Tyler
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Posts posted by Tyler
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Re: Darts: Premier League Week 7 [4pts] Peter Taylor (to beat J. Wade) x Adrian Lewis (to beat T. Jenkins) @ 2.15 (Via Boyles) Peter Taylor set a world record on the weekend by scoring the highest ever three-dart average for a televised event in darts history in beating Raymond van Barneveld in Holland. This came after a stuttering, but easy win over the Wizard last week which was his 5th straight Premier League win. He's just on fire right now and I really see no match for him at all from anyone, anywhere. To be honest, James Wade has the ability to beat Taylor and has done in the past but he's such a shadow of his former self right now that I just can't back him. Last week against Terry Jenkins he threw some fantastic darts but followed it up with some stinkers and the inconsistency just won't work with Taylor. He almost threw away a 6-2 lead and only just ended up wining 8-6 against 2nd bottom Jenkins last week and I just can't see a resurgent Taylor letting up tomorrow. He may even be a little tired but the quality he has over Wade should be enough to see him through. Lewis on the other hand is in a similar position to Taylor. I actually think his performance last week against Anderson was the best performance from anyone in the whole competition so far. He had beer thrown on him in the walk in, coins being thrown at him mid-throws and found himself 3-0 down to a resurgent Anderson. Yet he still showed the maturity and the tekkers to overturn the deficit to win 8-3. Serious guy. Think he'll be too much for Jenkins who is struggling at the bottom of the table. Both Taylor and Lewis will see these as great opportunities to push on at the top and secure their places in the semis. At odds of better than evens I'll pay to see them do it.
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Re: Golf: PGA Tour 2011 - Arnold Palmer Invitational Hornet, your research is fantastic :clap. I have my fingers crossed for you, I hope it pays off. :hope
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Should be a cracker tomorrow. 3 for me: [3pts] West Indies highest 1st Fifteen Overs (-2.5runs) @ EVS (via Sportingbet) Should the big man Chris Gayle get a hold of a couple tomorrow, then this should sail in. If you remove the complete obliteration of Bangladesh and the drab opening to the match against Ireland (where Chanderpaul opened), the Windies have been very impressive in the 1st 15 overs of their matches. Their scores read 72 (vs South Africa), 95 (vs Holland), 106 (vs. England), 84 (vs. India). They usually come out of the blocks quickly and more importantly, they have boundary hitters at the top of their order. Gayle needs no introducing and the very consistent & in-form Devon Smith will despatch anything with a hint of width. Should one of those fall, Bravo comes in and again, he can drive very well and score quick enough. Pakistan on the other hand aren't AS quick out the blocks. So far their 1st fifteen over scores have gone 61 (vs Kenya), 79 (vs Sri Lanka), 67 (vs Canada), 46 (vs NZ), 57 (vs Zimbabwe), 62 (vs. Aus). We all know their openers are a concern in their line up. Shehzad has been dropped and replaced by the more attacking Kamran at the top of the order and against Australia, it didn't really help matters. Their problem is the fact that they lose wickets early on too often and have to slow the scoring to ensure they lose no more. Should Hafeez fail again and/or Kamran go after one too many then I think the Windies will take this. Don't get me wrong, Gul and Razzaq won't be amazingly easy to score off but I fancy them to take this at a nice price. [3pts] Over 5.5 Sixes @ 5/6 (via William Hill) When you look at the potential hitters on show tomorrow, six sixes doesn't look like that much of stretch. The majority of other bookies have this at 6.5 so I didn't want to let this one slip with Gayle, Bravo, Sammy, Pollard, Umar, Kamran, Afridi & Razzaq on show tomorrow. The ground here at Dhaka isn't MASSIVE. The recent games here haven't displayed that many but the first match of the whole tournament showed that if a batsman gets in, this is easily clearable. One of the aforemorementioned guys can take care of half of this an there is enough pace early up to exploit on top a multitude of semi average spinners to take care of so I reckon this is do-able. [1pt] A. Shafiq Top Pakistan Batsman @ 5/1 (via StanJames) I like the look of Shafiq. He came in for the flop that was Shehzad and scored more runs in his first innings than in Shehzad's previous four. 46 against Zimbabwe and 78* against the Aussies show what this guy can do under pressure and after having not had any time in the middle recently. He has a good temperament and a decent technique to go with it. Not the fastest scorer ever but to be honest I couldn't give a fxck. He's in good nick and I like the odds being given for him to top score. So I'll have a dig.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Played Infamous :clap You seem to be one of the few that are in decent profit so far so keep that up. This tournament has been erratically up and down and for me and right now I'm in the middle of a stupid nose-dive after seemingly lifting myself out of one of my worst losing streaks ever. Factoring in a few settled outrights I'm currently sitting at -22.71. Lovely. Still have Sri Lanka to win the thing though and despite scores of 4 and 3 already Dilshan is somehow still in the Top Ten runscorers. Hopefully him and his team do the business for me before it's all wrapped up. To be honest I never expected the 'Top 8' to be the final 8 in this tournament. Secretly I fancy Pakistan to be shock finalists come April 2nd and at 7.50, I might have a small play each way. Slyly fancy the Aussies to beat the Indians too but we'll save that one for later. I salute anyone else who is in profit. Let's make it a good last seven matches.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011
This is getting ridiculous now. India are horrible finishers.2.5pts 14-17 Wickets to fall in match 13/8 Sportingbet Like the look of this. At the end of the day I see all ten West Indian wickets falling tomorrow and that will contribute the majority of these. This wicket at Chennai is expected to turn square and produce a drab low scoring affair. If WI Bat first, I expect the attack of Khan, Ashwin, Harbhajan, Yuvraj etc to get all ten West Indian wickets and exploit their frailties against the turning ball. The quality in the Indian batting line up are good enough to chase whatever is set infront of them without losing 8 wickets. On the flipside, the Windies are good enough to post a big enough score for the Indians to chase with the loss of four wickets. When Ireland set them 208 to win, they had them five down at the finish. Holland set India an even lower target and again they were five down at the finish. The fear here is that India bat first and lose a whole host of wickets at the end of their innings like they have done against SA and England. Either way though I'll play here with smallish stakes. -
Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Horrible. Horrible, horrible, horrible. Looking at a few others but for the time being: 2.5pts 14-17 Wickets to fall in match 13/8 Sportingbet Like the look of this. At the end of the day I see all ten West Indian wickets falling tomorrow and that will contribute the majority of these. This wicket at Chennai is expected to turn square and produce a drab low scoring affair. If WI Bat first, I expect the attack of Khan, Ashwin, Harbhajan, Yuvraj etc to get all ten West Indian wickets and exploit their frailties against the turning ball. The quality in the Indian batting line up are good enough to chase whatever is set infront of them without losing 8 wickets. On the flipside, the Windies are good enough to post a big enough score for the Indians to chase with the loss of four wickets. When Ireland set them 208 to win, they had them five down at the finish. Holland set India an even lower target and again they were five down at the finish. The fear here is that India bat first and lose a whole host of wickets at the end of their innings like they have done against SA and England. Either way though I'll play here with smallish stakes. 1pt M. Singh Dhoni Top India Batsman each-way 9/1 Coral Sehwag has suffered an allergic reaction to a painkiller injection and is doubtful for the game. On top of this they are expected to give Suresh Raina a match tomorrow which should see him slot in somewhere down the order. Either way, Dhoni should see himself come in alot higher than usual and if that is the case I can't see him not placing in the top three tomorrow. This price is way too high for this to come in whether they bat first or second. He has good memories here with a knock of 139* in the past and he plays at Chennai in the IPL. Makes sense at a nice price. 1pt Y. Singh Top Indian Bowler 7/1 Willhill Yuvraj already has a 5-for to his name in the world cup and has also taken two wickets in a match in another. Those wickets have come against Holland and Ireland respectively who some may say don't exactly provide opponents of real quality but I still feel someone who bowls regularly on a pitch massively favouring spin shouldn't be 7/1 to take the most wickets. He will bowl 7 overs plus tomorrow and after Swann and Tredwell had West Indies in absolute pieces the other day on the same ground, I'll play Yuvraj has a good day too. At a tasty price.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011
With Plunkett injured, one would assume Woakes would get the shout after his fairly decent performances with both the ball and the bat down under. Clearly not the case though :\Surely Woakes was the call? -
Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011
:rollin Couldn't believe that when I read it. Domestic economy rate of 6.33 says everything.I've only just finished laughing that Dernbach has been called up to replace Shahzad :rollin. . -
I'm getting shat on. Back into minus numbers for the tournament. There's rain about in the second match which isn't great and there's not much I fancy in the 1st match so only going with two. One for the late game: 8pts Over 14.5 wides 5/6 via Coral It's Australia so the first thing I look for is their lines on extras and wides. The extras line at Ladbrokes is at 14.5 which should come in itself but they're playing Pakistan who are almost just as bad as them when it comes to giving runs away. So both of them together to cover 15 wides should just be a walk in the park. Tait, Lee, Johnson could cover this themselves. Factor in Shoaib, Gul, Razzaq/Wahab and some from the multitude of spinners and this is a minor. Big stakes. And one for the early game: 4pts J. Botha Performance Pts 35&Over 5/6 via Bet365 Quite low for someone who has been taking wickets and scoring runs as of late. There's a chance he won't play as more than likely one of him or Peterson will make way for Tahir's return but in the event he does, I'll take him to clear 35. He may open the bowling and against the erratic Tamim, I fancy him to take one of the two openers early up. On top of his wicket taking ability, he is handy with the bat. Some massive match winning blows against India and a 24* last time out show what he is capable of given the opportunity. If SA bat first, he should get a few overs at the crease to score 15 runs and take a wicket with the ball. Even if he doesn't, two wickets isn't too far out of reach on a turning wicket.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Two outrights would've come in for me today had the West Indies closed out what seemed like an easy victory. Of course they decide to choose today of all days to bowl a stupid amount of extras aswell which pissed me off no end. Hovering around +3.00 for the tournament. Had my first ever 10pt bet on NZ to hit the most sixes at 8/13 but I pussied out majorly. It's taken me two hours to write this post and still only can come up with the following: 4pts Mudassar Bukhari Performance Pts 32&Over 5/6 via Bet365 I think this is mad low for an opening bowler and a fairly decent batsman. Burkhari has taken at least one wicket in four of the five matches he's played in so far and has two scores of 20 and above to go with those wickets. He was promoted to #3 in the last match which shows what they think he can do with the bat and of course he has the opportuninty in the field with catches. I can't see why this is as low as it is especially as he can easily cover this with the ball alone so I will chance my hand at the overs here definitely. 1pt G. Wilson Top Ireland Batsman each-way 6/1 Coral (1/5, 1-3) I'm not wholly convinced on the Irish Top Order. Stirling hasn't got going so far this world cup and Porterfield is extremely hit and miss. Joyce can do the business (and I hope he does so my outright on him prevails) and so too can the O'Brien's but again they're very hit and miss also. Gary Wilson has only played three innings in this World Cup and has three scores of 3, 61 and 31 to match his ODI average of 28. Not the most glamorous statistics by any means but some that tell he's no fool with the bat. I think that at #5 he'll have every opportunity tomorrow to score another decent set of runs and at almost even money to see him place I'll play here with small stakes.
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Re: Darts: Premier League Week 6 Taylor gave me a few minor heart failures but he go there in the end. 3pts on each pick means +2.93 for the night. I'll take that for my first foray into darts betting. Played any other winners.
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Re: Darts: Premier League Week 6 My picks for the evening. Terry Jenkins to beat James Wade 7/4 StanJames Battle of the bottom two tonight here but I just cant look past Jenkins at this price. Wade is all over the place right now. He got absolutely bodied by Barney last week and deserves his place at the foot of the table with only one in five. He didn't even throw a single 180 against Barney and the 10/1 Kev got on him finishing bottom is looking like a peach at the moment. Jenkins on the other had isn't doing much better but he was throwing beauties last week against Webster. If I remember rightly, he threw something like five or six 180's and won comfortably. I think Wade is due another win soon and will look to this tie to get it but I think there is nothing but value here at 7/4 with Jenkins. Raymond van Barneveld to beat Mark Webster 6/5 Boylesports Definitely would've thought that Webster would've beaten Jenkins last week but succumbed to a horrible defeat. He's extremely inconsistent and that's his main problem. Threw great darts against Lewis two weeks back but big losses to Jenkins, Taylor and Anderson have pegged him back. On the contrary Barney is on somewhat of a comeback to the quality we know he is capable of. Confident win last week and hit some important doubles at key times which was encouraging. I like him to beat Webster tonight who only averaged a meagre 90.91 in Manchester. Phil Taylor (-2.5 legs) to beat Simon Whitlock 10/11 StanJames Doesn't even need much explaining really. The best player ever in great touch against a Whitlock who got taught a lesson last week against Adrian Lewis. To be fair to Whitlock he didn't do much wrong against Adrian but he was just completely outclassed and missed way too many doubles. He won't want to face Taylor today who averaged a mad 103.95 against Anderson. Anything in that sort of range will see this line come in and I'll take it at just under evens.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 +6.50 for the day. +9.67 for the tournament. Can't wait for tomorrows game. 3pts West Indies to beat England 5/4 via Coral Seems like every man and his dog is on the WIndies tomorrow and the rut is not stopping here. Everything has already been said really. England are the better side there's not doubting that but the signs just all point against them. Despite England usually prevailing in adversity, I can't back them with a dime at 4/6. Illness has apparently ripped through the side and we have issues in all three facets of the game. The bowling is a joke, the opening partnership is a joke and our fielding at times has been comical. A West Indies side without a care in teh world could potentially be the worst one to face and I think there's nothing but value in backing them here at odds-against. 6pts England Extras Under 15.5 5/6 via Ladbrokes The West Indies have a very, very disciplined bowling attack. So far the number of extras in all of their matches have read 11, 2, 2 and 12! They've only actually bowled four wides in the whole tournament which is an astonishing statistic when you think about how many other teams have contributed in one innings. It's for that reason that unders seem the way to go here. Barring Roach none of the other bowlers are either renowned for any great pace, seam movement or natural swing so wides and leg byes shouldn't really be a major play here. England don't have a massive number of left-handers either so all in all I think this is well within reach and like it has been in each of the four times previous. I actually can't quite work out why this line is so high considering how many they've conceded before. It's almost too good to be true. Of course having said all of this they'll go and concede 28 tomorrow but in the fairly strong chance they don't, I'll play with 6pts. 4pts D. Sammy Performance Pts 33&Over 5/6 via Bet365 Tiny bit low I think for the skipper. Due to the absence of Bravo, Sammy has stepped up and has started to bowl alot more overs. This has brought a few more wickets to his game and thus alot more performance points. Three wickets in his last match and three in the match before is a decent return from him and I expect him to snag at least one tomorrow. His batting is an issue. So far he has gone 0, 6, DNB & 4 but he has the talent to be better than that. On top of that, he fields in the covers as the skipper and in the slips when they have one in so there is always an opportunity of a catch. With three viable scoring opportunities, I think this can be covered and will pay money to see him do it.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Personally, I cannot believe I missed out on Over 10.5 extras on Ladbrokes yesterday for this Australian bowling attack. Would've been my first 10pt bet but just... didn't do it. :\ Taking one in-play: 1pt Michael Clarke Top Australian Batsman 5/1 Coral Australia need 212 to win. I really can't see them doing this without the loss of at least three wickets which should bring the handicap in nicely. Two wickets brings Clarke in and we all know he's their best player of spin. Ponting is riled too, it looked like his finger was giving him a bit of jip just then and a few things in that innings made him boil over. I don't like where he is mentally at the moment and he isn't exactly scoring runs for fun so I think Clarke could snag this. If required, he can come in and clear the ropes as we saw last time out and he's in the most form out of their top 6. Small stakes for Clarkey.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 I had two bets for tomorrows game lined up and ready to roll out. One was Canada on the handicap and the other was Baidwan's Player Performance! Nothing more needs to be said on them, lets hope they make us some monies tomorrow.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 The rain saved what was shaping up to be a catastrophic day today. Fortunately, I only ended -4.50; definitely could've been a lot worse. Going to stay away from tomorrow. South Africa are already through and Ireland have little to no chance of qualifying. Could be a potential minefield so shall skip this one. Glad you got your tournament back on track infamous I felt for you after the Windies/Ireland game. Also played Czech :clap
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 I have Bangladesh to reach the Quarter Finals so I hope to god they win tomorrow. Don't fancy much else so going with only two: 3pts P. Seelaar Performance Pts 30 & Over 5/6 via Bet365 Been impressed with Seelaar since the start of the tournament. He's a handy bowler for the Dutch and Tendo usually uses him for his full allotment of ten. He's taken three wickets in two of his four matches so far and those were against the West Indies and the mighty India. Batsmen usually like to go after him and that often leads to their downfall and thus leading him to collect performance points. He's not especially great with the bat which is a slight worry but I think he's good enough to cover this with the ball alone and maybe a catch. Bangladesh have played all their matches in Chittagong and have sometimes struggled against spin. Botha, Dockrell, Benn & Swann all have taken two or more wickets against them and I will play with 3pts to see Seelaar become the fifth name in that list. 2pts T. Cooper Top Holland Batsman 7/2 via StanJames Tom Cooper is the best batsman Holland have. He's one of only three full-time professional players and has a great technique to accompany his 60.00+ average in ODI cricket. Yes alot of his international runs have come against shit sides but scores of 47 (vs England) and 55* (vs West Indies) already in this tournament are not to be sniffed at. I'm not wholly convinced on Barresi and Kervezee at the top and Tendo has scored something shit like 40 runs since his century against England. There's always a risk of one of the lower order blazing a quick 40 and be in with a shout of this but I think Cooper is good enough to anchor the innings and score big tomorrow. 7/2 is a tiny bit short but I am happy to play. Fingers crossed he does the business.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Starting with the Pakistan/Zimbabwe game. 7pts Zimbabwe Extras Over 12.5 5/6 via Ladbrokes Pakistan aren't that disciplined when it comes to extras. So far in their matches this tournament, they've conceded 11 (vs. Kenya), 29 (vs. Sri Lanka), 23 (vs. Canada) & 24 (vs. New Zealand) thus covering this line quite comfortably more than once. If it wasn't for a total bottom order obliteration for Kenya too that total of 11 would've been alot more. It's for this reason I think 13 is easily a low enough score for them to cover. There have been calls for Shoaib to be dropped which takes away some extra potential. If he does though, he'll be replaced by Wahab Riaz who brings the extra potential right back up again. Zimbabwe are a side that are good enough to bat for quite a few overs as I mentioned last time they played (against Sri Lanka). Their shortest innings so far has been 39 overs and that is plenty of time for Pakistan to rack these up. I have been more confident of other bets so far this tournament and only backed them with 4 or 5 pts. Going to up the ante and play with 7 here. 3pts P. Utseya Performance Pts 30 & Over via Bet365 I'm a fan of Prosper Utseya. He's a good player and he has covered this line all but one of the times he's played so far this tournament. He will bowl ten overs tomorrow and I am confident of him getting a wicket like he has done in three of his four matches. Even if he doesn't snag a wicket, he is handy with the bat. The one match in which he hasn't taken a wicket this tournament... 36 runs with the bat. Factor in the chance of catches and this is a low-ish total for him to reach. He was promoted to #4 in the batting last time out and got 4 runs so went with three pts incase of another batting failure but realistically he could clear this with the ball. Hopefully he will tomorrow. 1pt Misbah Ul Haq Top Pakistan Batsman 11/2 via Boylesports/Bet365 The Pakistani opening pair have put on 93 runs together in four innings. They're incredibly shit as a pair. Ahmed Shehzad has scored hardly any runs so far this tournament and don't get me started on M. Hafeez. Kamran Akmal is so low on confidence right now and Umar Akmal has a busted finger. It really wouldn't surprise me a great deal to see Misbah or Younus Khan take the Top Bat mantle tomorrow for Pakistan and I think at 11/2, Misbah is a bit long. Pallekele has proven so far that it is difficult for the team chasing to score runs. I think Zimbabwe are good enough to post a score high enough for someone in the middle order to top score and if they are batting first then this has every opportunity.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Sixes bet fxcked me over, I should've never followed that. Especially as the 15 over handicap sailed in at a canter. +0.55 for the day, +7.67 for the tournament. Two massive mismatches tomorrow which is a bit dead. Don't really fancy anything and the handicaps are way too big for me to consider touching so I am taking a day out. Got my fingers crossed to you Kev and anyone else having a flutter.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Jonathon Trott saved the high-risk double so +2.00 for day and +7.12 for the tournament. Would've taken that sixes bet all day so have followed that at Boyles with 4pts. Not a great deal else I fancy though so only going with the one. 5pts India First 15 Overs Handicap (-2.5 runs) 10/11 via Sportingbet The beauty about India's batting line up is that they bat so deep. It's not even like they lose quality as they go down either. Kohli, Dhoni, Yuvraj and Pathan could walk into most other international teams and play in their first XI. Let's be serious, Harbhajan can swing a bat too, that geeza hit some sexy hundreds not too long ago. What this means though is that the top two can be very aggressive in the first powerplays. The stat that Sehwag has hit a four off the first ball four matches in a row has been mentioned a few times in this thread so far and along with Tendulkar, they usually take teams to the sword in the opening 15 overs. I have mentioned before that England opening with Pietersen and Strauss are the best in the world at this market and that showed when they beat India in this by well over 20 runs. Barring that match though, they've played 104/1 (Bangladesh), 95/3 (Ireland) and 99/4 (Holland). Even against England when they lost this comfortably, they hit 84 in the first fifteen so they're pretty good at this shit. South Africa on the contrary haven't lived up to what they have been doing prior to the World Cup. They only really have batting down to say Duminy/ Van Wyk so they don't really accelerate THAT much from the off. They've gone 73/2 (WestIndies), 58/1 (Netherlands) & 68/1 (England) in their three games so far which isn't overly impressive. They're highest score is nowhere near India's lowest and trying to better this against the very good Zaheer tomorrow won't be easy. The pitch at Nagpur is a dream to play and I actually think Sehwag and Sachin will enjoy the pace coming onto the bat from Steyn etc. If they start with spin again like they did against England, they'll have to be ON POINT from the off. Somehow I don't think Sehwag will give them his wicket like Strauss did. India to take this for me at a decent price.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Yeah thanks guys. Looks like a good day all round in here really. +13.29 for the day takes me into the green to +5.12. I'm happy considering I was -30 and beyond less than two weeks ago. On top of that my outright on Dilshan Top Bat at 28/1 took a major boost with his top innings today so things are looking up. There really isn't a lot I fancy ahead of tomorrow. The bookies have everything priced up correctly and without Pietersen, I'm abit tentative on taking England on the 1st Fifteen over handicap. Therefore only playing with the following. 2pts Performance Pts Double: Graeme Swann 40 & Over x Darren Bravo 38 & Over at 3.29 via Bet365 This is either going to be a complete waste of 2pts or an ultimate master stroke and I hope to God its the latter. Darren Bravo is a batsman that I am a fan of. He has a top technique and comes in at #3 for the Windies providing plenty of time for him to build his innings. Annoyingly he has only batting and a rare chance of a catch to get to 39 points but I think he is good enough with the willow in his hands to clear it. If you take out his last official innings (which was 9* the other day against the Deshi's) he has cleared this line 3 times out of the last four he has played and the time when he didn't was a 30 run innings. He won't face incredibly good bowling tomorrow and provided the openers see off the opening bowlers, he'll come in around the time of the 1st change which shouldn't pose too many problems for him. It was a toss up between Bravo and Thomas on the Performance Points bet but I plucked with Bravo and I am confident he'll produce the goods. Graeme Swann in my eyes has been England's best bowler so far in the tournament. The only annoying thing though is that he doesnt have the wickets to show for it. He's played a key part in all the matches so far and I think he'll continue to show his importance to this side tomorrow. The spell he bowled against South Africa last time out was one of the best I've ever seen from him and it only produced one wicket (and a run out). I'm hoping tomorrow the pitch at Mohali assists him like it did for the spinners in the only previous match to be played here. Tahir and Ten Doeschate both took three wickets apiece here last week with spin actually accounting for 6 of the nine dutch wickets to fall by the ball. On top of that we have seen how effective he CAN be with the bat and there's always the threat of the catch. I'm not overly worried about Swann. More about Bravo here but I am hoping they both step up and see me over both of these lines. 1pt Jonathon Trott Top England Batsman 4/1 StanJames Doesn't even need much explaining really. Jonathon Trott has been the guy for a while now for England, digging us out of many holes and hitting three fifties so far in the tournament already. I am not sure how England intend to play without Pietersen up top. Whoever steps up to open (probably Prior or Bell) will not be a natural opener and will have to adjust quickly to the job which I am not liking. Morgan will come into the side too having had no recent practice and Bopara will have a lot expected of him after his impressive knock last time. I just think Trott can do what he does best with no added pressures tomorrow against some fairly mediocre bowling and bring this home at a nice price.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011 Annoyingly StanJames settled the economy rate market as a loser which actually means I end the day on -1.36. Minor. 5pts Zimbabwe Extras Over 10.5 5/6 via Ladbrokes Generally, the Sri Lankan bowlers are quite disciplined when it comes to extras. I mentioned this last time out against Australia that they don't really give away that many, especially when you have the trio of Murali, Mendis and Herath controlling the middle overs. However, this line looks incredibly low and with the addition of Malinga into the side I can't see how there will not be eleven extras in the Zimbabwean innings. Zimbabwe are not completely useless with the bat. Despite them not scoring a great deal of runs they actually bat for quite a while. In the three matches they've played so far (Australia, New Zealand, Canada) they have batted out 46.2 overs twice and gone the 50 against Canada. Even if they only last thirty tomorrow I struggle to see 11 extras not being bowled by the Lankans. I'm pretty sure that Malinga will sling some wides or leg byes at some stage and there are always leg side wides on offer from some of the spinners. I generally don't like to go against SL in the extras market but 11 is very achievable, even for them. So I'll play. 4pts Fall of 1st Sri Lanka Wicket Over 37.5 Runs via Ladbrokes I think I am pushing my luck with this line but I will continue to play it. I know it's going to fail me sooner or later but I don't think it will be tomorrow. The two opening batsmen for Sri Lanka are a very good opening pair and cover thisline on a regular basis. Definitely feel tomorrow will be another in the long line of solid starts for Sri Lanka against a pretty ordinary bowling attack. The Zimbabweans conceded 61runs before they got a wicket against Watson/Haddin and they didn't break Guptill/Mcculum for 166 runs. They had Canada at 7/3 but you can't really look into that, when they have been up against quality they struggle for early inroads. Upul and Tillekeratne score runs for fun together. There's always a risk Dilshan will go after one too many and throw his wicket away but I still think 38 runs is do-able and will sacrifice 4pts to see that they pass it. 4pts M. Muralitharan Performance Pts 35&Over 5/6 via Bet365 Murali has had a really indifferent world cup so far. He has not taken that many wickets and has actually been quite quiet for his standards. If this was the first game of the tournament there is now this line would be set at 35. I feel he is too good to go so much time without performing though and I think a few of the Zimbabwean batsmen will struggle against his variations. Despite him only clearing this once so far I fancy he'll take two wickets tomorrow and get his last World Cup back on track. 2.5pts P. Utseya Number of WIckets Over 0.5 EVS via Ladbrokes I was going to take overs on his player performance markets at 29.5 but I thought I'd take this for the security. I have been impressed with Prosper since the start of the tournament. He actually is a decent One Day bowler and has been quite effective for Zimbabwe so far. He has 96 wickets to his name and has formed a handy partnership so far with Ray Price keeping it tight and snagging a few wickets at the same time. He is handy with the bat too. He has placed in the top three twice out of a possible three times so far and I fancied him each way at 12/1 over at Coral but decided against it. I don't expect a great deal of Sri Lankan wickets to fall tomorrow, but in the event that two or three down, I'll take EVS on Utseya being one of the wickettakers.
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Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011
Am wary of h`cap betting' date=' its toss of a coin really IMO, if the superior team bat first its all good but if they chasing they could care less about how many wickets they win by[/quote'] My sentiments exactly. Today's game was a good example. If India batted first, they probably would've scored well in excess of 300 and more than likely covered any runs handicap at a canter. Batting second is another issue though. There is no way in hell they would've not chased down 198 but it wouldn't matter to them if they did it for the loss of six or seven wickets. The runs side of the handicap never worries me, it's always the wickets side of things and that's generally why I steer clear just incase. I don't recall a six being hit off the first ball so far. That sixes line is quite tasty especially as the boundary here isn't the biggest. However, Sri Lanka aren't notorious for hitting that many sixes; neither are Zimbabwe so that's probably why it's priced up like that. -
Re: Cricket: ICC World Cup 2011
Annoyingly Harbhajan's penultimate delivery of his ten over spell went for a maximum which actually meant he finished with an economy rate of 3.10 and Zaheer finished on 3.00 :wall HOWEVER, I have just noticed that Munaf Patel is not actually playing. I know for a fact that all six of the guys involved have to play for this bet to go ahead so I'm 85% sure this is a dud and stakes will be returned. Might turn out to be a blessing in disguise.I was looking at this exact market and I only thought Singh and Khan would have a chance of winning this bet, but after reading your reasoning and looking at past performances as well, I too reckon Singh has a decent chance of winning this and I am on this bet too with the same stakes with not much to add to bigmac's reasoning. 2pts Harbhajan Singh Most Economical Bowler (Between Khan, Patel, Burkhari, Seelar & Ten Doeschate) 9/4 via StanJames
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Re: Darts: Premier League Week 7
:lol What a complete embarassment. No idea how I managed to write 'Peter' twice. Lets just hope it comes in to save me even more misery.