aimar21
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Posts posted by aimar21
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26) other matches are no bets but in rizespor - genclerbirligi match I favour Gencler, I just didn't bet on them because of low-odds in the line. If odds go up or the line changes to DNB and odds get around 2 I can take them low stakes. I don't think that rize will win that match. Genclerbirligi striker Okan will be playing against his former-team. They have good morale after huge win against konyaspor. Rize has a hard time scoring and their defense doesn't shine either. Genclerbirligi should win this match even with their normal form because rize at home is no big deal . no great atmosphere there. mostly empty seats. GL mates if I pick Gencler I will write a more detailed preview.:hope
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26)
Event Trabzonspor - Fenerbahce Selection Fenerbahce (-0.5) (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 26/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.12 (Back) Reasoning We will probably watch a great game at Turkey. Trabzonspor is actually out of form and talented manager ziya dogan is held responsible for this situation by the media. They are criticizing him a lot and this match is a perfect chance for him to boost the confidence. Trabzon is always extra motivated in fenerbahce matches because of some past incident in a match where fenerbahce beat trabzon at their stadium and get the championship from them. Especially the fans hate fenerbahce and they will surely expect at least a win. Injured Ersen Martin will probably play again may play with a mask though but he wasn't training with the team recently so he could have a low form in this match. Also I believe that his performance fall a lot when he plays semi-injured. But if he can catch his form, he will be dangerous like he were against the two other big teams. he scored twice to both of them. Also Ziya Dogan beat two other big teams this season and he will be looking for a third. They will miss hasan ucuncu which could be counted as a important midfielder and also cagdas who is a good defender. Another miss is Musa on the right wing who usually plays in the first eleven and is a decent player. Stadium is of course sold out for this match. fenerbahce is now through a terrible fixture of besiktas, trabzonspor and galatasaray respectively. they should have beaten Besiktas at home but they failed. They played very bad too. Now kezman will probably start in the first eleven but they miss Alex. I don't think I should explain the importance of him. Even when fener plays shitey soccer (most of the time they do) he comes up and creates a goal from a set piece, or gives one pass to make others score. Tumer will cover for him if he fully recovers (which will probably happen) or else it will be Deivid. they will also miss goalkeeper rustu and volkan has been playing terrible recently except the last match against palermo. whole team has morale from that match. they also left umit who is in rotation with ugur. I'm not going to underestimate Trabzon's success against big teams this season but with this form for them, the odds are just too much for Fener. Fener beat Manisa when we expected them to, and I think they will beat their opponent again in a similar game. good value so full-stakes for me. GL -
Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26) G.Antepspor 1-2 Kayserispor V.Manisaspor 0-1 Konyaspor Denizlispor 1-1 Ankaraspor (Wederson free-kick :lol ) :clap Galatasaray 3-1 Sivasspor :puke referee
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26) G.Antepspor - Kayserispor (No bet) I can't find much differences between these teams just like the lines suggest. Antepspor wants a good result here at home while Kayserispor has the last week's referree anger and they are also motivated. I really can't play this match in my head so it's just a matter of defensive mistakes for this match imo. Faruk will not play for G.Antep which is an important player. Diawara and Nigris starts up front they are both dangerous attackers. Kayseri lacks the attack power with the loss of Gokhan but they somehow score goals. A midfielder makes a forward run and scores a great header for example. If the line were draw no bet I could've pick G.Antepspor but it's really possible to see a draw here. GL for today...:hope
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26)
Event Denizlispor - Ankaraspor Selection Ankaraspor (+0.25) (Asian Handicap) Strength 3/10 Date 25/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.76 (Back) Reasoning Denizlispor is probably still missing Oliviera and Selahattin in the attack. Huseyin and Adriano will play up-front with great playmaker Yusuf behind them. Denizlispor surprised Turkish punters a lot when playing at home getting good results against very good teams. But now they will play against a team that so hardly loses and they will have a hard time scoring. Ankaraspor is a team that can really control the score line with their controlled play. Even when I backed them they got draws but last week they were against me and they got their so-long missed 3 points. With that football, they showed that they learned to win matches. I think they are capable of stopping Denizli which will bring us half profit, and they can even build on last week's confidence to get the win with quality attackers bilal, jaba and mehmet yilmaz. It would be great if Murat Hacioglu also played but he's out for this game. Kursat scoring from a corner, wederson scoring from a free-kick, volkan or bilal scoring a long-shot goal, jaba scoring a counter-attack. Any of these would be fine :). Go Ankaraspor -
Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26)
Event V.Manisaspor - Konyaspor Selection V. Manisaspor (-0.5) (Asian Handicap) Strength 3/10 Date 25/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.84 (Back) Reasoning Manisaspor stopped their losing streak against Kayserispor which is one of the hardest away games. They could even win that game if Rafael didn't miss the penalty in the last 5 minutes. This match they would want to build on that success and start moving up again after that terrible streak. They don't have any big misses. Konyaspor is playing their second consecutive away match and in the first one I trusted them but they were thrashed by Genclerbirligi. I think Konya has a good squad but maybe they can't do it away from home. They will miss Yordanov which is a very important loss in attack. With his loss Konya will create half the chances they would create with him. Eder is also missing for a long time now so it's all about their defense for this match. Can they hold Manisa attacks? I think odds are good because konya is playing against Manisa in a wrong time. They see this match very important. -
Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26) Besiktas - Bursaspor Besiktas got the away draw last week in the derby against Fenerbahce and almost beat them if Ricardinho scored. this should've brought confidence to the team and they are very motivated to come back in this match. Besiktas and Bursaspor fans hate each other because of the incident Vasily talked about. There will be no Bursaspor fans allowed for today's match but it's said that bursa fans are buying besiktas jerseys from bursa and will come to this match secretly to create chaos. Besiktas fans can be crazy about this match and they usually effect the team bad because they cheer so loud. :) these are the besiktas players' words, not mine. Bursaspor on the other hand are on top of their form so far with their new coach engin ipekoglu. they play very good against offensive teams, we saw that against fenerbahce and manisaspor. I don't know if Besiktas will move the defensive line that much up though. I didn't see Zafer on the squad again so it will be two fast forwards sinan and burak up front. I don't have to tell you the motivation of bursaspor players because they believe they relegated 2 years ago just because of besiktas about match-fixing. They would want to come with a win to get nice things from their fans when they return home. This is a very complicated game so I advise you to stay away. If you wanna bet for fun bet on Bursaspor +1 which makes more sense. GL
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Re: UEFA Cup - (Nov 23)
Event Club Brugge - Dinamo Bucharest Selection Club Brugge (-0.25) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 23/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.78 (Back) Reasoning I bet on Dinamo Bucharest against Besiktas and I watched that match on TV live and I've gone crazy. They didn't play like their statistics show us and one bad refereeing gave them three points out of nothing actually. With Brugge struggling in the group, they should win this one or they will say bye. Draw against Genk shouldve given them some morale and I think they will beat dinamo here. -
Re: UEFA Cup - (Nov 23)
Event Espanyol - Zulte-Wagerem Selection Espanyol (-1) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 23/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.74 (Back) Reasoning Zulte- Waregem probably qualified from this group and they have been really on fire. But Espanyol is a Spanish side which has a good squad especially good strikers. I think since they started their winning ways they should beat Zulte here. Also there is a possibility that Zulte can take it easy. -
Re: UEFA Cup - (Nov 23)
Event Fenerbahce - Palermo Selection Fenerbahce (-0.5) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 23/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.05 (Back) Reasoning Fenerbahce is not suited for Europe but they got some wins at their home ground. they beat psv once and manchester united (reserves). Now Palermo reserves are coming to town as far as I've heard and Fenerbahce plays good against reserves =). I think with a full stadium they can get the three points. -
Re: Champions League Wednesday 22 Nov
Event Valencia - Olympiakos Selection Olympiakos (+1) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 22/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.92 (Back) Reasoning Valencia surely qualified from this group and they are playing relaxed. we saw that when they luckily nicked a draw from a corner against shakhtar. Now they have a Real Madrid match coming up so they won't even risk David Villa and they miss albelda, marchena, del horno and others. Olympiakos made me happy last time against Roma and I hope they will make me happy again. I don't believe they have a chance to lose by two while Valencia is so un-interested. -
Re: Champions League Wednesday 22 Nov
Event Shakhtar - Roma Selection Shakhtar (+0.25) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 22/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.00 (Back) Reasoning Shakhtar must win this match for getting hopes for last round. I'm a Galatasaray fan and I know Lucescu very well. First he tries to stop the opponent then scores a goal and then stop again. Very smart coach in my opinion. When he was with us we almost won against all of the big teams at home, drew or lost only due to bad refereeing etc. I think with the small interest of roma for this match, shakhtar can at least get a draw. -
Re: Champions League Wednesday 22 Nov
Event Liverpool - PSV Selection PSV (+0.75) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 22/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.80 (Back) Reasoning Liverpool is very good at home but they are not good away from home. You may think this has nothing to do with this match but it's all about motivation here. Fans mean motivation and Liverpool winning at home could mean Liverpool can win with motivation and fail to win without it. They both probably qualified so they will both play relaxed. Psv is on a great form domestically while Liverpool isn't. I think with this handicap and in a situation of no-motivation, teams like PSV are always worth picking. -
Re: Champions League Wednesday 22 Nov
Event Inter Milan - S.Lisbon Selection Inter Milan (-1) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 22/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.74 (Back) Reasoning A must must must win for Inter Milan. They got bad results in first matches and now they should give their everything to come back or they can even be out of champions league because they will face bayern away next round whom they lost even at home. they don't have an important missing for this match only miss is striker Cruz. I'm not gonna write anything about lisbon because I think it's all about Inter for this match. With Crespo on form, I think they should score first then score another to relax. It can end 2-0. -
Re: Champions League Tuesday 21 Nov
Event Celtic - Manchester United Selection Celtic (+0.5) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 21/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.81 (Back) Reasoning Celtic must win this match and they are playing against Manchester United who they almost beat away so there will be a high motivation for them. In Europe they have a great home advantage. teams hardly get three points here. Actually I would want to be there as a Celtic fan because I believe they will create a great atmosphere and push their team forward. Manchester on the other hand is not taking this match very seriously because they have a chelsea game which is extremely important. I think players and also ferguson are thinking about that match and Celtic will punish them for that. -
Re: Champions League Tuesday 21 Nov
Event Real Madrid - Olympique Lyonnais Selection Real Madrid (-0.5) (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 21/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.96 (Back) Reasoning Real Madrid seem to be getting on the track with Capello and their transfers. Although they fail sometimes they are mostly better than last year and improving day by day. Lyon trashed them last time and they would want revenge here mostly and also the first place in the group. Lyon will miss cacapa, wiltord, fred, govou and benzema. With this forward injuries I think Lyon won't be motivated here and they will lack confidence. Their only goal chance will be carew header from a corner or a Juninho free-kick. I think Real will do the job and good odds too. -
Re: Champions League Tuesday 21 Nov
Event Arsenal - Hamburg Selection Hamburg +1.75 (Asian Handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 21/11/2006 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 2.20 (Back) Reasoning Arsenal is playing good football in my opinion but they have problems scoring goals. I don't know if it's bad luck or some curse but in Cska match I couldn't believe my eyes. They couldn't beat poor Newcastle at home which could cause low- morale for today. Also rosicky is probably not playing and Van Persie has just recovered from injury. Hamburg were still not looking good against mainz and they got not much of a goal against Arsenal. But the motivation of playing against Arsenal should be high and after all they are not a joke team. I think this bet is value. -
Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 18) Ankaraspor 2-0 Gaziantepspor Bursaspor 1-0 Denizlispor Fenerbahce 0-0 Besiktas Rizespor 0-0 Erciyesspor Sivasspor 1-0 Trabzonspor
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 18) Sivasspor - Trabzonspor match is a no bet for me because I really cant trust Trabzonspor this week. I will start backing them decently after their first win. GL for today mates :hope
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 18) Ankaraspor - Gaziantepspor (0.5) Ankaraspor got their so-long missed three points last week against manisaspor and have been drawing 6 of their last 8 games. They dont lose but they cant win. Which I think will be the same situation here. Ankaraspor are not that great to become such favourites against a strong Gaziantepspor. An Ankaraspor win is not such an easy thing to see this season you can even use martingale system on ankaraspor and get rich believe me ;) . Gaziantepspor lost 2 straight against fener away and bursa at home. they should be unhappy about the bursa game and play more motivated here to earn the points they missed at home. They are a solid defensive team which I think Ankaraspor will have trouble breaking down. And they got good strikers that can score when they get the ball. I also see Diawara in the line-up who is a great forward imo. I think Antep will get at least a point. Pick : Gaziantepspor (+0.5) Odds: 1.82 Conf: 3/10
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 18) Bursaspor - Denizlispor (0.25) Bursaspor is red hot with their new coach engin ipekogl. They seem in great form but I don't know when it will end. they have been struggling at home to make their fans happy just until they trashed manisaspor 4-0. After that result they should be scary to denizlispor. I don't see zafer biryol in the line-up but sinan and burak should do the trick against denizli. Denizlispor is also getting good results which suprise me actually. I think they are not a solid team and their results are mostly dependant. they are not bad away from home actually but now they face bursaspor who has great fans and are on a seriously good form. denizli again will try not to concede and try to do things with Yusuf. They have a hard task here and with this handicap I can gladly take Bursa. Pick : Bursaspor (-0.25) Odds : 1.8 confidence : 5/10
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 18) rizespor - k. erciyesspor (+0.5) I still dont believe rizespor although they got good results. I watched the games against trabzonspor and galatasaray which rizespor both won and they were both due to their luck. especially galatasaray played a on-side match the whole second half and couldnt score. I think they only play good against open-defenses, they lack the quality to be the favourites. probables: zdravkov, yasin, bashir, tolga, victoria, serhat,hasan,tijkuzu, emrah, altan, dia cire Erciyes is a side that I trusted recently but they failed everytime even ATS. I don't think their squad deserve results this bad. they are gonna get a good result soon and im gonna keep backing them especially against a weak opponent like this with this ball. probables: fadhel, omer or mehmet, zafer, djalovic, timucin, mustafa or serge die, fatih, ozgur, cem, ilhan, cenk pick : erciyes (+0.5) odds: 2.08 confidence : 3/10
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 18) Fenerbahce - Besiktas (+0.75) Fenerbahce, after changing their system, started getting nice results and scoring goals. Deivid got on form and he started scoring also. They only disappointed last week against Denizlispor away. They didnt even have any goal positions and played terrible. But i dont see that continueing today. Mehmet Aurelio didnt start in the first eleven recently which was a terrible mistake imo from zico. now i saw that he is playing and together with appiah they could close besiktas midfield which seems their only danger. also it is said that although kezman is ready deivid will be in the first eleven and if kezman starts in the first eleven deivid will start as right winger. after all its the system that matters and its good for fener. experienced left back umit ozat is also in the first eleven today which i think is a good decision because of experience. goalkeeper rustu finished the season with injury and volkan has been really out of form which could effect fener in a bad way. probables : volkan, onder, edu, lugano, umit, appiah, aurelio, tumer, tuncay, alex, deivid Besiktas on the other hand is just failing and failing. they are like cursed this season but they didnt miss the championship yet. they still have enough points to keep up with the championship. but my friends who support besiktas have lost faith in the team generally. they just believe their team for this match because they dont lose to fener in kadikoy for a long time. this psychological thing could be very important for besiktas today. bobo and ali gunes wont play because of injury. probables: runje , a.tandogan, i.toraman, g.zan, i.uzulmez, koray, serdar, ricardinho, kleberson, delgado, nobre note : fenerbahce player tumer and besiktas player nobre will play against their ex-teams. they both say they will do their best My prediction for this game is 'series dont last forever'. i think in this game fenerbahce can never catch besiktas like this and they will end the serie of besiktas. pick: fenerbahce (-0.75) odds: 2.02 conf: 5/10
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Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 18) Genclerbirligi 4-1 Konyaspor Kayserispor 2-2 V.Manisaspor Sakaryaspor 0-0 Ankaragucu
Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26)
in Other European Leagues Football Predictions
Posted
Re: Turkey - Super Ligi (Nov 24-26) Ankaragucu 1-0 Antalyaspor Erciyesspor 2-0 Sakaryaspor (finally) Rizespor 0-1 Genclerbirligi ( I bet on'em but didn't have time to paste here I hope you bet on them also) Trabzonspor 1-2 Fenerbahce