Chris2b Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Re: Half time/ Full time odds other example : closing odd = 1.36 - 5.12 - 9.94 closing odd no vig = 1.40 - 5.28 - 10.25 (71% - 19% - 10%) edge distribution (closing odd-closing odd no vig) : 11.79% - 3.88% - 3.47% this example show that the edge distribution is not equal. bookmakers adjust for garuanteed attractive odd on draw and team B so, if the edge is not equal, it means that the distribution vig is not equal and the probability %age (no vig) are not true. sorry for my english... Chris Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zbrochu Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Re: Half time/ Full time odds Of course distribution is not even because bookmakers set odds by compiling % predictions using logarithmic distribution. Odds 1.36-5.12-9.94 without any vig are 1.38 5.48 10.93 , not 1.40 and it is shaded 1%/1%/1% in this particular example. And your comment about "bookmakers adjusting in function of weight of money" still does not make much sense for me in this context. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris2b Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Re: Half time/ Full time odds zbrochu, Sorry for my misunderstood...my english is not well. how do you calculate/find 1.38 - 5.48 - 10.93 ? Thank you ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zbrochu Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Re: Half time/ Full time odds Hi Chris, send me your email address by PM and I will give you the sheet I am using. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris2b Posted July 14, 2013 Share Posted July 14, 2013 Re: Half time/ Full time odds zbrochu, i can't send PM. I don't have 50 posts. i'll go on your website 30bets now and i' send you my email. Thank you very mcuh. edit --> It's ok, i send you my email via your website. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hollywood17 Posted July 15, 2013 Share Posted July 15, 2013 Re: Half time/ Full time odds Sorry guys I could also have this sheet? Pretty and for your kind attention. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gereqi Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Re: Half time/ Full time odds Hi guys, I know this is pretty old thread, but may I have also your Excel sheet to understand better the calc? Thanks in advance Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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