ProfessorMJ
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Posts posted by ProfessorMJ
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MLB PICK FOR June 9th
The Mets just couldn’t get it done. But we’re no quitters – lets go with the Mets again!
RECORD:
Bets won = 4
Bets lost = 9
Profit = -4.38 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 9:00 Eastern Time):
NY Mets (-124) at Baltimore Orioles
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Hot Bats System”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR June 8th
A pitcher change put us in a bad spot with the Marlins yesterday. These last minute changes are just as likely to hurt us as they are to help us. No excuses, we just keep moving on and looking for value plays.
RECORD:
Bets won = 4
Bets lost = 8
Profit = -3.38 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetMGM at 9:30 Eastern Time):
NY Mets (-110) at Baltimore Orioles
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Blowout System”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR June 7th
The Red Sox come through and we pick up the win. Apologies for no posts over the weekend, had a few urgent tasks that came up. Luckily these gaps should be few and far beteween.
RECORD:
Bets won = 4
Bets lost = 7
Profit = -2.38 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 9:30 Eastern Time):
Marlins (+133) at Red Sox
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Snapped Losing Streak”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJTwitter @DavidBeaudoin79
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MLB PICK FOR June 4th
The Red Sox come through and we pick up the win. Let’s go into the weekend hot…
RECORD:
Bets won = 3
Bets lost = 7
Profit = -3.42 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 10:30 Eastern Time):
Nationals (+104) at Phillies
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Blowout System”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR June 3rd
The Diamondbacks were able to score 5 in the first inning but when they allow 4 themselves, they aren’t setting themselves up to win. On to the next one…
RECORD:
Bets won = 2
Bets lost = 7
Profit = -4.62 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Caesars at 10:00 Eastern Time):
Red Sox (+120) at Astros
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Cold vs Hot System”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR June 2nd
Broke the losing streak with a great underdog pick in the Tigers. I feel like we’re due for some positive variance, lets hope to get another.
RECORD:
Bets won = 2
Bets lost = 6
Profit = -3.62 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetMGM at 11:30 Eastern Time):
Mets vs Diamondbacks (-110)
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Comeback System”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJTwitter @DavidBeaudoin79
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MLB PICK FOR June 1st
Heartbreaking finish - blown leads. This is truly a terrible stretch. I’m confident in these systems, I have 8+ years of data that prove their success, so you won’t see me fudging my record and shying away from the results. We will stay the course. On to the next one….
RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 6
Profit = -5.17units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from 888sports at 12:15 Eastern Time):
Tigers (+155) at Brewers
This pick is based on the system that I call “Cold vs Hot System”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR May 31st
Just a rough start. Nothing to say but that. Long term sports bettors know these stretches all too well. We’ll continue to trust the system and work ourselves out of a hole.
RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 5
Profit = -4.17units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 12:00 Eastern Time):
A’s (-122) at Mariners
This pick is based on the system that I call “Cold vs Hot System”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR May 30th
My faith in the Reds has cost my twice in a row. But the systems I use have worked for 8+ seasons so we’ll continue on and get out of this cold start.
RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 4
Profit = -3.17units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Bookmaker at 11:00 Eastern Time):
Padres (-101) at Astros
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Comeback”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or Youtube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR May 29th
The Reds outhit the Cubs and had plenty of scoring opportunities but fall 1-0. This isn’t the start that we wanted for our pick of the day, but we’ve been doing this for year and slumps don’t bother us. It all evens out in the end…
RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 3
Profit = -2.17units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Bookmaker at 12:00 Eastern Time):
Reds (+105) at Cubs
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Cold vs Hot Matchup”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or Youtube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR May 28th
The Rangers never even gave us a chance as they go down without putting up a fight yesterday. Lets see if we can get in a roll this weekend.
RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 2
Profit = -1.17units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Bookmaker at 10:00 Eastern Time):
Reds (+162) at Cubs
This pick is based on the system that I call “The Cold Teams Matchup”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or Youtube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR May 27th
The Red Sox hang on and we grab our first win of the season! Can we make it 2 in a row?
RECORD:
Bets won = 1
Bets lost = 1
Profit = -0.17units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Bookmaker at 9:30 Eastern Time):
Rangers (-101) at Mariners
This pick is based on the system that I call “Pummeled Pitchers”. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or Youtube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
MLB PICK FOR May 26th
The Brewers can’t get it done for us and we lose our first pick of the day. Oh well, on to the next one.
RECORD:
Bets won = 0
Bets lost = 1
Profit = -1.00 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Caesars at 9:45 Eastern Time):
Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox (-120)
This pick is based on "The Stingy Pitchers" betting system. For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or Youtube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 -
Hello baseball fans!
I'm a statistics University professor from Canada, and I love to help fellow sports investors grow their bankrolls!
After analyzing data on several full MLB seasons, I have developed 19 proven and back-tested betting systems.
Some of you may recognize my posts from my NHL Play of the Day thread where we recently had a 31W-29L record and were up 12.33 units (20.55% ROI) over that span! I’m aiming for similar success over the MLB season!
We'll keep track of the record. We will be RISKING 1 unit on each play. Sounds good?
Let's get the party started!
Today's pick of the day (odds from Sports Interaction at 10:15am Eastern Time):
Milwaukee Brewers (at -122 odds via Draftkings)
This pick is based on the system that I like to call “The Snapped Winning Streak System”. More details of my systems can be found on my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Let's get off to a good start! Good luck! -
That's a wrap! I've decided that there are too many unknowns in the final two CAL/VAN games that even if they qualify for one of my systems that I won't be taking it.
Overall for the NHL season, my POTD is finished with a 31-29 record! Since the majority of the plays are 'underdogs' we finished up 12.33u for an incredible ROI of 20.56%!
Once again, thanks for following and I'll be looking to doing something similar next season. If you're interested, you can check out my other system plays for the NBA, MLB, NFL, WNBA that I post frequently on my Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 or on Youtube @Professor MJ! -
NHL PICK FOR May 15th
The Sens upset the Leafs in their last matchup on the 12th. We didn’t have a qualifying play on the 13th or 14th and todays play is likely the last of the regular season (unless something in the CAL/VAN final 3 games looks REALLY good).
Regardless, I wanted to thank everyone for tailing. I’m really glad that we were able to win several units through our first 60 plays (with a great ROI too!). I’ve really appreciated all the kinds DMs and for those interested in following my other systems, be sure to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel for daily picks!
RECORD:
Bets won = 30
Bets lost = 29
Profit = +10.58 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Coolbet at 10:00am Eastern Time):
Vancouver (+175) at Edmonton
This pick is based on "The Cold vs Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:
Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight losses when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight wins. Do it only if the road team's money line is better than +125 (i.e. 2.25 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 42.69-unit profit via 428 bets (a 10.0% ROI).
This is a perfect time for Vancouver to catch Edmonton looking ahead to the playoffs. Vancouver has lost their two games while Edmonton is enjoying a three game winning streak, but I’m anticipating that their heads just won’t be in it tonight.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 or on Youtube @Professor MJ -
NHL PICK FOR May 12th
Tampa didn’t even give us a chance to win our bet so our 4-bet winning streak comes to an end. We didn’t have a play yesterday as neither of the two NHL games qualified for a play. Truthfully, I’m not sure how many plays we’ll have with such a limited schedule over the next week but I’ll be sure to post a wrap-up at the end of the season.
RECORD:
Bets won = 30
Bets lost = 28
Profit = +11.58 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Bookmaker at 10:45am Eastern Time):
Toronto (-163) at Ottawa
This pick is based on "The Snapped Winning Streak" betting system, which goes as follows:
Bet AGAINST a team whose winning streak of length 3+ was just snapped in their previous game. Make the bet only if the team you are betting has a money line that's better than -150 (i.e. 1.667 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 87.34-unit gain on 1045 bets (a 8.4% ROI).
Ottawa’s young team was rolling but had their 3 game winning streak snapped. Although Toronto doesn’t have much to play for right now, we still believe there is value at this price.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 or on Youtube @Professor MJ -
NHL PICK FOR May 10th
The Predators give us our 4th win in a row, three of which were underdogs! I wish the season wasn’t ending this week as we are on a roll!
RECORD:
Bets won = 30
Bets lost = 27
Profit = +12.58 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 10:00am Eastern Time):
Tampa Bay (+119) at Florida
This pick is based on "The Cold vs Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:
Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight losses when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight wins. Do it only if the road team's money line is better than +125 (i.e. 2.25 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 42.69-unit profit via 428 bets (a 10.0% ROI).
Two teams appearing to go in opposite directions and we feel the public is over-valuing Florida’s recent good run so we’ll be betting Tampa Bay!
Good luck!
Professor MJ -
NHL PICK FOR May 8th
Vegas gives us our third win in a row! Can we keep the momentum during the final week of NHL games?
RECORD:
Bets won = 29
Bets lost = 27
Profit = +11.48 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from bwin at 11:00am Eastern Time):
Carolina at Nashville (+110)
This pick is based on "The Big Upset" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds that are greater than +170 (i.e. 2.70 in decimal). If Team B's next game is against a different opponent called Team C, bet Team C (only if its money line is better than -150, i.e. 1.667 in decimal).
In other words, we are expecting a team that was just the victim of a big upset to lose once again.
This strategy, over many seasons, yielded a 27.81-unit profit via 600 bets (a 4.6% ROI).
The Hurricanes recently lost as big favorites against the Blackhawks. We believe the Predators can strike as well in a very important game for them.
Good luck!
Professor MJ -
NHL PICK FOR May 7th
In reading the forums, not many people had the Canucks at +242 odds but we did! Our biggest underdog hit of the season! We’ve once again surpassed the +10u mark through our first 55 bets.
For anyone interested, I have system plays for the NBA, MLB, NFL among other sports that I post frequently on my Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79 or on Youtube @Professor MJ– If you like these picks, come check me out!
RECORD:
Bets won = 28
Bets lost = 27
Profit = +10.85 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 9:15am Eastern Time):
St. Louis vs Vegas (-158)
This pick is based on "The Big Upset" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose Team A upsets Team B with odds that are greater than +170 (i.e. 2.70 in decimal). If Team B's next game is against a different opponent called Team C, bet Team C (only if its money line is better than -150, i.e. 1.667 in decimal).
In other words, we are expecting a team that was just the victim of a big upset to lose once again.
This strategy, over many seasons, yielded a 27.81-unit profit via 600 bets (a 4.6% ROI).
The Blues were big favorites on Wednesday in their loss to the Ducks. We’re betting that the Golden Knights can beat the Blues as well!
Good luck!
Professor MJ -
NHL PICK FOR May 6th
The Jets snap their 7 game losing streak and we snap our 3 bet losing streak. Lets go on a run!
RECORD:
Bets won = 27
Bets lost = 27
Profit = +8.43 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 7:30am Eastern Time):
Vancouver (+242) at Edmonton
This pick is based on "The Cold vs Hot Teams Matchup" betting system, which goes as follows:
Bet a road team coming off 2+ straight losses when facing a home team coming off 2+ straight wins. Do it only if the road team's money line is better than +125 (i.e. 2.25 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, led to a 42.69-unit profit via 428 bets (a 10.0% ROI).
Seemingly two teams that are going in opposite directions. Edmonton no longer has as much to play for having locked up the 2nd seed in their division. They are definitely the favorites, but this line looks to have some value.
Good luck!
Professor MJ -
NHL PICK FOR May 5th
There was too much value on the Canucks last night, but unfortunately they were unable to get it done.
RECORD:
Bets won = 26
Bets lost = 27
Profit = +7.34 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 7:30am Eastern Time):
Winnipeg (+117) at Calgary
This pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose a team has lost its past two games, while scoring at most 3 goals in each of those defeats. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line that is better than -125 (i.e. 1.80 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 90.53-unit profit over 1656 bets (a 5.5% ROI).
The Jets are having trouble putting the puck in the back of their net having scored only 1, 3 and 1 goals in their last 3 games. Our systems believe that there is value on the Jets at this price.
Good luck!
Professor MJ -
NHL PICK FOR May 4th
Our last two losses have both come from the Dallas Stars – maybe it’s time we stop betting them?
RECORD:
Bets won = 26
Bets lost = 26
Profit = +8.34 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from BetOnline at 11:30am Eastern Time):
Edmonton vs Vancouver (+175)
This pick is based on "The Porous Defense" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose a team has allowed 4+ goals in each of their last two games. Bet them if they are home underdogs today.
This strategy, over many seasons, generated a 27.64-unit profit via 267 bets (a 10.4% ROI).
The Canucks are in a tough spot right now with a condensed schedule to finish off the season. Their defense has been tired and lackluster. While I agree Edmonton is a favorite here, I see a bit of value on the Canucks line. You may want to make this a half-unit play if you’re following…
Good luck!
Professor MJ -
NHL PICK FOR May 3rd
There was only one NHL game yesterday and it didn’t qualify so we’ll pick it back up today!
RECORD:
Bets won = 26
Bets lost = 25
Profit = +9.34 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Fanduel at 10:30am Eastern Time):
Dallas (+130) at Florida
This pick is based on "The Scoring Drought" betting system, which goes as follows:
Suppose a team has lost its past two games, while scoring at most 3 goals in each of those defeats. Bet them tonight if they are on the road with a money line that is better than -125 (i.e. 1.80 in decimal).
This strategy, over many seasons, produced a 90.53-unit profit over 1656 bets (a 5.5% ROI).
We lost our last pick with the Stars, but this price is just too good to pass up. We believe that Dallas’ scoring is being undervalued and they definitely have a lot to play for right now!
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Pick of the Day (by Professor MJ)
in MLB & Baseball Predictions
Posted
MLB PICK FOR June 11th
The Mets won easily on the 9th but we didn’t have any games qualify for a play yesterday so we took the day off. Never worth forcing picks unless the systems show that there is value!
RECORD:
Bets won = 5
Bets lost = 9
Profit = -3.57 units (from RISKING 1 unit per play)
Today's pick of the day (odds from Pinnacle at 9:30 Eastern Time):
Rockies vs Reds -1.5 (@-110)
For an in-depth look at my betting systems, feel free to check out my Twitter or YouTube channel.
Good luck!
Professor MJ
Twitter @DavidBeaudoin79