smegmaniac
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Posts posted by smegmaniac
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Re: Australian Open Tennis 2012 Kimiko Date Krumm to beat eleni daniilidou at 4-6 boylesports 3 points This is the standout bet of the tournament for me! Daniilidou is considered a veteran these days (feels like she's been around forever) and yet she's playing a woman who is 12 years older than her (a full career)! Krumm at 41 continues to defy science by competing strongly with top class players that are often 20 years younger than her! She's started off 2012 with a bang by winning the challenger event in quanzhou....beating players that some consider the future of the sport (caroline garcia in the semis and timea babos in the final) and comfortably at that! She's shown that she can still compete with the cream of the crop last year....who can forget her classic tussle with Venus Williams at wimbledon last year losing 8-6 in the third or even her classy effort against Radwanska in the aussie open last year just falling short 7-5 in the third! In fact, judging by her results last year, it seems that she just hasn't played the big points well enough often losing very tight matches against top players. But her form is strong against lesser opponents and she finished off 2011 strongly beating baltacha in the final at poiters, while losing to morita in the final at taipai! Her opponent today really isn't a world beater these days.. Daniilidou isn't a particularly good match up for krumm...krumm, much like aggassi in his later years, likes to take the ball on early boss the points, move her opponent from side to side and avoid being put on the run! Daniilidou won't be giving her that kind of rhythm, she'll attack the net any chance she gets, throw in plenty of slices and drop shots! However, even at that...I still think once Krumm can get the upper hand in a ralley she's got far more firepower off both wings than daniilidou and will basically out hit eleni who is prone to make lots of unforced errors as it is! Daniilidou's form isn't great either with losses this season already to the in-form bratchikova and Czink (all be it tight matches). The other good point for krumm is that she's not up against an exhausting opponent that will make no unforced errors and chase every ball down much like soler-espinosa did in the first round of US open last year! Overall, I just feel like the match is on krumms racket, maybe the bookies are being ageist again, but Krumm has been performing on a much higher level than daniilidou of late and I just feel that she'll have too much class! 4-6 looks like value )) good luck folks...there's been great tipping on the site this year....czech punter in particularly deserves a medal!!
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Re: Australian Open Tennis 2012
Totally agree with all these assessments!! good luck fishy!Had a look at the prices now and taken a fair few for the women. Haven't had a proper look at the men's side of things so I'll do those later. Don't think I've ever taken this many for the WTA in round one but the card looks pretty decent. Caroline Wozniacki (-6.5 games) to beat Anastasia Rodionova- 4/6 Coral- (4/10) Agree with Psycho on this one but I'm taking the handicap although I do expect the unders to come through as well. I don't see Wozniacki having too many problems in this one as her defensive skills should be the undoing of the Australian here. Rodionova can hit winners, but also be horrible at times and really go for balls which are nowhere near in the slot to be hit. That suits Wozniacki greatly and with her natural game being to return as many balls as possible, that will frustrate Rodionova in the long term and her morale should really drop. If Caroline gets in front here, it's hard to see Rodionova mounting a fightback so have to take the number one to win this comfortably like she did in their previous meeting where she won 6-2 6-0. Laura Pous-Tio (+7.5 games) to beat Francesca Schiavone- 4/5 Ladbrokes- (3/10) This line for me looks huge for the Italian to cover and it's basically suggesting Pous-Tio won't win 5 games in the match which looks strange to me. Granted she hasn't played this season and her best results come on the clay, but saying she can't hold 5 games is a bit of an insult. For one Schiavone doesn't ever seem to do 'easy' in the grand slams, and she was involved in some real epics last season against the likes of Marino, Paszek and Scheepers amongst many others so in my opinion you cannot back her in the early rounds to play her opponent off the court. She may well win easily in 2 sets, but 5 games isn't a lot for the Spaniard to win here. She managed to cover this handicap against the likes of Stosur, Azarenka and Goerges last season and I see no reason why she can't take 5 games off Schiavone. Laura Robson (+5.5 games) to beat Jelena Jankovic- Evens Bet365- (3/10) Have a bit of interest in this match as a Brit and think Robson can put up a decent fight like she has shown she can do in the past. She qualified with ease for the tournament, not dropping a set in her 3 matches and this could be the season where she makes a shoot up the rankings and breaks into the top 80 or so. She'll have to improve her challenger results to do that but at the grand slams she usually raises her game when she plays the better players. She managed to beat Kerber last year at Wimbledon before pushing Sharapova all the way and gave Ivanovic a good game in Tokyo so she clearly has it in her to perform well. Robson also performed well against Jankovic back in 2010 at Wimbledon, losing 6-3 7-6 which should give her some confidence coming into this one. Jankovic certainly isn't the player she used to be and you always feel she is vulnerable with whoever she plays. She can still pull out some good results but she is far more erratic than she used to be so Robson should be able to create some chances for herself. She'll be able to create some angles with her lefty serve so I'll back her on the handicap here. Bethanie Mattek-Sands (+6.5 games) to beat Agnieszka Radwanska- Evens Bet365- (3/10) Actually think this is a decent matchup for the American and she should be able to push Radwanska in parts now she has a couple of wins under her belt. She missed virtually all of the American hard court season last year which was a shame as that's usually where she has her best results but she beat Pironkova at the Hopman Cup and easily beat the Australian youngster Barty over in Hobart so there's signs she has recovered from that shoulder injury that kept her out of the USO series. Radwanska is actually one of my favourite players on the WTA tour but I'm never totally convinced by her in the grand slams. She's never made it past the quarter finals in any of the 4 tournaments and for a player with her quality, you would have to say that is an underachievement given she can beat anyone on her day. Last year is a prime example of this, as she fell victim in the second round at both Wimbledon and the US open in just the second round, whilst at the Aussie Open she almost fell at the first hurdle to Date-Krumm so there's enough to suggest that she is vulnerable in the early stages of the slams. Mattek-Sands is certainly no mug and can trouble the likes of Radwanska, and she is certainly capable of keeping a set close if not pinching it and if she does that, she should cover the handicap. Varvara Lepchenko (+5.5 games) to beat Daniela Hantuchova- Evens Bet365- (3/10) Backing another underdog here on the handicap as the American comes into this match off the back of impressing in qualification. She dropped just 7 games in total in her 3 matches so she clearly has taken to these courts well which is a good sign. Last season she performed well against the likes of Wozniacki and Wickmayer and took a set of Kirilenko in Sydney so it looks as though she is playing well this season. Hantuchova has also started the season really well after making the final in Brisbane but she's another good player who struggled in the slams last season. She was beaten in the first round her 12 months ago, likewise in the US open so whether that will play on her mind a bit I'm not sure. I do expect her to win though as she should have some confidence given her results from the past couple of weeks, but given Lepchenko has won 3 matches on these courts with consummate ease, I fancy her to keep it tight in parts with the Slovak and if she does that, she should cover the handicap. -
Re: Tennis 8th-15th Jan Sydney/ Hobart All this of course may count for nothing if her old demons return but at 38/1 I am willing to give Anna a chance and hope that she is coming back to us in her old devestatinjg form in 2012. Can I ask where you got that price of 38-1?? You are right!! that price is massive! Niculescu was a bit out of sorts....but anna was stroking the ball beautifully around the court! Anna still has the class if she can avoid a meltdown and stay mentally focused,I wouldn't be surprised to see her at least reach the final! In fact, I've decided that she and hradecka are my picks!
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Re: Tennis 8th-15th Jan Sydney/ Hobart
Yeah, Hradecka could barely keep the ball in play against zheng but when she catches fire she is a handful and as you say the doubles win will give her confidence. You're probably right about Oprandi! I don't particularly rate her but beating wozniak and vandewehge in qualifying are decent results and 66-1 just seems like a big price in such an open field! There just seems to be a lot of headcases in the draw... a lot of talented players struggling for form that I've a feeling it could be one of the more ordinary players that comes through. Maybe not oprandi but somebody surprising. I forgot to mention chakvetadze...she looked impressive against niculescu...really using all angles of the court...another headcase but at 16-1 has to be considered value! Haha ...at this rate , I'm recommending half the field!!BobNL: Any reasoning for those bets? smegmaniac: yep I agree, really open event. From the value point-of-view, Hradecka seems like the right pick and I was thinking about backing her, but seeing her performance against Zheng put me off. However, she regained some confidence by winning the doubles title last week, so she might do well. On the other hand, cannot see Oprandi winning. She is not that good really imo, never rated her highly. Otherwise, I was thinking about Gajdosova and that is probably value too. The rest (Kerber, Cirstea, etc.) can win, but the odds are a bit too short in a pick-em contest. -
Re: Tennis 8th-15th Jan Sydney/ Hobart Hobart really is a wide open event this year! I think there's a very good chance that a rank outsider could win this one or at least get to the final. Shahar Peer is the favourite at 6-1 with paddypower. Peer has been struggling with her confidence for the best part of a year now. She's had mediocre results. The last time I saw her play was against sloane stephens at the US open, where she striked the ball well but ultimately choked the match away! I don't think she's ready to find the bottle to win a tournament just yet and anyway doesn't represent the value. Wickmayer is second favourite at 13-2! Superficially at least she seems to be the class act of the field but she's had her own confidence issues..didn't finsih the season off so well and the way she crumbled against sara errani last week doesn't bode well for her. Kerber is 8-1 and she has a chance...at least she's got bottle and confidence...great ball striker, average mover but is probably still a bit over-rated after she more or less reached the US open semis last year by default as her opponents choked away matches to her! 8-1 is about right for me. Mattek-sands is 14-1 and she played some good stuff last week. I still feel like she's lacking some consistency in her game. She's just back from a long lay-off and this tournament might have come too soon but she's one of those players who I'd wait maybe until after she gets a few matches under her belt before I'd back her! Sara Errani is 16-1, she's one of the classier match players in the field but she's not a renowned tournament winner despite being on the tour a long time and I think there are more explosive players that if they found form could take her out! Begu is 16-1, one of the more celebrated youngsters around these days and she could well represent a bit of value at 16-1 as she's already got a wta tourney win under her belt...however, she hasn't proved herself on this surface yet. Cirstea is 18-1 and I saw her against Pennetta last week and Pervak yesterday and she seems to be on good form. In fact, she's striking the ball as well and as consistantly as she has done since probably the run she made to the french open quarters a few years ago...it's a bit early to jump the gun yet but I like 18-1. Pironkova at 20-1 looks like value but I can't see her winning...doesn't have the weight of shot on this surface to really hurt opponents. Defending champion jarmila gajdosova is 22-1 which seems like a massive price. She beat medina last week but was double bageled by bartoli( due to a dental issue apparently). She's one of the more explosive players...didn't finish the season great last year, she did go through a divorse last year and I get the impression her confidence isn't sky high at the moment but if she can somehow get through her tricky first round against morita she might go on a run as I reckon she's one of the beter players here. 22-1 is just too big a price. Vesnina is 25-1, she's another big hitter but is far too inconsistent to trust. Medina and suarez navarro are 20-1 and 28-1, navarro represents more value to me ...when she turns it on she can really mix it with the top players. However, the prices that stand out to me are lucie hradecka at 33-1 and Oprandi at 66-1. Oprandi qualified convincingly, she's striking the ball well and though she doesn't move brilliantly she has a good all court game and won't be out matched on a field like this. Hradecka beat peng last week, she's another inconsistent sort but I reckon she has the best first serve of the whole field and it's just another big price as on her day she can beat anybody here in this field! If anyone has any different thoughts, it would be nice to hear them... I just feel there aren't many opportunities in the year to pick a long odds winner and that this might be one of them. I haven't even mentioned players like halep, watson or voskoboeva who I don't fancy at the moment but they just show that the field is wide open.
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Re: Tennis - The US Open 2011
Super stuff buddy, keep them comingStepanek d. Kohlschreiber 6-4 6-1 6-3 :ok Berdych d. Jouan 6-2 7-6 6-1 :ok Tipsarevic d. Gensse 6-2 7-5 6-0 :ok Kukushkin d. Montanes 7-5 6-2 3-6 7-6 :( Monfils d. Dimitrov 7-6 6-3 6-4 :ok Federer d. Giraldo 6-4 6-3 6-2 PUSH Sela d. Bellucci 4-6 2-6 6-4 6-3 6-0 :ok Cilic d. Harrison 6-2 7-5 7-6 :( Monaco d. Seppi 7-6 6-2 6-2 :ok Anderson d. Soeda 6-1 6-3 6-0 :ok Petzschner d. Ramos 7-5 6-7 6-3 6-7 6-3 :( All in all, a lovely start to the Open. Plenty of winners across the forum so well done all! -
Re: Tennis 22-28 August
it's funny how mebit has such selective memory here.... he seems to relish belittling other punters.... i posted a tip for soler-espinosa to beat kostova in the second round of us open qualies...he critised the bet calling it very suspect and unfair to vulnerable punters. This is fair enough, though the tone of the post was quite condescending. However, if you're going to have a 'know-it-all' attitude when you're 'warnings' turn out to be true, you should be humble enough to admit when you're wrong. Soler-espinosa won comfortably in straights..in hindsight, his reasoning was very suspect too,as he stated that kostova has a more proven winning record and that she can only beat whats in front of her, yet i pointed out that she had recorded recent losses to inferior opponents to soler espinosa ..yet there is no doubt in my mind that if she lost we would have been seeing a 'told you so' post from mebit. I dont really mind other punters questioning my picks or anybody elses...it has to be good for the forum but it should be done in a humble manner and if you are going to have the 'i told you so' attitude when you are right, then you should be prepared to admit when you're wrong too. Honestly, I've been wrong plenty of times in the past too and this is not a boast but I felt compelled to post it...cos mebit's attitude is sickening here...berating a well-respected and humble punter in atko. I also could be wrong about mebit....i could be too quick too judge...and if i am I'll eat my humble pie.It proved to be exactly what it was matey! The superman turned up!! I dont think it really mattered whether you were among the people that thought benneteau will die or not in the previous round. The fact is that you still bought into that same school of reasoning which was ongoing. you were also still affected by the resulting effect of Benneteau's defiance of natural laws and simple reasoning. -
Re: Tennis 22-28 August
This is a match I think you should approach with caution and probably rethink. I believe it will be somewhat misguided to try to figure out the winner from factors like who they have beaten of late. Remember you can only defeat what is set out before you. Kostova has a more proven winning habit and has momemtum having recently won an ITF tournament in Vale De Lobo. She also did have a convincing first round win. I am not saying for sure that Kostova will win' date=' but it is certainly not the kind of match that you should be giving vulnerable punters to get involved in. Verdict: Very risky proposition. There are other games for sure.[/quote'] Yeah, you could be right mate. I probably fell in love with the price a bit... i guess for me it's more of a value bet because i don't see how Kostova merits being the favourite. Having said that there is a lot of unknown variables at play here, one being the fact that I've never seen Kostova play although I did state these facts on my post. It's up to punters whether they want to follow or not. Anyone who posts a tip which they believe is leaving themselves vulnerable to a backlash I suppose. But you've put enough doubt in my mind to persuade me to cover my bet with minimum damage. It's up to any other punter to do the same now and I apologise to those who have to take the 5-6 available on Kostova with Paddypower to cover their bet. -
Re: Tennis 22-28 August Berankis erakovic double at 4-6 bet365 3 points. Berankis is a class above meffert, simple as that! He has been out a while with injuries but has had enough games back to get into the swing of it, and his comfortable win in the first round is a sign he's feeling good again. He should have far too much variety and consistency in his strokes for veteran meffert. Erakovic is also a class above 31 year old Rampre, who has had a vey good year in her own right, but a back in form Erakovic should win this one fairly comfortably
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Re: Tennis 22-28 August I think there are a lot of potential spots to make money today in the USopen qualifiers. Here are my picks ( though I might have to change my mind if Dory comes along and picks the opposite haha) 1)THE CANADIAN DOUBLE! FRANK DANCEVIC X STEPHANIE DUBOIS AT 8-11. Dancevic plays wolmarans and dubois plays malek. Dancevic has qualified for all three of the grand slams this year and done so comfortably. He is one of the class acts of the field and won comfortably against tricky veteran arnaud clement in the first round, he should have too much class for big serving wolmarans who he has already beaten this year in south africa. Dubois plays malek who is a potentially dangerous opponent (malek has been out of form now for the best part of a year at least now) Dubois is the opposie, she's in very good form and I expect her too be too consistent for the erratic malek. 3 POINTS 2)soler espinosa to beat E kostova at evens bet365 2 points. soler espinosa is renowned as a clay courter but I see enough in her results to believe that she can play on all surfaces. For example, she reached the 3rd round of qualifying at wimbledon before having to retire to Erakovic. At the french open she waltzed through qualification at the french open beating the likes of diatchenko and then vesnina in the first round of the main draw. She has posted a number of impressive clay court results this year. She beat last years main draw second rounder, sally peers, comfortably in the first round here which bodes well. I havent seen Kostova play admittedly, but i see nothing in her results to suggest she's a level ahead of espinosa (she's 21 now too so it's not like she's coming out of nowhere). Krystina Pliskova is about the only player of note that she's beaten and she's had losses to meusburger, burnett, bertens and Savinykh of late. She's obviously no mug, but just can't see how she can be favourite against soler espinosa here.
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Re: Tennis 22-28 August BRILLIANT TIPPING AGAIN DORY! LOOKING FORWARD TO TODAY'S POSTS!
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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon Irina falconi to beat stephanie dubois at 5-6 williamhills 2 points Expected Falconi to be favourite here! She is a young player who is moving in the right direction career-wise and has made big steps forward over the last 12 months! she raced through qualifying making light work of all her opponents groenefeld (6-36-0) elena bogdan, (6-2,6-2) and namigata (6-3,6-2). It's worth noting that this was one of the easier routes to the main draw but the manner in which she achieved her victories is very impressive and she must be full of confidence from it! In fact, over the last 12 months or so she has qualified for all the grand slams and has been unlucky to find herslef up against tough opponents in the first round (pennetta, kleybanova and dulko) though she was comfortably beaten in all these games! I'm not saying that she is a world beater...but i think she has what it takes to beat dubois! their head to head record is 2 matches each but dubois won her matches in 2007 and 2009 while falconi won her games in 2010 the year she made so much progress! the last victory was a comfortable rout of dubois in the Us open final round of qualifiers last year 3 and 1! I think she will have the psychological edge in this one, especially if it gets tight! Dubois is capable playerr with great wheels and has been in decent form of late but she has a tendancy for choking on the big occasion....she was hammering llagostees vives in the final round of french open qualifying (which in itself is an impressive feat). She was a set and 5-3 up but somehow lost the match! In fact she has fallen at the final hurdle of grand slam qualifying the last 4 times and is only here in the main draw as a lucky loser after being hammered by diatchenko who is far from a grass court specialist! I don't think she'll have the same belief as the confident falconi if things get tight...she does tend to get very passive, play deep behind the baseline and just try and get balls back and wait for mistakes! apparently diatchenko drop shotted her lost ( as well as vives) taking advantage of dubois's tendancy to play so deep behind the baseline....obviously not a good tactic on grass! Falconi has lovely hands and can play beautiful drop shots as wozniacki could confirm! Of course this is only a miner point ....overall there probably isn't much difference between the two talent wise...dubois is actually a good battler...it's just that she does tense up in important moments...she's al;so probably more solid from the baseline...falconi's backhand is a bit dodgy and she is prone to mistakes! however, I just feel that Faalconi is the more confident of the two, her forehand is a bigger weapon and i think she will take the game to dubois and will ultimately have more bottle! Not guaranteed....but I just can't resist this price...think it's the more likely outcome!
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Re: Tennis - June 6-12
Do I sense sarcasm... anyway, kieep the good tips coming...you know your stuff for sureThanks for your philosophical views on betting. :\ -
Re: Tennis - June 6-12
followed you on this bud so thanks very much.....keep them comingWIN EASY...6-1 6-1 Felder. C'mon! :) -
Re: Tennis - June 6-12 Sometimes in gambling we make good bets that lose and bad bets that win..... the difficulty for future learning is that we usually say a 'win is a win' when our bets come in ...but often when we lose we chalk it down as 'poor conditions' or 'rubbish performance' and of course sometimes confess to ourselves it was a terrible bet. It's still worth pointing out though that whenever a player we back wins very comfortably we never blame the conditions or the poor performance of the opposition. I just think this is an important point in helping people learn in gambling and how important it is to be honest with oneself. e.g , If an 8-11 shot you back wins in a third set tie-break..... Is that a good bet...or if you beat an odds-on handicap by one game...E.g I Backed mattek minus 2.5 today but she won the match in third set breker... is this a good bet...I don't think is although i'M not totally sure....kindof confused . what do folks think.... am i just over-analysing....btw.... for the most part i've been really liking the tips on the site...verdasco was the tip of the day and this guy spikatto seems to know his stuff.
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Re: Tennis - June 6-12 heather watson to beat misaki doi at 4-6 with boylesports 3 points! very surprised with this price....i think it might even be a mistake! class difference here...watson is a confident ballsy up-and -coming brit.....she's a class above doi who while appears to have found form of late shouldnt be good enough to beat watson on her favourite surface in front of her hoem crowd whilst being full of confidence after her second round showing at the french after qualifiers! the watson forehand to reak havoc and doi to break down under pressure as watson moves her around the court.
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Re: Tennis - The French Open
Yep a valid point but if he coasts past his first two matches' date=' you won't see him available at 4/6 against Mayer or Starace. Mayer beat him back in Miami which was on the hard courts. Almagro will be a much bigger favourite than that on clay against either one of those players. It's times like these you have to really take the surface into consideration.[/quote'] And Almagro was just after an exhausting south American clay court season and was tired in miami! Anyway, on clay he's a different beast...adn though i have huge respect for Mayer's game... I would predict that almagro will be at least 1-2 if he plays mayer and at least 1-3 if it's starace! -
Re: Tennis - The French Open Marina erakovic to beat aranksa Rus at 4-5 boylesports! 2 points Erakovic seems to be back to the sort of form we saw from her in 2008 when she reached third round of wimbledon! she's on a hot winning streak as she is on the back of three consecutive challenger event wins (one on clay) and she raced through the qualifying rounds hammering some reasonable opponents like Nara and cetkovska (who herslef has had a mini-renaisance in form) She's got a pretty unique game, she's got quite a punchy forehand but it's certainly a weapon, she serves very well, likes to vary it...she can attack the net, plays a lot of back hand slices, drop shots and moves pretty well...and I think these are the type of qualities her opponent rus won't enjoy playing! rus is a solid player and definately a step up for erakovic but she's still fairly one-dimensional and robotic and i believe a super confident erakovic will have too many tricks up her sleeve for rus.
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Re: Tennis - The French Open ALEKSANDRA WOZNIAK TO BEAT NAMIGATA 2-0 AT 8-13 PADDYPOWERS 2 POINTS. wozniak is very talented former top 30 player who has been very unlucky with injuries over the past year or so and truth be told hasn't played much tennis this year! But she comes into this french open in very good form after she came through three rounds of qualifying with relative ease! She won all her matches in straight sets comfortably pushing alongside the likes of woerle and jamie hampton who I believe to be superior opponents to her opponent in the first round namigata who has no pedigree on clay, has never come through qualifying for any slams before! wozniak is the type of player that tends to brush aside inferior players with ease ...she possibly struggles when she finds herself in a battle but ove4rall i think her temperment is farirly solid! she has good record at the french...last year she brushed aside benesova in straights before pushing dementieva all the way in a tight 3 setter! she moves well on the surface and is quite creative. I just think there's a class difference here and wozniak also comes into the tie in great form...and though the price is short , I'd be shocked if wozniak doesnt do it in straights!!
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Re: Tennis - The French Open
Super tip fishy25, possibly the bet of the tournament already in my opinion. Although, could you tell me if there are any other firms with similar price on same bet?One early tournament bet for me ahead of what should be a cracking couple of weeks. Nicolas Almagro to reach last 16- 8/11 Sportingbet- (5/10) Not sure why Almugro is this high to reach the last 16 given he's coming off the back of winning over in Nice and the relatively appetising draw he's been give. He only needs to win 3 matches to get to this stage of the draw and his potential route to that point isn't too taxing for the Spaniard. He plays Kubot in his first round match, where he leads the H2H 3-0 against a Kubot who has struggled to make it past the qualifiers in recent weeks. After that I have him down to play Carlos Berlocq who should beat Tomic. Almagro beat Berlocq in three over in Nice, after losing the first in a tie break and I'd fancy him to do the same again over in Paris. If he gets past those two which he really should, it's likely to be Mayer or Starace, again both of which he leads the H2H comfortably. Mayer is having a really good season but Starace is a tricky guy to play on clay so would be interesting who comes out on top there. Regardless I'd still back Almagro to beat either player and I'd be suprised if he didn't make it into the second week in a tournament in which he has made the quarters in two of the past three years. -
Re: Tennis - The French Open
I think that's a super tip Fishy... wonderful price really! he'll definately do it! do you know if any other firms are taking bets on this than sporting bet?One early tournament bet for me ahead of what should be a cracking couple of weeks. Nicolas Almagro to reach last 16- 8/11 Sportingbet- (5/10) Not sure why Almugro is this high to reach the last 16 given he's coming off the back of winning over in Nice and the relatively appetising draw he's been give. He only needs to win 3 matches to get to this stage of the draw and his potential route to that point isn't too taxing for the Spaniard. He plays Kubot in his first round match, where he leads the H2H 3-0 against a Kubot who has struggled to make it past the qualifiers in recent weeks. After that I have him down to play Carlos Berlocq who should beat Tomic. Almagro beat Berlocq in three over in Nice, after losing the first in a tie break and I'd fancy him to do the same again over in Paris. If he gets past those two which he really should, it's likely to be Mayer or Starace, again both of which he leads the H2H comfortably. Mayer is having a really good season but Starace is a tricky guy to play on clay so would be interesting who comes out on top there. Regardless I'd still back Almagro to beat either player and I'd be suprised if he didn't make it into the second week in a tournament in which he has made the quarters in two of the past three years. -
Re: Tennis - 18-24 April yaroslava shvedova minus 3.5 games against pivovarova 10-11 bet365. 2 points shvedova finally seems to be recovering from her injury problems and subsequent loss of form since the start of the season...back in early months she didn't look like she could win a match but she seems to have turned a corner over the last month or so and she is now back on her favourite surface of clay! she really has a big game, can hit huge of both wings and almost like soderling benefits from that extra second and higher bounce she gets on clay to set up that booming forehand which admittedly misfires at times but is a real weapon when going well! she got to the french open quarter-final last year and will be hungry to do well on the clay court season as she has points to defend and will be eager to find form again! the fact that she beat the hugely promising begu today so comfortably bodes well! pivovarova on the other hand is a player i like...she's been very reliable for me in the early rounds of grand slam qualifying the last year or so! her favourite surface is definately clay too and she benefited from a nice draw to make last years french open 3rd round after qualifying! yet she is ordinary enough, very one-dimensional player with no real plan b! she's got excellent temperment in the way that she doesnt give up and plays the big points very well against players of similar ability in tight matches...her court coverage is impressive too...she'll definately win more close matches then she will lose...but when someone is too good for her she tends to have no answer....i've seen her on the end of several real hammerings against players a level above her and with power capable of blowing her off the court! she also laboured to beat a poor enough wild card from morroco today (who was actually very funnny too watch ...seeing her bounce around the place even when the match was over).... Shevdova is class above and 3.5 isn't really that big a handicap at 10-11 ...if she wins the match...she'lll do ity comfortably and i think it's a good valueprice.
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Re: Tennis - February 7-13 On A SIDE NOTE..I WISH KVITOVA COULD HAVE JUST SAVED HER BEST FORM FOR THE AUSTRALIAN OPEN WHEN SHE WAS 350-1...WILL NEVER BE SEEN AGAIN!
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Re: Tennis - February 7-13 Apologies to all who followed my tips from yesterday! I can't remember ever tipping 3 losers in a row before so as you can imagine I was fair depressed from yesterdays events... just not enough solid form to go by really i suppose...will learn from the mistakes and come back with some winners this week hopefully!
Wimbledon 2014
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: Wimbledon 2014 Smitkova to beat Jovanovski at 13-8. This girls coming under the radar a little bit! Qualified very comfortably and easily beat Hseih (who's good on grass) and the red hot form player Vandewehge! Feel like Jovanovski may be a little over-rated due to her win over Azarenka who was far from her best! Also think that Mayer will win and Garcia might be worth a pop at 2-1! But Smitkova is my main tip.