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Grex's OVERS; 353 bets; +3.7% yield


Grex

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Despite the stupid title, this is a serious attempt to make some profit out of the O/U 2.5 market. Based on backtesting starting from the 2002/03 season, I have developed an O/U probability "equation" for matches in the English Premier, Championship and League 1. Having predicted the probability, the value of the O/U odds being offered can be calculated. Selections will be based on a range of value percentages (all >100%) that have produced the best performance during backtesting. I don't expect incredible yield, but any profit would be nice. ;) There doesn't seem to be any advantage in waiting until the season has "matured" i.e. after 6 rounds of matches, so I will start posting selections as from this weekend. This is a trial only..... no real money, please :dude

Edited by Grex
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