aimar21
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Posts posted by aimar21
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Re: Champions League (Nov 1) Benfica - Celtic (0.5) : Actually I think Benfica will win but everybody is on Benfica again :eyes . Celtic are dangerous on countre-attacks and benfica is a team who can always .... up. there can be a draw here. 2.00 @ expekt Lyon - Dinamo Kiev (+2) : Dinamo Kiev conceded lots of goals so far. I know this might sound kind of silly but they have a reputation to protect and they don't wanna finish the group like fenerbahce or leichtenstein. Lyon will probably win but they won't be trying too hard I guess. 2.02 @ pointbet. By the way I found odds of 26.00 for kiev which is just silly imo. AEK - Lille (dnb) : This match will probably end 0-0. Lille is like the draw team of Champions League and I don't expect a domination from them tonight because they are not a star team imo. If there will be a winner, it will be Aek playing at home in a good atmosphere. Lille has to get more experience in order to win matches like these comfortably. 2.00 @ betway. Real Madrid - Steaua Bucharest ( +2) : this match is a lot like the lyon game but here I'm picking Real Madrid because their goal scoring abilites are one class above lyon. 1.9 @ pointbet Arsenal - Cska Moscow (1.25) : Arsenal will probably win but CSKA is a side which shouldn't be underestimated this much while Arsenal is failing to get their results also. 2.02 @ pinnacle FCK - Manchester United (-1) : Manchester are missing an important trio but this should make this bet even better. The replacements have to play better to use their chances good. Kobenhavn is very weak for MAN UTD. 1.8 @ pointbet Milan - Anderlecht (+1.75) : Milan will probably qualify this round as leaders and they also know that. It's wrong to give Anderlecht 1.75 ball against Milan because milan is coming from a great derby game and they are on a great form of not scoring against weak teams. 1.99 @ pinnacle Hamburg - Porto (+0.25) : I still can't trust Hamburg after Hannover match. I'm gonna start trusting them after their first home win. Porto beat them hard last match and they also beat their rivals in the league so they have good morale and self-confidence. I think they'll leave here with at least a point. 1.84 @ pinnacle 5 stakes again. Gl. Sorry for writing so late :hope
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Re: Champions League (Oct 31) I wanna warn you guys in some point. I don't like betting on Galatasaray matches (my team) and I don't like commenting on them either. I don't wanna give a comment about who will win tonight but I thought I should warn you. Olimpiyat Stadı (where we played against psv and bordeaux) is the worst stadium ever. Galatasaray played there one complete season because Ali Sami Yen (the real stadium- HELL) was being restored and we ended up being 6th in that terrible league losing to caykur rizespor 0-5 once. I'm sure if we played in Ali Sami Yen we would have beaten both PSV and Bordeaux. The matches you watched (or you only know the result) against PSV or Bordeaux is no sign for this match. Only take the Liverpool match into consideration before betting. Galatasaray will play better than they played at that shitey stadium. I hope that stadium burns down and we never play there again. Don't forget I'm not saying we won't lose. I'm just saying be careful. Cheers.
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Re: Champions League (Oct 31) Here are my 50% chance tips no analysis though cause I don't have great info about every team. spartak moscow - Inter (-0.5) : inter is a better team . they beat milan they boosted their morale. moscow is not a hell or smt. inter must win. so inter will win. 1.86(pinnacle) Barcelona - Chelsea (+0.5) : I think there is only home advantage difference that is going on between these two great teams. But with this form of barca giving Chelsea 0.5 ball is silly. So I take it. 1.86 (pointbet) Liverpool - Bordeaux (+1.25) : Liverpool and PSV are almost clear in this group so they will play relaxed. Bordeaux is still fighting for hope and the third place. So it's hard for liverpool to win by 2 goals. last chance for bordeaux. 1.91 (point) Shakhtar - Valencia (-0.5) : As a Galatasaray fan I know a lot about Lucescu and his style of play. I'm sure he'll at least get a draw here against a Valencia who already without a doubt will qualify this group. 1.86 (pointbet) Levski - Bremen (-1.25) : Bremen should win this match and I trust them the most at scoring goals. They are again gonna win 0-2 or 0-3 imo. 1.84 (point) roma - olympiakos (+1.25) : roma has been out of form failing to get easy results recently. After all this is a CL match and olympiakos is not a joke team. I find the line a bit huge here. roma will win by 1 goal I think. 1.95 (pointbet) bayern - lisbon (+1) : bayern has a great form in CL so far and lisbon can't leave the stadium with any points. But I'm not sure if they will cover the handicap. strikers should be on form. 1.87 (pointbet) 5 stakes on all cause I'm not good away from Turkey :) . GL :hope
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 Commentator's first words after the final whistle: "rizespor earned their first three points in Avni Aker (trabzon stadium). The most disappointing loss of my whole betting life. sorry guys. :wall
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 thanks for the good comments mates :D my trabzonspor pick is in the first page. I think it will be a real surprise if they can't win but it depends on ersen martin and gökdeniz if their win will be more than one goal. I hope they won't miss like they did against manisa. GL :hope
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 also very nice weekend for me bringing in 20.775 units profit with only trabzonspor left. I hope it continues like this. :hope
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 Kayseri's best striker Gökhan Ünal is injured during the match and sent to the hospital. seems to be a great day for me.:eyes
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 ceyhun is playing and ankaragücü is already up 2-0 I don't know why there are always false news this year. sorry.
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 Ankaragücü - Erciyesspor (+0.5) Pick : Erciyesspor Odds : 1.91 @ Pinnacle I think Ankaragücü could make a stop here after series of winnings. They will play today without their key playmaker Ceyhun and fast and dangerous forward Tita. It will not be easy to score without them agains Erciyesspor who will turn into a strong defensive team under Lorant. I think Erciyes will get a nice score sometime and this could be right match. Go Lazarov score countre-attacks. 6/10 Kayseri - Bursa (+0.5) Pick: Kayseri Odds : 1.85 @ bet365 Kayserispor needs to win this match to return to their old days. They couldn't get on the right track after they were eliminated to Az Alkmaar. But their every lost game has a reason. Red cards, missing strikers etc. Bursaspor is an away team it's true but this time they will be a tired away team who fought really hard against Galatasaray midweek. Their playmaker Fransineanu is injured so they will lack creativity in countre attacks. Kayseri's biggest advantage against Bursa is they didn't play a cup game and they were preparing for this match for a full week. HW. 7/10 Gaziantepspor - Sivasspor (+0.5) Pick : Gaziantepspor Odds : 2.05 @ Pinnacle Gaziantep rested their regulars against fenerbahce (shocking decision for me) that shows me they are very motivated to win this match. Sivasspor were saved by the angels against manisa and still conceded 2 goals. Sivasspor main power is countre-attacks but I think defensive coach zenga will find a cure for that. It's not a big problem to score against sivas especially if you have quality strikers. 5/10 My only real bet is Kayseri among these three. I also had fenerbahce for today but I lost hope in it after mehmet yozgatli injury their attack is seriously damaged now. I won't touch Denizli game but antalyaspor probably won't lose denizli has been getting lucky results. GL :hope
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 Bad news and one more pick. Mehmet Yozgatli is injured and will not play tomorrow for fenerbahce. He is not a key winger but he was playing great recently so it will damage their attack. Konyaspor - Ankaraspor (0.25) Pick : Ankaraspor Odds : 1.99 @ pinnacle I think konyaspor's wins are depending on their luck and their goalkeepers performance. They don't show good football to anbody. Ankaraspor on the other hand turned into a classic Aykut Kocaman team which has a nice defence and countre-attacks. Key defender El Saka will be missing for Konyaspor so ankaraspor's fast forwards murat and jaba can score. I don't think ankaraspor will lose. 7/10
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 My Correct Scores and reasons for nobet games V.Manisa 0-1 Fenerbahce Besiktas 2-1 Sakaryaspor Trabzonspor 2-0 Rizespor Ankaragücü is getting nice results but erciyes has to get something somewhere and they're dangerous on countre-attacks. Also Ankaragücü star Ceyhun is injured as far as I know (if this is a lie bet on ankaragücü) Denizlispor is really inconsistent and Antalyaspor is a weird team. Kayserispor is the opposite of last year I think they lost motivation this season and bursaspor is playing better away. konyaspor is a good team but ankaraspor under coach aykut kocaman is like a draw team and a draw here is very likely. antepspor probably will win but I hate sivasspor they destroyed all of my bets so far this season. GL to all :hope
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 Besiktas - Sakaryaspor (+1.5) Pick : Sakaryaspor Odds : 1.85 @ pinnacle Besiktas blasted against a terrible opponent in the cup 5-1. This doesn't say much I think. They are still not dominating a game or creating 1000 chances. They just have two or three goal positions and they score and win. Last week in Rize they were saved by the woodwork and a surpisingly good display by goalie Runje. Rize could get points there. Sakarya is looking for good results since they beat fenerbahce. They didn't play cup game so they have been preparing for this match since last week. Since playing against a istanbul team is a like a showroom for sakarya players they will be more motivated than usual. I'm not saying that Besiktas can't win but it's really hard to beat Sakarya with two goals difference for a team who has a hard time scoring and has an upcoming Uefa match midweek. Players' minds could be there. 7/10
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 Trabzonspor - Ç.Rizespor (+1.25) Pick : Trabzonspor Odds : 2.07 @ Pinnacle This match is sort of a northern derby and both sides will be motivated. But Trabzon has a home advantage so they will be more motivated. They played great midweek and could have beaten manisaspor hard but they missed too many chances. They got a terrible lost last week in the league against genclerbirligi and they should cover it. they got the quality to do so and there seems to be nothing wrong so far. rizespor continues to lose. they lost against ankaragücü in the cup midweek and again showed no signs of improvement. they have nothing to stop trabzon in my opinion. I hope Trabzon doesn't miss so many chances again and get a nice score here to cover the handicap 7/10
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi 28-30/10 V.Manisaspor - Fenerbahce (-0.25) Pick : Fenerbahce Odds : 1.88 @ 188bet Surprise of the league Manisa was stopped by Sivas last week , was saved by the god against Trabzonspor midweek and are now facing their most important game till now. It's not good that they conceded three goals from sivas and they could have conceded 10 goals from trabzonspor if their keeper Fevzi wasn't a hero. It's their style of play. They concede goals to score more and win the game. But I'm afraid this match will be a little different. I don't think Manisa will score easily because Fenerbahce changed their style of play to a stronger midfield by changing a forward to a midfielder. Since then they look more solid. Also their top-scorer Rafael who was capable of scoring weird goals is suspended for this match. One of their key defenders Johanna could also miss the game due to injury and if that happens they will have more leaks in defense which is already not so good. Kezman is missing for fener due to injury but Deivid scored again in the cup and he's getting more confident. I think fener has to and will win this game to get on top and also get last year's revenge then Manisa will probably lose their motivation and go down step by step to end in the top 5. 7/10
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Re: Romania Liga I 27-29/10 their away record is 1-0-5 or I'm looking at a wrong table :) Good job mate I'll consider your pick :clap
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Re: Turkish Cup 24/25/26.10.2006 Yeah nice pick bro. My pick would also be nice if Gaziantep coach zenga had not decided to play without 8 regulars. I think he is going to make Gaziantep champions so the cup is not important:lol . Retard. A countre - attack goal in 88th minute from Gaziantep freekick near the box to make it 2-0. Shit happens.
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Re: Turkish Cup 24/25/26.10.2006 Fenerbahce - Gaziantepspor (+1.5) Pick: Gaziantepspor Odds : 1.93 @ Pinnacle Fenerbahce couldn't win the cup for 23 years which means some of the fener players weren't born when fener got their last turkish cup :lol . This year is their 100th year as a club so the motivation is different. Of course motivation doesn't do anything in Europe as long as you are fenerbahce but it could do something in the Turkish cup. But this match is different. Gaziantepspor has always been a trouble to fenerbahce. Little clubs in Turkey always try hard to get in europe by either getting the cup or climbing up the table. So their motivation is also high. As we know Fenerbahce isn't playing great this year. Added to that Kezman is injured and won't play. I think they're gonna rest some tired mid players too since there is an important match agains manisa in weekend. Also players' mind could be on that match so they could forget what to do here. Gaziantep has Diawara up front who kicked our ass in Ali Sami Yen by scoring 2 nice goals. He is very dangerous. Fener defense is weak for those kinds of players. With Kezman being injured Fener will have a hard time scoring and with that defense Gaziantep could easily score. The most important handicap for Gaziantep is keeper Hasagic being injured. I hope the other keeper doesn't suck much. I think Fener could win but I think -1.5 line is too much. So I favour G.Antep here. 7/10
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Re: Turkish Cup 24/25/26.10.2006 isn't it the same with straight win? I think they will win but it would be better if you find dnb or 0.25 half money back
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Re: Turkish Cup 24/25/26.10.2006 Also Besiktas will definitely win but I couldn't find value or asian odds. And I would back Ankaraspor on asian handicap but I couldn't find it. So if you find you can. Eskisehirspor is not playing good. Manisaspor and Trabzonspor are in this group so this is a must-win for Ankaraspor which are a good away team. if you find DNB jump on it.
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Re: Turkish Cup 24/25/26.10.2006 Kayseri Erciyes - Karsiyaka Pick : Kayseri odds : 1.66 @g'bookers I think Erciyes is starting to play good. It doesn't show though because they played with two big teams since the arrival of their new coach. But I watched both matches and I think they could get a draw in Trabzon. If Mondragon wasn't superb they could even beat us. So they would want to get a win in the cup and start improving. Karsiyaka on the other hand is really in trouble. They were not playing any good. They also lack the strikers to score that could lead to a surprise here in my opinion. And after fans protest coach Feyyaz Ucar just resigned from the club. Also Karsiyaka's goal is to save the current situation to stay in the league. So they should not be interested in a cup game in which sooner or later they are gonna lose and not win the cup. So they should lack the motivation for this match. Only thing that scares me is they play better away. Maybe KSK could tell us better about his own team. This is my opinion. 7/10
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Re: Turkish Cup 24/25/26.10.2006 Ankaragücü - Rizespor (+0.5) Pick : Ankaragücü odds : 2.05 @ bet365 Under Hikmet Karaman Ankaragücü started playing very well and I think they passed the ugly period. Ceyhun is a real commander and I think he will play part again in this win of Ankaragücü. Secondary superleague clubs are always very motivated to win the cup and also now there is prize money for every match so I think there will be nice motivation in both teams. Of course more in Ankaragücü cause they got their first win in weekend and they are high-moraled. This is a hard group this is a must-win for them to qualify. I think Rizespor couldn't get on track yet. They are weak enough for Ankaragücü. 7/10
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Re: Turkish Cup 24/25/26.10.2006 not at least 3 crossbars but at least 5 one on ones after 1-1. sorry
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Re: Turkish Cup 24/25/26.10.2006 V.Manisaspor - Trabzonspor I don't like betting outcome for cup matches but you can give the 0.25 to Trabzonspor here if you like because Manisa has stopped this week and they looked tired to me. But it's risky. This match will probably see over 2.5 goals because both teams have quality players that are able to score in any way. And none of these teams have a rock-solid defense nor do they play defensive football. The only way for this match to end under is the ball hitting crossbar at least 3 times. Chances for over (65%) . Pinnacle has 1.9 very nice value and a very possible correct bet. 7/10
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Re: Turkey Super League 20/22.10.2006 I know it's not an excuse but Turkish league will be easier to predict after our religious month Ramazan ended because form of the players and teams will not differ much.
UEFA Cup (Nov 2)
in Europa League Predictions
Posted
Re: UEFA Cup (Nov 2) Totenham - Club Brugge (+1) : Brugge can't make it against a good premier league team which is on a good form and have great players upfront. I don't have injury news but if Lennon plays that's more than enough. 2.01 (pointbet) Blackburn - Basel (+0.75) : Blackburn can win here but they just don't give me much confidence about scoring goals. After all this is an UEFA cup match. I pick Basel to take a point here. 1.96 (pinnacle Lens - Osasuna (0.25) : I trusted Osasuna in the weekend but that was the last time for me until they start getting good results like last year. A good french side could take three points here. 1.86 (pinnacle) Palermo - Newcastle (0.75) : Although the line's a bit huge, it's no doubt that Palermo who are playing great and getting great results are gonna beat Newcastle who has a hard time even against fenerbahce. 1.92 (pinnacle) Celta Vigo - Frankfurt (0.75) : Celta are getting great results in the league but they have been scoring some lucky goals and they can struggle against a stubborn German side who were unbeaten for 6-7 games in the league till Bayern game. 1.94 (pinnacle) Nancy - Wisla Krakow (0.75) : I haven't heard both of these teams having a great success in Europe so my pick is a french team could beat a polish team at home. 1.77 (gamebookers). The line will move to -1 I think so be careful with traps. Rangers - Maccabi Haifa (0.75) : Rangers surprised us all against Livorno but I think this time they could struggle at home. Maccabi could do some hard defense to earn 1 point and could be dangerous on countres. 1.99(pinnacle) Ajax - Austria Wien (1.75) : I trust Huntelaar and his friends to do the job against out-of-form Wien side. Go Huntelaar score some goals. The line could go to -2 here. 1.77 (pointbet) 5 stakes. GL :hope