Bagzi

@Bagzi welcome back mate

Aldershot v Forest Green Rovers
Aldershot were one of our winners at the weekend and I think there is just enough in the 7/4 price to get involved here. Strangely enough I am reading a book about Aldershot’s recent history at the moment and have just got to the season where Gary Waddock took them into the Football League. That was in my view the best ever team I have seen at this level and it also reminded me that Waddock basically set up his team to score goals rather than keep them out. I mention that because this time around he seems to be focusing on the defensive side of things as they have only conceded once at home and that was against Tranmere. They have won 5 and drawn 1 of their home matches and I think they have it in them to beat Forest Green. Barrow more than held their own against FGR on Saturday and it could just be that Aldershot just need the one given their home defensive record. I would make them slight favourites for this which makes the 7/4 just big enough.
 
Bromley v Woking
I have been quite scathing about Woking this season which has been very fair. However they are starting to turn things around with two wins, a loss to Tranmere and a 3-3 draw with Eastleigh on Saturday. That game saw Matt Tubbs play his first game for the club after joining on loan. It is fair to say he has gone down the pecking order at FGR and was awful at Eastleigh last season. However he got the MOM award in the Non-League Paper on Sunday after scoring a goal and Woking could be the right side for him to get his career back on track. They travel to a Bromley side who have been struggling at home this season having won just the once and it does seem they are performing much better away from home. Granted Woking have yet to win away, but since their improved form they have only gone to Tranmere and they played well. At just over 2/1 with Marathon Woking are certainly worth a punt.
 
Dover v Sutton
Backing a team who lost 5-0 against a team who won on Saturday would seem a strange punting strategy, but I think Dover are worth backing here. Dover could have been in front at half time against Chester and keeper Steven Arnold injured himself in the first half as well. With no sub keeper on the bench they decided to stick with him, but it is fair to say it certainly played a part in them losing so heavily. Sutton are still struggling to score goals and had to rely on an own goal to beat Guiseley on Saturday. Their away form isn’t great either and at a shade of odds on with Marathon I think Dover are a fair bet for the three points.
 
Guiseley v York
I know Guiseley haven’t won yet this season, but they haven’t been all that far away from getting that crucial win. As I mention above they should really have left Sutton with a point on Saturday and given York’s terrible away record this could just be the game that sees Guiseley pick up those three points. York haven’t won in 28 away games and that is surely playing on the player’s minds. Amazingly Jackie McNamara is still in the job, but it would surely be curtains if he lost this game. I think it is worth taking a punt on them at just over 2/1 with Marathon.
 
Torquay v Dagenham & Redbridge
Dagenham’s young side does worry me a little as they have thrown in a couple of stinkers this season. The reasoning being that the young side will be inconsistent as they highlighted when beating Wrexham impressively on BT Sport 3-0 to then lose their next game to Sutton. That has stopped me backing them a couple of times when I probably should have done. Since losing to Boreham Wood 2-0 a month ago they have been really impressive and were again on BT Sport against Tranmere on Saturday. Tranmere were really good as well and it looked like two sides who were going to be going for the title this season. Torquay have one win in six which was at home to York and had goal shy Gateshead to thank for a point on Saturday. Dagenham should really be odds on for this so odds against has to be taken.
 
Wrexham v Lincoln
Boreham Wood were disappointing against Wrexham on Saturday and although Wrexham deserved the win they still only scored one goal and goals will continue to be a problem for them. Granted they have still only conceded once at home, but Lincoln pose more attacking threats than most sides and it is hard to fathom why they are as big a price as they are here. Gary Mills continues to be under great pressure at the moment and if Lincoln can frustrate their hosts then the fans will surely turn against their team.
 
Worthing v Merstham
The one bet in the Ryaman Premier and I make Merstham the Nap of the evening. I put them up as one of my bets for title in August at a big price. That looked a poor tip for most of the season so far as they struggled. However things have turned around and they have won their last three league games by the following score lines 6-1, 5-0 and 5-3. That later win was against 3rd in the table Tonbridge. They also won 5-1 in the FA Cup on Saturday. Worthing’s season has almost been a total opposite having started well, but they have lost their last five matches. They also lost heavily, albeit to St Albans, in the FA Cup on Saturday. Merstham look a big price at 6/5 with Marathon to continue their fine recent form.

Sport Recife - Internacional 00:30CET Probable line ups: Sport-PE: Danilo Fernandes; Samuel Xavier, Matheus Ferraz, Durval e Renê; Rithely, Rodrigo Mancha, Régis e Marlone; Maikon Leite e André. Técnico: Eduardo Baptista Internacional-RS: Muriel; Léo, Alan Costa, Nilton e Geferson; Nico Freitas, Wellington Martins, Jorge Henrique e Valdívia; Nilmar e Rafael Moura. Técnico: Diego Aguirre Sport (-0.5) AH @2.19 sbobet 4/10

Botafogo x Sampaio Corrêa 02:50CET Probable line ups: Botafogo-RJ: Jefferson;Luis Ricardo, Renan Fonseca, Roger Carvalho e Carleto;Diego Giaretta, Willian Arão, Daniel Carvalho e Tomas Bastos;Rodrigo Pimpão e Luis Henrique Técnico: René Simões Sampaio Corrêa-MA: Rodrigo; Daniel Damião, Luís Otávio, Edvânio e William Simões; Diones, Moisés, Válber e Nádson; Pimentinha e Douglas. Técnico: Léo Condé Botafogo RJ (-1) AH @1.71 pinnacle 4/10

FT 3-0 :ok

Sport Recife - Internacional 00:30CET Probable line ups: Sport-PE: Danilo Fernandes; Samuel Xavier, Matheus Ferraz, Durval e Renê; Rithely, Rodrigo Mancha, Régis e Marlone; Maikon Leite e André. Técnico: Eduardo Baptista Internacional-RS: Muriel; Léo, Alan Costa, Nilton e Geferson; Nico Freitas, Wellington Martins, Jorge Henrique e Valdívia; Nilmar e Rafael Moura. Técnico: Diego Aguirre Sport (-0.5) AH @2.19 sbobet 4/10

[TABLE=class: couponTable, width: 617] [TR] Wednesday 1 July 2015 Home Draw Away BPP [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Sport Club do Recife v SC Internacional (23:30 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.22[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.85[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.43 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Vasco da Gama v Avaí FC (23:30 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.93[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.65[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.8[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.04 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] Thursday 2 July 2015 Home Draw Away BPP [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Atlético Mineiro v Coritiba (01:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.36[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]5.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]10.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.73 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Palmeiras v Chapecoense (01:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.62[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]7.5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.06 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Atlético Paranaense v São Paulo (02:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.46[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.35[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.25[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.27 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Grêmio FBPA v Cruzeiro (02:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.97[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]99.33 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Joinville EC v Flamengo (02:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.35[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.34[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.45[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.61 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row1] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Corinthians v Atlética Ponte Preta (23:30 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]1.9[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.5[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]5[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.20 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Figueirense FC v Goiás EC (23:30 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.1[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.3[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]4.2[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.73 %[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [/TR] [TR] Friday 3 July 2015 Home Draw Away BPP [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD][/TD] [TD=class: firstColumn]Fluminense FC v Santos FC (01:00 BST)[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]2.26[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.4[/TD] [TD=class: selectionBestOdd]3.7[/TD] [TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.69 %[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]