Irish Grand National

[Starburst]

Some trends which may help. 1. Only 1 horse older than 9 in last 10 runnings. 2. Only 1 of the last 10 winners carried more than 10-12(Commanche Court in 2000 carried 11-04 and was rated 134). 3. 8 0f last 10 winners carried 10-08 or below. 4 All of the last 10 winners had an official rating between 121 and 136. 5. Only 1 of the last 10 winners had not won over three miles 6. Of the last 12 winners none had run more than 8 times in handicap chases prior to this . 7. The last 8 winners had no more than 2 runs since the turn of the year 8. 10 of the last 12 winners had made the frame in at least one of the last two starts 9. 6 of the last 7 Irish winners had previous Fairyhouse form. Some other notes. Leading Irish trainer Wille Mullins has never won the race. Also his last 10 runners since 2001 have ALL been unplaced. Michael Hourigan has had 10 runners whithout winning. Of the 10 5 have placed at odds of 16/1 or bigger. In the last 10 years no winner has returned shorter than 9/1. There has been no winning favourite since 1999 and then it was co-fav of 5. Using these trends and other angles my 2 are: Alpha Ridge & Bluesea Cracker

[Tull]

Re: Irish Grand National Heavy going may make this one difficult, narrowed it down to an intial list of 10 which is now down to the following 4 Alpha Ridge Bluesea Cracker Saddlers Storm Aqus a Vic Plenty of money for Alpha, whilst IMHO Saddlers Storm is a quality horse who could be better than most of these. Might just have a small amount of each of the above