighten up come the business end of the world cup which is why I think we won't see many goal fests from here on out. As far as this game, and with odds on Colombia still going down I like the looks of these two bets: Colombia to keep a clean sheet @ 2.37, 5pts and Colombia and under 2.5 goals @ 4.0 2pts with bet365 -
Re: Norway Nm Cup 27Jun-2 Jul I like the look of Ranheim against Brann. Brann are on an awful run of form losing their last 5 league games with their only win in that period coming from the last round of the cup against an average 3rd tier team in Fyllingsdalen. While they tend to score in most games it's their lack of quality in defence that lets them down. Ranheim on the other hand are having a good season in division one, currently sitting in 3rd position. They have impressed in the cup this season, most notably in the last round away at Rosenborg, one of the best teams in the country. They fought back from being 2-0 down in the first half to take a 2-2 score into extra time and eventually winning by 4 goals to 3 in extra time. I had backed Rosenborg in this match but Ranheim were definitely worthy of their win IMO. Ranheim - DNB @ 2.88 with PaddyPower (5/10) Over 2.5 @ 1.53 with Bet365 (7/10)
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Re: World Cup 2014 > Top Goalscorer Outright Betting
I am with you on this bet too (although now down to 60/1). I also like the same selection but with Benzema as top goal scorer for the above mentioned reasons of Benezema likely chances of lifting the boot. Germany/Benzema @ 45/1Based on the above advice I like the look of Germany/Van Persie @ 65/1 on Bet 365. Of the favourites I don't fancy Argentina at all and believe they will be found out against a stronger side and I think Brazil have been fairly poor. Having said that, both should make the semi-finals but I'd take Germany to beat either of these at that stage and go on to win it. Holland will surely make the semi finals given the draw (and the Evens on Bet 365 about this looks tremendous value to me BTW). The Mexico game will be tight but a quarter final against Greece or Costa Rica looks like an opportunity for goals. -
Re: Group G - Portugal v Ghana > Thursday June 26th
Sorry mate' date=' never saw your post.. I'd be inclined to swerve toward Portugal for the game with all the friction in the Ghana camp.[/quote'] No problem :ok I starting to think the same too, although I have foolishly already staked a fair amount on Ghana before I heard the news. -
Re: Group G - Portugal v Ghana > Thursday June 26th Is anyone worried how all this wages payments and possible non training until being paid will effect the game? Also reports that Muntari & KPB have been banished from the training camp and won't feature.
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Re: Group D: Italy vs Uruguay > Tues 24th June
I think the odds are priced about right tbh. Yes it's an important game but the way Italy play doesn't usually leave them open to counter attacks where defensive players need to make last ditch/rash challenges. Italy have had only two players booked in their last 5 games, so it may be a tough bet to come in IMO.I found my bet for this match at bet365, offering Italy Over 1.5 Yellow Cards @ 2.5. Ref is Marco Rodriguez, he refreereed Belgium - Algeria and showed 2 cards there, also has two games from WC2010 where he showed 4 and 5 respectively with a red card in each game. Bet365 counts an instant red as 2 yellows so if Italy has one sent off bet is won also. My take on this game is anything can happen, from tight and nervous 0-0 to extreme goal fest for either or both teams. This can interfere with over/under bets and winner bets, but this cards bet should have a good chance to come through either way. This game there is A LOT at stake and emotions will be strong and jugdements clouded. Another strong reason I like the bet is because Italy has only Balotelli booked so far, which means that every defensive player is free to take a yellow card to stop a Uruguay attack. And its the last game, so cards are 'reset' again for the knockout round, a yellow card here is almost meaningless. I would give it at least 50% chance to come through so odds of 2.5 are great. -
Re: Finland » Veikkausliiga » 23-24 Jun
Lahti are the better team and are also in good form, however they have only beaten Jaro once in their last 6 games against each other with Jaro winning the other 5. For me it's a no bet.For today Lahti - Jaro ? -
Re: Finland » Veikkausliiga » 23-24 Jun
KuPS 1 - 3 Mariehamn. Both bets lost. Mariehamn with a late goal (82nd min) to go in front and then a last minute goal to add insult to injury in the 96th min. Mariehamn did fully deserve their win and attacked well from the start.I like the look of KuPS to score over 1.5 team goals @ 1.83 with Bet365 (6/10) I also like KuPS to win @ 1.95 with Bet365 (5/10) KuPS are on a good run of form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Mariehamn on the other hand have only won once in their last 9 games. They have conceded 2 or more goals in their last 4 away games and lost away to KuPS 4-0 only 2 weeks ago. For me this must surely be a home win and I also like the look of KuPS putting at least two goals past the Islanders poor defence. -
Re: Group A: Cameroon vs Brazil > Mon 23rd June Brazil must win. 1) To make sure they qualify and top their group 2) To spark some confidence into their players, management and fans. Cameroon are a shambles this year which has been well documented. As it has been discussed greatly above, there have been rumours and question marks over the team selection for tonight. I personally can only see a full strength XI that will be pushing to get in-front as soon as possible and then once this is accomplished the heavy hitters (mainly Neymar) will get their rests. Brazil, when playing well put a lot of pressure on their opponents from the start and I think they can go ahead in this game early on. This will be their main game plan if they are to rest key players in the second half. Cameroon have nothing going forward and also a poor back line. They are without their central rock in Song and their talisman Eto'o. Looking at all this together I really fancy small stakes on Brazil to be winning with a -1 handicap at half time and for Neymar and co. to make quick work of beating their lowly opponents this evening with a first solid performance in their home country. Brazil (-1.0) handicap at HT @ 2.80 with Ladbrookes
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Re: Finland » Veikkausliiga » 23-24 Jun
I like the look of KuPS to score over 1.5 team goals @ 1.83 with Bet365 (6/10) I also like KuPS to win @ 1.95 with Bet365 (5/10) KuPS are on a good run of form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games. Mariehamn on the other hand have only won once in their last 9 games. They have conceded 2 or more goals in their last 4 away games and lost away to KuPS 4-0 only 2 weeks ago. For me this must surely be a home win and I also like the look of KuPS putting at least two goals past the Islanders poor defence.Any opinion guys for today matches? -
Re: Group A: Cameroon vs Brazil > Mon 23rd June
Guys they have been preparing for this tournament for 4 years' date=' they have played a virtual first choice team in every friendly they have played during this period. They are under MASSIVE pressure to win the group as they will get absolutely hammered by the media if they don't win it, why on earth would they start resting players now before they have qualified for the next phase!? Doesn't make any sense and it won't happen.[/quote'] I have to totally agree with this. Brazil have played poor in both matches for their standards and therefore there is no way they can be complacent and arrogant enough to think they can put out a weakened side. Yes I think once they are 2 goals clear (minimum) in the game then they may start bringing the likes of Neymar off early but he will definitely start the game as everyone in the world knows as much as Big Phill that the donkey that is Fred cannot be trusted to do the job. -
Re: USA v Portugal > Sunday June 22nd
USA 2-2 Portugal Both bets won and a nice tidy profit made from selections I invested in quite alot. I also had money on over 3.5 goals @ 2.75 so this match did me a big help.After USA's win over Ghana and Portugal's crushing defeat to Germany this tie is key to both sides if they wish to progress. USA will have had a confidence boost from their first game and come into this match having scored 2 goals in each of their last 5 games, with only one shut out (against Azerbaijan) recorded. USA's strength is in their attack and with the clinical Clint Dempsey up top they have a chance to score against most teams. Another big boost for them going forward is that two of Portugal's first choice back 4 will be out of this game (Pepe - suspension & Coentrao - injury), while Pepe can be a liability at times he is a very experienced centre back and will be missed, Coentrao is also a big miss as his link up play and runs forward down the left can often be key to Portugal's counter attacking play. Portugal have the above mentioned players omitted and also their lone striker, Hugo Almeida is a doubt, however he is a very poor striker and isn't too big of a miss in any case. Portugal usually always have a goal or two in them with their attacking play and Ronaldo has proved time and time again that he can make something from nothing. In the first half an hour against Germany, Portugal looked very very threatening. For me BTTS is very very likely in this game and a bet I am confident in to back strongly. BTTS YES @ 1.80 with Bet365 (6/10 units) BTTS YES & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.25 with Bet365 (5/10 units) -
Re: USA v Portugal > Sunday June 22nd After USA's win over Ghana and Portugal's crushing defeat to Germany this tie is key to both sides if they wish to progress. USA will have had a confidence boost from their first game and come into this match having scored 2 goals in each of their last 5 games, with only one shut out (against Azerbaijan) recorded. USA's strength is in their attack and with the clinical Clint Dempsey up top they have a chance to score against most teams. Another big boost for them going forward is that two of Portugal's first choice back 4 will be out of this game (Pepe - suspension & Coentrao - injury), while Pepe can be a liability at times he is a very experienced centre back and will be missed, Coentrao is also a big miss as his link up play and runs forward down the left can often be key to Portugal's counter attacking play. Portugal have the above mentioned players omitted and also their lone striker, Hugo Almeida is a doubt, however he is a very poor striker and isn't too big of a miss in any case. Portugal usually always have a goal or two in them with their attacking play and Ronaldo has proved time and time again that he can make something from nothing. In the first half an hour against Germany, Portugal looked very very threatening. For me BTTS is very very likely in this game and a bet I am confident in to back strongly. BTTS YES @ 1.80 with Bet365 (6/10 units) BTTS YES & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.25 with Bet365 (5/10 units)
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Re: Group E - Switzerland v France > Friday June 20th
You need to provide reasoning with your statements otherwise it is not a useful post.I would go for a France win at Ladbrokes as well -
Re: Group D - Italy v Costa Rica - Friday June 20th
Good for you. Care to tell us why you think this is the right bet?Backing Italy to win -
Re: Group D - Italy v Costa Rica - Friday June 20th
Do you have any reasoning for this? Especially as Italy have had only one player booked in their last 4 games.I like to find a bet which returns me evens on my stake and I think I found a beauty Italt team bookings over1.5 6/5 @Bet365 -
Re: Group D - Uruguay v England > Thursday June 19th
What is the point in even betting at those odds?This is a match that could decide everything at the World Cup. If Uruguay wins, they can advance to the next stage. If England win, they can advance to the next stage. One of these teams will be devastated tonight as both teams are strong contenders to play the World Cup final, and defeat means they wont. England played a stunning match with Italy in the first round of matches, and were unlucky to lose. Uruguay played a terrible match against Costa Rica and suffered a royal pummelling. This seems to suggest England will win today, but football is never this simple. Suarez is back and he will add necessary bite to Uruguay who looked toothless upfront against the Ricans. England played a nice fixture against Italy but were limp in front of goal. But neither team looked assured defensively so goals could come, however with the intensity of the clash do not be surprised if this is a one goal match. Neither team will want a draw so my one and only bet: Back Over 0.5 goals at 1/14 on Betfair -
Re: Group B - Australia v Netherlands > Wednesday June 18th
I agree that certain team may do this to help with the latter stages but playing against a good Chile team may not be an ideal time to miss some of your more influential players as Holland will want to top their group. So bare that in mind with this game.Im not with you on that one and the reason is At this moment de Vrij, van Persie and de Guzman have one yellow card each from the game against Spain. I have a feeling that if Netherlands have 3-0, 4-0 against Australia with 10-15 minutes left this players will take "tactical" booking to miss the last group game so that they can play the next round. So i will go with Netherlands o1.5 yellow cards @ 2.55 (Betsson) -
Re: Group A - Brazil v Croatia > Thursday June 12th For everyone's information the line ups are: Brazil XI: Julio César, Dani Alves, Thiago Silva, David Luiz, Marcelo; Luiz Gustavo, Paulinho, Oscar, Hulk; Fred, Neymar Croatia XI: Pletikosa; Srna, Corluka, Lovren, Vrsaijko; Brozovic, Modric, Rakitic, Perisic; Olic, Jelavic
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Re: Norway»Tippeligaen Tomorrow, 12 Jun
Great great call Lisandri. I often follow your tips and find them very very informative. Your double is also winning at HTToday 19:00 @ Arasen Stadion,Kjeller! Lillestrom-Stromsgodset I believe in home side victory today Home win 2.45 @ unibet 8/10 ! Good Luck! -
Re: England > Midweek > Non-league Apr 14-17 Staines v Tonbridge Angels Tuesday 15th April. On paper, Staines seem a good prospect at 1.73 with Bet365. Staines are in 9th position with an outside chance of the play offs and they have a very impressive home record. W12 D4 L2. Tonbridge on the other hand have only won 3 times away from home and have lost 12 overall. Tonbridge are second from bottom so are in desperate need of points, but will they come against Staines? Staines are in good form having only lost one in their last 9 fixtures. Although this looks a decent bet on paper I do not know an awful lot about this league. Does anyone else have any more knowledge on this game and wether it is worth some investment?
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > Tuesday April 8th
Think we now know the answer to this after they have conceded the most goals in a game at home in the league since 2007.Hi all' date=' [b']Is there any chance anyone knows what Leicesters celebrations have been like since the weekend? I know the old, 'we will concentrate to the end of the season' etc will be rolled out but they need a maximum 9 pts from 18 to guarantee the title with promotion secured. If they were to let a game slip then this would be the one for me against a Brighton team still in need as of many points as possible for the play-offs. If the Leicester players have went a bit overboard and Brighton play the sort of football they can, then the 10/3 avaliable on them could hold some value. Craig Mackail-Smith is back in the squad and could start and they also have loads of experience running through the team. Lua Lua offers pace and power, with Ulloa a good finisher even if he hasn't shown it recently. Any opinions are very welcome, especially if some inside knowledge to Leicesters preparations are shared!!
Last 16 - Costa Rica v Greece > Sunday June 29th
in World Cup 2022 Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: Last 16 - Costa Rica v Greece > Sunday June 29th
Very good bet and I'm glad I followed you on it