fishy25
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
She's got a weapon alright, she's got that 'x' factor. Sure I can provide the weapons for her. ;). Anyways she owes me a favour or two for not getting to the final in the US when I had her e/w. Time to pay back Caroline.Why would you want Woz to win..........;) Disgusting player with no weapons. -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Can you guys just give me a bit of faith and confidence by resolutely saying Li won't win ;)
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) I really hope Wozniacki does her. Will make me feel a whole lot better for not taking her e/w at 50/1 :unsure
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
Schiavone to win' date=' Fishy.........you know it makes sense.....:ok[/quote'] Haha odds like you say are way too high for the Italian as Wozniacki has hardly looked world class. Schiavone hasn't been great either so is a defo no bet for me. If I was to take a bet on it, looks to be great value in Schiavone so hope she comes through for you. :ok -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Nothing for me tonight, but the Murray unders tomorrow looks the one. GL all tonight.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
LOSS WIN LOSS Strange really. Needed both Raonic and Cilic to take the final set they lost to a tie break and both handicaps would have come in. As it was though, Murray looked good which is nice to see. Loss for me today, great shouts again on Dolgopolov by people and Czech with some nice calls as well. :clap3 for me tonight, hope a good second week is had by all. Milos Raonic vs David Ferrer- Raonic +6.5 handicap- 8/11 Bet365- (5/10) As much as I hate going against Atko's picks, (it's like walking into the lion's den) I feel that the Canadian can keep this a fairly tight one. Highly doubt he will repeat the success he had against Youzhny but if he serves how he has done thus far, although Ferrer is incredibly fit and returns a great deal of the balls, some of Raonic's service games are simply unreturnable, and even Murray would struggle. He's won seven matches on the trot now, and along with Tomic, they have been the success stories of the tournament so far and all the talk about him just seems to spur him on to a better performance than the last. Ferrer dispatched Berankis in the last round and will know what to expect in this one. Agree with Atko that in the rallies Ferrer will cleverly move the Canadian about and win a great proportion of the points when a rally occurs. However as I've mentioned Raonic's serve will be key in this one. If he keeps it quick throughout, a couple of tie breaks could occur, which would give the handicap a good shot. One last thing, if we look back at last year, the last major name that Raonic played was Nadal when he only lost 6-4 6-4. If this was against the great Spaniard, no reason to suggest that Raonic won't hold his own. Also took sets of the likes of Cuevas, Andreev and Stakhovsky at the back end of last year. If he could pinch a set early on, things may get interesting. Jurgen Melzer vs Andy Murray- Murray -7.5 handicap- Evens Bet365- (5/10) Know a lot of people fancy Melzer to give Murray a match here and to take a set or two, but watching Murray thus far, he has looked very accomplished with some polished performances, showing his determination to try and go one better than last year. Melzer traditionally doesn't have the best times down under and this is his best performance yet. He did well to come back against Baggy in round three, but 44 unforced, 5 double faults and a number of opportunities on his serve suggest that against a top 6 player, the result may have been different. Murray is known for his returning skills and due to that is the kind of player Melzer does struggle against. If there is a only a slight opportunity on serve for Murray, chances are he'll force the errors and take those points more often than not. Murray's won all 4 matches between the two, including 2 grand slam wins, the last coming in Australia a couple of years back where Murray covered the handicap. Decent odds for the Murray handicap and feel he will have his chances to reach it again. In the last 3 meetings, Murray has won at least one set 6-1 or better. Same again and the handicap is well in play. Rafael Nadal vs Marin Cilic- Cilic +7.5 handicap- 5/6 Ladbrokes- (5/10) The handicap is a little lower with a skinnier price so happy to back the Croatian here. As has been mentioned previously in the forum, Nadal looks to be struggling with his virus that hit him a couple of weeks ago in Doha, and we saw there how he was a long way shy of his best. Being bagelled in one set by Lacko then getting beaten by Davydenko, it was horrible to watch if your a Nadal fan. He hasn't been tested thus far which is probably fortunate for the Spaniard as he can get some additional rest. However, Cilic is the kind of player who won't roll over just because it's Rafa. Big serve and powerful strokes will make Rafa run around a bit and not have things all his own way. Cilic served a ton of aces in his epic match against Isner and perhaps was a tad lucky to come through it. Due to this, he won't be completely 100% I can't imagine which Rafa will be glad of. Even when Rafa is firing, he sometime does have a tendancy to struggle against the more powerful players. Mentioned he only beat Raonic 6-4 6-4 last year, but the likes of Kohlscreiber and Karlovic took sets off him this time last year. Cilic is a better player when he's on song than those two and if he serves like he can, he may get some success here. For an ill Rafa, to win by more than 8 games is a tough ask against someone who will get cheap points on his serve. Especially as Tomic was 3-0 up in the third set the other day, shows Nadal can be vulnerable. Cilic incidentally won their only meeting back in 09 in straight sets as well so he will take heart out of that. Would still favour Nadal just because he's Nadal, but shouldn't be a walkover by any means. A set to Cilic could well bring the handicap in. -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Unbelievable in the Nadal Cilic match. 30-30 at 3-3 in the third, Cilic served, Nadal waited to see if his return was in, once it was called out he challenged the second serve and was out, leading to him breaking. Has to be too late to challenge, guessing if his return was in he wouldn't have bothered.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) For fcuk sake, amount of chances Raonic had to break, didn't capatalise on any. That along with a few outrageous shots he has played will cost me the handicap. So annoying, all this after a good first set.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) It's quite intruiging to watch tbh, this Raonic guy is all serve then come to the net. Possibly worst backhand I've ever seen. Ferrer getting into it now though.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Can't quite remember a match like this for some time. Thrilling to watch, glad your overs came in Czech, would have been desperately unlucky if Dolgopolov won in 4 sets and it was still unders.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
Sadly not otherwise we'd all be very rich indeed. That's why people call it a mugs game as your always going to lose from time to time, for most, more than they win. I would say just analyse the match up and the form that both players involved are in and hope for some luck some of the time. Nothing more I can say really.Hi guys i have posted a few bets on this forum and i have been unsucessful in nearly all of them except the henin kuznetsova match and the almagro djokovic match as well also i have been sucessful in predicting the score for the first set that was one of the first bets i posted on this forum since then i have lost more than i have won im more of a beginner than like you guys your more like experts and like you know what you are doing i have been following all your bets and i have been really impressed on the ones you have won i just want to know if there is any tips on how to win more than i lose i know you should watch lot of tennis but i dont have eurosport so i cant watch every match also the matches are on late so cant watch it anyway i like betting in this grand slam more than others so could you please post some advice i would be really appreciate it thanks -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
Some of our picks basically go against each other :\. Ah well' date=' more opinions :D. At least some of us will win today.[/quote'] Looks like it's just me on the Raonic bandwagon then :\ -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) 3 for me tonight, hope a good second week is had by all. Milos Raonic vs David Ferrer- Raonic +6.5 handicap- 8/11 Bet365- (5/10) As much as I hate going against Atko's picks, (it's like walking into the lion's den) I feel that the Canadian can keep this a fairly tight one. Highly doubt he will repeat the success he had against Youzhny but if he serves how he has done thus far, although Ferrer is incredibly fit and returns a great deal of the balls, some of Raonic's service games are simply unreturnable, and even Murray would struggle. He's won seven matches on the trot now, and along with Tomic, they have been the success stories of the tournament so far and all the talk about him just seems to spur him on to a better performance than the last. Ferrer dispatched Berankis in the last round and will know what to expect in this one. Agree with Atko that in the rallies Ferrer will cleverly move the Canadian about and win a great proportion of the points when a rally occurs. However as I've mentioned Raonic's serve will be key in this one. If he keeps it quick throughout, a couple of tie breaks could occur, which would give the handicap a good shot. One last thing, if we look back at last year, the last major name that Raonic played was Nadal when he only lost 6-4 6-4. If this was against the great Spaniard, no reason to suggest that Raonic won't hold his own. Also took sets of the likes of Cuevas, Andreev and Stakhovsky at the back end of last year. If he could pinch a set early on, things may get interesting. Jurgen Melzer vs Andy Murray- Murray -7.5 handicap- Evens Bet365- (5/10) Know a lot of people fancy Melzer to give Murray a match here and to take a set or two, but watching Murray thus far, he has looked very accomplished with some polished performances, showing his determination to try and go one better than last year. Melzer traditionally doesn't have the best times down under and this is his best performance yet. He did well to come back against Baggy in round three, but 44 unforced, 5 double faults and a number of opportunities on his serve suggest that against a top 6 player, the result may have been different. Murray is known for his returning skills and due to that is the kind of player Melzer does struggle against. If there is a only a slight opportunity on serve for Murray, chances are he'll force the errors and take those points more often than not. Murray's won all 4 matches between the two, including 2 grand slam wins, the last coming in Australia a couple of years back where Murray covered the handicap. Decent odds for the Murray handicap and feel he will have his chances to reach it again. In the last 3 meetings, Murray has won at least one set 6-1 or better. Same again and the handicap is well in play. Rafael Nadal vs Marin Cilic- Cilic +7.5 handicap- 5/6 Ladbrokes- (5/10) The handicap is a little lower with a skinnier price so happy to back the Croatian here. As has been mentioned previously in the forum, Nadal looks to be struggling with his virus that hit him a couple of weeks ago in Doha, and we saw there how he was a long way shy of his best. Being bagelled in one set by Lacko then getting beaten by Davydenko, it was horrible to watch if your a Nadal fan. He hasn't been tested thus far which is probably fortunate for the Spaniard as he can get some additional rest. However, Cilic is the kind of player who won't roll over just because it's Rafa. Big serve and powerful strokes will make Rafa run around a bit and not have things all his own way. Cilic served a ton of aces in his epic match against Isner and perhaps was a tad lucky to come through it. Due to this, he won't be completely 100% I can't imagine which Rafa will be glad of. Even when Rafa is firing, he sometime does have a tendancy to struggle against the more powerful players. Mentioned he only beat Raonic 6-4 6-4 last year, but the likes of Kohlscreiber and Karlovic took sets off him this time last year. Cilic is a better player when he's on song than those two and if he serves like he can, he may get some success here. For an ill Rafa, to win by more than 8 games is a tough ask against someone who will get cheap points on his serve. Especially as Tomic was 3-0 up in the third set the other day, shows Nadal can be vulnerable. Cilic incidentally won their only meeting back in 09 in straight sets as well so he will take heart out of that. Would still favour Nadal just because he's Nadal, but shouldn't be a walkover by any means. A set to Cilic could well bring the handicap in.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
Haha I wish I did mate, but bottled it and waited for her draw and by that time she went down to 25/1 so I left it. She does look really good at the minute though, that win last week has given her a ton of confidence. She plays Petkovic tomorrow where naturally I would back Li all day long, but Petkovic really impressed me today against Sharapova. Hit tons of winners that Maria couldn't do anything about. If she wins that she's more than likely going to play Wozniacki which will be the main test. As you've only backed her to win it, not any return for a place in the final, the quarters are usually one stage too early to start laying her. Naturally it would be done in the semis. I'm not the best to give advice on the laying off business as I failed to lay Wozniacki in the US semis where I had her e/w at 9/1, so others would be better to give you their knowledge here. If it were me though and I had backed Li, I would probably have some faith in her to get through to the semi's, then definitely think about laying some of that off certainly. Not too sure if she'll beat Wozniacki. Of course the problem you've got is that she was an outsider, so after this match, she won't be favourite for her semi nor the final. So that's a tricky one, but if I were you I would leave it until the semis. Hope that helps. :okHave just layed my stake back at 7/1 so basically have a free bet on Li to win - have over £450 in green on Betfair - what do most people do in this situation? I fancy her to win her quarter final match but the semi and final maybe steps to far? Any advice would be great as often had this position before I wished I had backed her each way at the bookiess rather than on the exchange. What are you doing Fishy25 as you have backed her at 50/1 if I remember rightly?? Joe Mavis -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
LOSS WIN Almagro really didn't have it in him but Berdych hammered Verdasco. With the Petkovic victory, finally a day of profit and not breaking even. :notworthyLooks like most are rolling in the profits which is always good to see. Only a slght profit for me overall so hoping for a better second week. Still have one pending but taken two for tonight. Was considering the Federer handicap but the price doesn't appeal to me. Nicolas Almagro vs Novak Djokovic- Over 32.5 games- 5/6 Ladbrokes- (5/10) Think the Spaniard should have enough about him today to trouble Djokovic at times. He served impressively against Ljubicic only having 2 break point on his serve which he saved. Djokovic will obviously return better than Ljubicic but if Almagro is consistently serving well, Djokovic could struggle to get a rhythm on returning. The Serb himself hasn't looked completely content on court. Was lucky due to Troicki's retirement but even though he was struggling, he still managed a break on Djoko's serve. In addition to this, in his match before that, Dodig managed to keep the first couple of sets close and even pinched a set. Well known that Djokovic struggles in the heat as well, whereas Almagro will be fine with the heat. It's not meant to be scorching but nor is it cool, so Djokovic may be caught tanking it for a set and could give Almagro chances. H2H is 1-1 but it's irrelevant as they were a while ago and on clay. Almagro should keep it tight enough for the overs IMO. Thomas Berdych vs Fernando Verdasco- Berdych -3.5 handicap- 10/11 Bet365- (5/10) Favoured the Czech against Gasquet in his last match and don't see any reason why he shouldn't be backed again here. He's never been past the fourth round on the hard court slams but feel he has a great chance of doing it here. Beat Gasquet comfortably after recovering from a nervy start, and also was impressive against Kohli in the round before. Verdasco just about scraped through against Tipsarevic before beating Nishikori easily, but in fairness, Kei wasn't expected to trouble the Spaniard. Berdych will be a completely different match up and will match Verdasco for power and won't be scared of the spin that Verdasco will provide. Berdych has got the experience of going deep into the second week of the slams, as shown last year in France and London. So often we see Verdasco go down one or to sets and manage to come back, remember his match against Ferrer in the US, but Berdych has matured alot now and if he went a set up, it would be hard for Verdasco to come back. Most notable thing for me is also the meetings between the two. Berdych leads it 6-4, also winning the last 4 played on the hard surfaces including back at Flushing Meadows in 07 where he covered the handicap in straight sets. Could be a close one and Verdasco may cause a couple of tie breaks, but fancy Berdych to cover the handicap and get past the fourth round for the first time. -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
WIN WIN LOSS LOSS WIN Tidy profit in the end. Petkovic looked bery impressive indeed, completely outplaying Sharapova.Right let's try and get a full house today. Robin Soderling vs Jan Hernych- Under 27.5 games- 4/5 Bet365- (5/10) This is hardly likely to be a 5 set thriller, and Soderling should romp to victory here. Hernych had an epic with Bellucci and admitted that he was completely shattered and would need a miracle to put up a fight today. Hernych only just got through his first qualifier last week, and although wins over Istomin and Bellucci are good results for the Czech, Soderling will dominate all areas of the game. Soderling has won 8 on the spin now and is playing close to his best which just underlines the class difference between the two. Would be suprised if Robin doesn't wrap this up in much over an hour/hour and a half. Alexandr Dolgopolov vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga- Dolgopolov +3.5 handicap- 5/6 Bet365- (5/10) Not too much I can add to what Atko has already said earlier on in the forum. I've backed the Ukranian so far and taken him again here. Tsonga, against Seppi went missing for the latter end of the second set but due to Seppi's incompetence and idiocrisy, he allowed Tsonga to break him and take it to a tie break, which the Frenchman ultimately won. Seppi was complaining about the crowd which made him lose focus, and if he hadn't have done this, he would have served the set out and maybe gone on from there. Dolgopolov has matured and come on leaps and bounds in the last year and he won't let up like Seppi did. He is serving extremely well, hitting plenty of aces in his matches, whilst his return game, which will be so important against Tsonga, is working well as he broke big serving Becker on numerous occasions in the last round. Dolgopolov has a fair chance of taking the match IMO, but the handicap gives some extra security if he loses a close 5 setter like he did at Wimbledon last year, in their only meeting. He covered the handicap there, hopefully he'll do the same tonight. Lucie Safarova vs Vera Zvonareva- Zvonareva -5.5 handicap- 4/6 Bet365- (5/10) Not a fan of taking women's handicaps after Kleybanova's poor show the other day but feel the number 2 seed should cover this one. Safarova has endured two 3 setters in her previous rounds, against opponents much weaker than the Russian. Interestingly enough, Safarova's last 7 matches have all gone to 3 sets but don't see Zvonareva hanging about. She won in 3 against a tricky Jovanovski, and hammered Bammer in the first round after a dodgy start. With Henin and Williams out, Wozniacki looking vulnerable and Clijsters going missing for parts of her matches, Vera will feel this is her best chance yet to win a slam and she'll be looking to impress and get her matches done in a quick and routine fashion. She's already beaten Williams, Clijsters and Wozniacki this year, expect her to get through here by winning at least 6 more games than her opponent. Flavia Pennetta vs Shahar Peer- Peer to win- 11/10 Bet365- (4/10) Here it comes. Saw IAG mentioned this one and I have to agree that Peer shouldn't be the underdog here. Considered taking her with a handicap in the last round but didn't but she's clearly in good form and repeating her good performances that served her well in Flushing Meadows last year. Peer has won both her matches comfortably in straight sets, but she continues to impress through her on court attitude. Last match, Cirstea had a mental breakdown on court and needed a time out. So often we see in the women's game that this will affect both players but not Peer. She stayed focused and relaxed and when they started again, she continued to play her normal game and won. Pennetta has also won her matches easily but I still feel she is slightly vulnerable and still finding her feet again after her injury towards the end of last season. She recently lost to Jovanovski and if her fitness isn't completely there yet, and it perhaps went to 3 sets, the counter-punch style of Peer will trouble the Italian. Peer has come on and is now a familiar face in the top 15/20. Clever shot selections, not afraid to come to the net and can serve some aces now. She's won the last 2 on hard between them, both last year, and she's worth a shot here at above evens. Taken one round 4 match as well early. Andrea Petkovic vs Maria Sharapova- Petkovic to win- 11/8 Bet365- (4/10) Odds have since dropped on this one so happy I got in when I did. This bet is slightly for Petkovic, but mainly against Sharapova. Maria is still struggling with her serve big time, and from that she loses momentum and her confidence in the rallies. She just came through against Goerges in 3, but still had 11 double faults and still prone to errors. Mentioned it before in the forum, whenever she has a second serve, you always feel it's going to be a double with her shoulder holding her game back all the time. One of the main reasons why she was so dominant was because of her serve and without that, she does really struggle. Petkovic is certainly no mug, reaching the fourth round at the US open last year, and making the final in Brisbane a couple of weeks back. Bit fortunate with Williams being forced to retire after just 6 minutes, but even if Venus was fit, I wouldn't rule Petkovic out from taking it anyway. Only meeting was last year when Sharapova won easily, but that was when the German was losing against very average opponents and even Safina no less. Since then she's winning matches again and gained her confidence back. She won't let Sharapova settle when they play and will force her into errors. Good price and hopefully it will pay dividends. -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Yeah on the German as well. Has a fair chance I'd say if Sharapova continues serving how she has this year.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Yeah not sure about that one, Djokovic barely had to get into second gear to beat Almagro earlier, makes my overs bet look stupid. Berdych going to take it back to virtually breaking evens again though. Could do with one good day to make it a successful tournament.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Yeah impressed by Berdych here, playing some good stuff. Bit of help from Verdasco's inconsistent serve but his groundstokes are effective. Verdasco looks pretty much done though, shouldn't be long in the third.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Yeah strange seeing Verdasco do that. Wasn't watching properly when he first called the assistance and when I glanced back, thought he asked for a time out to get a new sock :lol. Watching the Berdych match but looking at the scores, how on earth has Federer dropped a set to Robredo :eek
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Looks like me and homunculas are thinking along the same lines. Hope it pays off :hope
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Looks like most are rolling in the profits which is always good to see. Only a slght profit for me overall so hoping for a better second week. Still have one pending but taken two for tonight. Was considering the Federer handicap but the price doesn't appeal to me. Nicolas Almagro vs Novak Djokovic- Over 32.5 games- 5/6 Ladbrokes- (5/10) Think the Spaniard should have enough about him today to trouble Djokovic at times. He served impressively against Ljubicic only having 2 break point on his serve which he saved. Djokovic will obviously return better than Ljubicic but if Almagro is consistently serving well, Djokovic could struggle to get a rhythm on returning. The Serb himself hasn't looked completely content on court. Was lucky due to Troicki's retirement but even though he was struggling, he still managed a break on Djoko's serve. In addition to this, in his match before that, Dodig managed to keep the first couple of sets close and even pinched a set. Well known that Djokovic struggles in the heat as well, whereas Almagro will be fine with the heat. It's not meant to be scorching but nor is it cool, so Djokovic may be caught tanking it for a set and could give Almagro chances. H2H is 1-1 but it's irrelevant as they were a while ago and on clay. Almagro should keep it tight enough for the overs IMO. Thomas Berdych vs Fernando Verdasco- Berdych -3.5 handicap- 10/11 Bet365- (5/10) Favoured the Czech against Gasquet in his last match and don't see any reason why he shouldn't be backed again here. He's never been past the fourth round on the hard court slams but feel he has a great chance of doing it here. Beat Gasquet comfortably after recovering from a nervy start, and also was impressive against Kohli in the round before. Verdasco just about scraped through against Tipsarevic before beating Nishikori easily, but in fairness, Kei wasn't expected to trouble the Spaniard. Berdych will be a completely different match up and will match Verdasco for power and won't be scared of the spin that Verdasco will provide. Berdych has got the experience of going deep into the second week of the slams, as shown last year in France and London. So often we see Verdasco go down one or to sets and manage to come back, remember his match against Ferrer in the US, but Berdych has matured alot now and if he went a set up, it would be hard for Verdasco to come back. Most notable thing for me is also the meetings between the two. Berdych leads it 6-4, also winning the last 4 played on the hard surfaces including back at Flushing Meadows in 07 where he covered the handicap in straight sets. Could be a close one and Verdasco may cause a couple of tie breaks, but fancy Berdych to cover the handicap and get past the fourth round for the first time.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
WIN WIN LOSS LOSS PENDING Think we'll just stick to the men now. Giving up on the WTA which leaves me virtually evens for a second day :wall. Atko as always superb and Czech with some great shouts yesterday :clapRight let's try and get a full house today. Robin Soderling vs Jan Hernych- Under 27.5 games- 4/5 Bet365- (5/10) This is hardly likely to be a 5 set thriller, and Soderling should romp to victory here. Hernych had an epic with Bellucci and admitted that he was completely shattered and would need a miracle to put up a fight today. Hernych only just got through his first qualifier last week, and although wins over Istomin and Bellucci are good results for the Czech, Soderling will dominate all areas of the game. Soderling has won 8 on the spin now and is playing close to his best which just underlines the class difference between the two. Would be suprised if Robin doesn't wrap this up in much over an hour/hour and a half. Alexandr Dolgopolov vs Jo-Wilfried Tsonga- Dolgopolov +3.5 handicap- 5/6 Bet365- (5/10) Not too much I can add to what Atko has already said earlier on in the forum. I've backed the Ukranian so far and taken him again here. Tsonga, against Seppi went missing for the latter end of the second set but due to Seppi's incompetence and idiocrisy, he allowed Tsonga to break him and take it to a tie break, which the Frenchman ultimately won. Seppi was complaining about the crowd which made him lose focus, and if he hadn't have done this, he would have served the set out and maybe gone on from there. Dolgopolov has matured and come on leaps and bounds in the last year and he won't let up like Seppi did. He is serving extremely well, hitting plenty of aces in his matches, whilst his return game, which will be so important against Tsonga, is working well as he broke big serving Becker on numerous occasions in the last round. Dolgopolov has a fair chance of taking the match IMO, but the handicap gives some extra security if he loses a close 5 setter like he did at Wimbledon last year, in their only meeting. He covered the handicap there, hopefully he'll do the same tonight. Lucie Safarova vs Vera Zvonareva- Zvonareva -5.5 handicap- 4/6 Bet365- (5/10) Not a fan of taking women's handicaps after Kleybanova's poor show the other day but feel the number 2 seed should cover this one. Safarova has endured two 3 setters in her previous rounds, against opponents much weaker than the Russian. Interestingly enough, Safarova's last 7 matches have all gone to 3 sets but don't see Zvonareva hanging about. She won in 3 against a tricky Jovanovski, and hammered Bammer in the first round after a dodgy start. With Henin and Williams out, Wozniacki looking vulnerable and Clijsters going missing for parts of her matches, Vera will feel this is her best chance yet to win a slam and she'll be looking to impress and get her matches done in a quick and routine fashion. She's already beaten Williams, Clijsters and Wozniacki this year, expect her to get through here by winning at least 6 more games than her opponent. Flavia Pennetta vs Shahar Peer- Peer to win- 11/10 Bet365- (4/10) Here it comes. Saw IAG mentioned this one and I have to agree that Peer shouldn't be the underdog here. Considered taking her with a handicap in the last round but didn't but she's clearly in good form and repeating her good performances that served her well in Flushing Meadows last year. Peer has won both her matches comfortably in straight sets, but she continues to impress through her on court attitude. Last match, Cirstea had a mental breakdown on court and needed a time out. So often we see in the women's game that this will affect both players but not Peer. She stayed focused and relaxed and when they started again, she continued to play her normal game and won. Pennetta has also won her matches easily but I still feel she is slightly vulnerable and still finding her feet again after her injury towards the end of last season. She recently lost to Jovanovski and if her fitness isn't completely there yet, and it perhaps went to 3 sets, the counter-punch style of Peer will trouble the Italian. Peer has come on and is now a familiar face in the top 15/20. Clever shot selections, not afraid to come to the net and can serve some aces now. She's won the last 2 on hard between them, both last year, and she's worth a shot here at above evens. Taken one round 4 match as well early. Andrea Petkovic vs Maria Sharapova- Petkovic to win- 11/8 Bet365- (4/10) Odds have since dropped on this one so happy I got in when I did. This bet is slightly for Petkovic, but mainly against Sharapova. Maria is still struggling with her serve big time, and from that she loses momentum and her confidence in the rallies. She just came through against Goerges in 3, but still had 11 double faults and still prone to errors. Mentioned it before in the forum, whenever she has a second serve, you always feel it's going to be a double with her shoulder holding her game back all the time. One of the main reasons why she was so dominant was because of her serve and without that, she does really struggle. Petkovic is certainly no mug, reaching the fourth round at the US open last year, and making the final in Brisbane a couple of weeks back. Bit fortunate with Williams being forced to retire after just 6 minutes, but even if Venus was fit, I wouldn't rule Petkovic out from taking it anyway. Only meeting was last year when Sharapova won easily, but that was when the German was losing against very average opponents and even Safina no less. Since then she's winning matches again and gained her confidence back. She won't let Sharapova settle when they play and will force her into errors. Good price and hopefully it will pay dividends. -
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January) Oh God, don't remind me. Doubles match of Monfils and Tsonga against Phau and Gasquet :loon. Yeah not complaining though, handicap was in and nice price on the outright for you :ok
Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
Well that's true mate. Hope she does come through purely because you backed her at those odds but your guaranteed a profit no matter the outcome now. It's just bitterness on my part really that I didn't take her.