wisey10
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Posts posted by wisey10
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Re: Championship > 11th Jan - 12th Jan Hull v Sheff Wednesday Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.95 Bet365 (4 Points) Hull's last 5 home games have all gone under 2.5 goals and whilst they are doing well in the league, they aren't particularly big goal scorers under Bruce. Sheff Wednesday have finally put an end to their rot and predominantly they have done this by tightening up at the back. They aren't really big goal scorers themselves without any prolific strikers. I think Dave Jones would be delighted with a point here and expect him to come and keep it tight. Everything is pointing towards the unders for this match.
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Re: Championship > 11th Jan - 12th Jan Nottm Forest v Peterborough +0.75 @ 1.90 Bet365 (3 Points) The factors look good against opposing Forest here and I think Posh are facing them at a good time. MacLeish hasn't won a match as manager there yet and with the squad looking depleted it doesn't look any easier. Hutton, Jenas and Ward have all finished their loans and returned to their respective clubs. Captain Danny Collins was sent off on the weekend so woll be suspended and that makes 3 'first choice' defenders now out for this match including both centre halfs. Andy Reid limped off injured so is also a major doubt for the weekend. Posh's form has been much better lately and Dwight Gayle is looking a real player for them. They had a bad defeat in the cup on the weekend but they should have some key players back for this match and they are up against a depleted Forest side. The line is a 0.25 out for me and as such I will be taking the +0.75 on Peterborough.
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Re: Championship > 11th Jan - 12th Jan Barnsley v Leeds -0.25 @ 2.00 Bet365 (5 Points) Leeds aren't great on the road but they aren't a bad side and they are facing a Barnsley side in turmoil. They are manager less with a couple of their best players looking to be on the move. They have also lost loanees Tudgay and Greening and have generally been picking up terrible results this season even when at full strength and playing well. If ever there is a good time to be catching them this is it. I don't pay too much attention to past meetings rather the circumstances as they are now. With the state Barnsley are in you've just got to fancy Leeds in this match.
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Re: Championship > 11th Jan - 12th Jan Middlesbrough v Watford +0.5 @ 1.85 Bet365 (5 Points) Boro have plenty of injury problems at the moment and they are hosting a Watford side who are in good form and have an excellent away record. Both sides are sitting in the top 6 and I personally would put this on a 0.25 line. Add in the players Boro are missing and Watford's form on the road and it all points to the value being on the Hornets avoiding defeat.
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Re: Championship > 11th Jan - 12th Jan Brighton -0.5 v Derby @ 1.925 Bet365 (4 Points) Im backing Brighton to have finally sorted out their act and get back to winning ways at home. Their home form is nowhere near what it should be and that's mainly due to them not scoring enough. But they put 2 past Newcastle on the weekend and they scored 3 away at an in form Ipswich the match before. Buckley and Bruno could be back for the weekend which would improve things further for them. Derby are having a great season but that's mainly down to their excellent home form. They aren't great on the road at all and I think a decent side like Brighton should add another defeat to their away column.
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Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan Crouch and Owen start up front for Stoke. Bar Owen its not far off a full side. Villa look to have a reasonable side out against Ipswich. Bent and N'Zogbia both start. I think they look good value to beat an Ipswich side who are under strength themselves.
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Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan Team news now coming through... Sunderland got a strong team out at Bolton. Holloway put strong side out for Palace against Stoke
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Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan
Birmingham are also missing a lot of players through injury. Both sides are going to be deleted which makes it really hard to call."NEIL WARNOCK has been floored by a bug that threatens to wipe out his FA Cup dream. The Leeds boss, 64, is desperate to win a trophy before retiring but an Elland Road virus has hit SEVEN of his stars Warnock has also fallen sick as his side prepare to host Championship rivals Birmingham in the third round. His No 2 Mick Jones said: “It is not looking good on the illness front, and there is no point hiding away from that." http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/sport/football/4727167/FA-Cup-previews-Catch-up-with-all-the-other-games-here.html#ixzz2H6NYXXEE Which Leeds Player´s are out? -
Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan Millwall v Preston @ 1.72 Betfred (6Points) This price is simply too big even considering the cup upset romance factors. Milwall are very solid championship outfit this season and they are very good at home. They are looking a bit light up front with a couple of injuries and losing Chris Wood but ultimately they are still a decent side. They are facing a Preston team from the league below whose squad is depleted through injuries and illness. They had just 13 players training on Thursday and their manager said. Even some of them looked 50/50. A Preston side a full strength might just about pull something off here but they really must have greater priorities than the cup when their squad is so depleted. At the odds on offer I think you've got to take the home win here. Milwall + Forest Double @ 2.54 Bet365 (3 Points) I was originally looking at teams who might cause an upset but with team news being so important I just can't make anysuch calls at this stage. But I've out lined above 2 teams who look solid bets and will be backing them in a double.
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Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan Nottm Forest -1 AH v Oldham @ 1.825 Bet365 (6 Points) On closer inspection of the matches, this is the one that jumps out as bet of the round to me. Forest are a decent championship side with goals in them and they have a big squad to choose from. What's more is they have a new manager in Mcleish who is yet to record his first win. He will be desperate to get off the mark and with a good squad available to choose from, he really should be getting a convincing win against lower league opposition today. Oldham also have problems of their own with a number of players out through injury or suspension in the middle of busy fixture list for their small squad. dickov only had 8 players training on Thursday and you have to wonder what preparation they have had for this match. I'm confident that circumstances aren't right for an upset here and I definitely think Forest will win. There has had to be a good chance that they will do it convincingly too to get new manager Mcleish off the mark.
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Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan
With regards to Villa I hadn't realised they had the league cup semi final next Tuesday. That alters things slightly as Lambert will surely prioritise that. You would have to wait for team news on this match now before establishing if theirs any value on either side. Ipswich could be the bet if Villa really change things.A few initial thoughts: Peterborough +0.25 v Norwich Posh have picked up a bit of form lately and they are managing to score goals. They are the sort of side who can hit a bad run losing a number of games on the bounce and then go and pull out a real performance. Norwich are doing excellent this season but they haven't got the biggest of squads. If Hughton rests a few I think there could be a bit of value on the Posh. Aston Villa -0.5 v Ipswich The price looks too big on Villa here to me. Yes they are in a relegation fight and survival is their priority. But the last thing Lambert needs right now is getting knocked out of the cup at home against a championship club. Villa have got plenty of good youngsters with a bit of quality about them. Let's not forget Ipswich's priority is survival too and im not sure Mcarthy is the sort of manager to take the cup seriously given the position is side are in. A 10/11 shot on a prem side at home against a championship side looks decent unless there are mitigating circumstances. I think Lambert will be desperate to win this one and restore a bit of confidence in his side. Sheff Wednesday v MKDons +0.25 Its the classic bottom of 1 league v top of the league below match. It should be a tight game with there not being too much between the sides. The MkDons will come into the match with confidence wanting a scalp and I think I would prefer to side with them on a positive handicap. Bolton +0 v Sunderland im not keen on Sunderland in this match at all. O'neil did have success in the cup in his early years but I'm not convinced about his current motivations for it. They certainly aren't out of the mire in the league yet and he's got a small squad. Bolton are massively under performing given the players they have and I actually think they have a very good squad. They haven't being playing well but they have plenty of players with prem experience and I think they are capable of putting in a performance in this match. Especially if o'neil does rest a few. -
Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan A few initial thoughts: Peterborough +0.25 v Norwich Posh have picked up a bit of form lately and they are managing to score goals. They are the sort of side who can hit a bad run losing a number of games on the bounce and then go and pull out a real performance. Norwich are doing excellent this season but they haven't got the biggest of squads. If Hughton rests a few I think there could be a bit of value on the Posh. Aston Villa -0.5 v Ipswich The price looks too big on Villa here to me. Yes they are in a relegation fight and survival is their priority. But the last thing Lambert needs right now is getting knocked out of the cup at home against a championship club. Villa have got plenty of good youngsters with a bit of quality about them. Let's not forget Ipswich's priority is survival too and im not sure Mcarthy is the sort of manager to take the cup seriously given the position is side are in. A 10/11 shot on a prem side at home against a championship side looks decent unless there are mitigating circumstances. I think Lambert will be desperate to win this one and restore a bit of confidence in his side. Sheff Wednesday v MKDons +0.25 Its the classic bottom of 1 league v top of the league below match. It should be a tight game with there not being too much between the sides. The MkDons will come into the match with confidence wanting a scalp and I think I would prefer to side with them on a positive handicap. Bolton +0 v Sunderland im not keen on Sunderland in this match at all. O'neil did have success in the cup in his early years but I'm not convinced about his current motivations for it. They certainly aren't out of the mire in the league yet and he's got a small squad. Bolton are massively under performing given the players they have and I actually think they have a very good squad. They haven't being playing well but they have plenty of players with prem experience and I think they are capable of putting in a performance in this match. Especially if o'neil does rest a few.
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Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Reading > Tue 1st January Spurs-1.25 @ 1.825 Bet365 (4Points) The line ups are in and this Spurs line up just screams goals at me. Dembele, Sigurdson, Defoe and Adebayor will pose a massive attacking threat and I really can see them winning this one comfortably. Reading have tightened up a lot lately and Spurs do occasionally struggle at home to sides they should be beating. But I like the way this Spurs team is shaping up and the side out today looks full of goals to me. Im backing Spurs to beat the handicap.
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Re: Manchester City v Stoke City > Tue 1st January Pulis has gone with a really attacking line up. Jerome, Jones and Walters all start with Charlie Adam back in. Looks like Pulis thinks we've got nothing to lose so might as well have a go. It would add more weight to the overs and a Man City win in my view.
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Re: Southampton v Arsenal > Tue 1st January Arsenal @ 1.80 Bet365 (5 Points) I think Arsenal will out score Southampton and sometimes football is that simple. Nigel Adkins seems to have this chip on his shoulder about playing 'football' and not changing his belief on how it should be played. And I think this is where his downfall will be today. If Southampton try and take Arsenal on at football they will lose and it will play into Wengers hands perfectly. Sometimes you need a plan b and mix it up. The Saints should aim to stop arsenal today and make it a dogged, tight scrappy game. Of course I could be wrong but I don't think that's the way Adkins will approach it though. You've got to fancy goals in the game and if it does open up, I only see there being one winner.
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Re: Manchester City v Stoke City > Tue 1st January Man City -1.25 (AH) @ 1.875 bet365 (4 Points) Man City aren't in the best form at the moment but they are still more than good enough to get the job done here against a Stoke side who are generally poor on the road. Stoke are in good form at the moment and are playing quite well but They still struggle on the road. Man City will have lots of possession and there is only so long Stoke will hold out when you've got the quality man city have up front. They will get the chances and sooner or later they will take them. Stoke are really hard to beat at home and we make it difficult away for teams. But the top 2 I.e man city and utd always have too much for us on their turf. We pick up the odd result at the likes of Tottenham but never at the best in the league. Man utd beat us by 2 goals earlier in the season and I expect Man City will win this at a canter by a similar margin. Their possession in the midfield will just be too much for Stoke and I'm confident that they will win this match.
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Re: West Bromwich Albion v Fulham > Tue 1st January West Brom -0.5 @ 2.05 Bet365 (3 Points) This looks a fair and solid price on the home side here. West Brom have been excellent at home this season even if their performances have slightly dipped lately. Mulumbu starts in midfield today with Fortune and Lukaku up front and I think they will be a right handful for the Fulham defence. The Cottagers have lost 4 out of their last 5 matches on the road and are generally very poor away. Ruiz returning is a massive plus for them but that didn't stop them losing at home to Swansea on Saturday. With the stats in mind you've got to think that evens is a very solid bet on the Baggies.
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Re: Championship > Tue January 1st Watford v Charlton @ 1.90 Bet365 (5 Points) Watford are in great form and playing really well at the moment. Charlton are struggling a bit though and this looks like a solid bet on the home win. Fitz Hall could miss out for Watford which is a blow but I still think they will have too much fire power for Charlton to handle. The Addicks have Morrison out suspended and Danny Haynes injured himself after scoring on Saturday so will also miss out. The Hornets should be slightly fresher for this match as they had their boxing day match postponed and in the middle of a busy schedule it definitely gives them a bit of an edge being that bit fresher. Really fancy Watford to win this one.
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Re: Sunderland v Tottenham Hotspur > Sat 29th December Goal Line: Under 2.5 @ 1.825 Bet365 (3Points) Spurs have kept 4 clean sheets out of their last 5 games and they are now so much tighter than they were under Redknapp. Sunderland are traditionally a low scoring side and I think O'Neil will be setting up here for another tight game. They beat Man City 1-0 on the weekend and everything again here points towards another la close game for me. In the middle of a busy schedule I don't see there being a thriller in the early kick off. Spurs are a bit short against a side who just beat Man City but I don't fancy backing against them and instead prefer to back this one being a low scoring affair.
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Re: Championship > Sat 29th December I'm n dire form so keeping stakes low!.. Brighton v Watford + 0.5 @ 1.875 Bet365 (3 Points) I tipped Brighton at the start of the season and haven't opposed them since despite them often being priced slightly too low. The thing with them is they often dominate possession and they are very hard to beat. I still think they are going to hit a real purple patch and sooner or latter they are going to start clicking up some big wins.But for the time being the are all to often failing to make their dominance count and they are drawing too many games that they should be winning. Watford sit above them in the table and have a great record on the road. I'm nervous backing against the Seagulls as I think they have real quality but ultimately with stats in mind, I think Watford are toon big here and should only be on a +0.25 line. They are well capable of picking up a point here. (Watford currently available at 1.85 to beat Barnsley on new years day which I really like) Charlton +0 (AH) v Derby @ 1.825 Bet365 (3 Points) The Addicks are in poor form at the moment but Derby are generally terrible on the road. This represents a great chance for Charlton to get back on track with all players having returned from suspension. With the draw cover in place I think Charlton are worth a small play against a Derby side who don't travel well in the middle of a busy schedule. Huddersfield -0.25 v Sheff Wednesday @ 2.025 Bet365 (3 points) Dont laugh at me for opposing Wednesday again! Full respect to Dave Jones for turning things round after their terrible run and he's now seen his side win their last 3 matches (in which I've also opposed them). But I genuinely think they are a tad short here and would have them on a +0.5 line. Huddersfield are now almost at full strength and I think their forward line of Beckford and Vaughn is a dangerous one. I don't think the Terriers will lose this match and see them drawing at worst. But I really think they have a good chance of winning this match and I wouldn't make them more than a 11/10 shot here.I must be mad but I'm going to oppose the Owls again.
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Re: Stoke City v Southampton > Sat 29th December Yes Cameron is out as well so that's our right back and centre half out suspended. It's pretty much half the defence out and would definitely put me off backing Stoke, especially at odds on.
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Re: Stoke City v Southampton > Sat 29th December One key point for this match is that Shawcross is suspended. Upson will probably replace him but he will be seriously lacking match practice. Shawcross out is a massive miss.
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Re: Championship > Boxing Day Bolton v SheffWednesday @ 1.83 VCbet (6 Points) I have opposed Wednesday in their last couple of matches and come a cropper with them picking up 2 wins from their last 2. But I remain massively unconvinced by them and if the price is right I'm happy to keep opposing them despite their upturn in form. Bolton are massively under achieving in my opinion and with the players they have they really should be doing much better. Kevin Davies is out today and Ngog could also be missing so Freedman may have to shake it up a bit with the forwards. It could work out to be a blessing in disguise. Bolton are the far superior side in my opinion and 5/6 is a great price on them to a secure a home win against one of the worst sides in the league. Yes Wednesday have picked up a couple of wins in their last couple of games but I don't expect them to keep on winning after being in such poor before hand. It could be back to earth with a bump for them today and I'm strongly backing Bolton to pick up the 3 points.
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Re: Championship > 18th Dec - 22nd Dec Sheff Wednesday v Charlton +0 (AH) @2.15 Bet365 (4Points) Wednesday got a vital win last week at Barnsley but I still didn't think they looked overly convincing. Before that they had that terrible run of 7 losses on the bounce and I can't really see that a massive lot has changed in them. Charlton are a good side on the road. They have w2, d2 and lost 1 of their last 5 away matches and on that basis with the poor form the Owls are in, I just can't see them winning this match. I don't think you can make Wednesday favourites in this match even with the home advvantage and the 3 points last week. I can see a low scoring game with Charlton being fairly tight at the back now and Wednesdy severely lacking in goals. But if either of these teams are going to win, I can see Charlton adding another 3 points to their collection on the road. At the odds available that's definitely where I think the value lies anyway.
Capital One Cup > 8th January - 9th January
in Championship Predictions
Posted
Re: Capital One Cup > 8th January - 9th January Aston Villa @ 1.95 Bet365 (5 Points) I just can't be having Villa at approaching evens here. I know what a massive night this is For Bradford. I know every one of their players will be busting a gut tonight. I know their fans will be right at it. But this a premier league team away at league 2 at evens. It's not like it's an early round where they are going to be complacent. I don't think Villa have got too many big time Charlie's, with lots of players coming from the lower leagues and they will also be bang at it tonight. I know there are 2 legs which could affect their attitude but ultimately a cup final will be just as big for many of the Villa players as it will be for Bradford. It will also be a real feather in the cap for Lambert and could see their season turn from potential disaster to a memorable one. The price is just too big on Villa in my opinion and it has to be taken.