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Matthew

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    What makes a football team good?

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted · Edited by Matthew

    As promised, Information Values for the predictor variables I use are available on this Google sheet:
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1EhkX6zJ8COYfaOR7K2-12Wr1K2fhOsPe0qxiZ_Z4Unk/edit?usp=sharing

    Fair to say none are that spectacular, ideally you'd want an information value > 0.3. Some good evidence that draws are very hard to predict!

    For all three outcomes my own ratings come out best of everything which goes to show that putting in the hard work helps!

    The best is my Season's Plus rating with an information value of 0.21 for HW, 0.01 for DR and 0.23 for AW.

    For anyone who is new to Information Value's and WOE:
    http://ucanalytics.com/blogs/information-value-and-weight-of-evidencebanking-case/

    Export odds to database, looking for a site

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Surely you can script matlab to retrieve the data from the web and import in to your processes - I have done similar things in the past with similar tools (SAS, KXEN, R, SPSS [IBM]).

     

    Alternatively write your model code to a different environment that you are able to do the retrieval in that you're happy with. Excel could do it - bit long-winded mind you.

     

    Care to share some performance metrics for your model, comparing build, test, validate, hold0out, out-of-time samples or perhaps the data used in it that you've found useful and predictive?

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