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Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer


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Hi! This thread is all about correct score betting based on statistical data. The tool I use for this is only avaible in german and its quite difficult to understand. Even as a native speaker it took me about 30-40 hours to install, prepare the tool and understand the basics. I am far away from being an expert in the use of it but I am able to work with it and get some very interesting results. The tool can create systems for the following markets: Home, Draw, Away Over 2,5 / Under 2,5 Correct Scores: 0-0, 1-1, 1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 0-1 Its very sad that the software is limited to these markets, but even with only these markets its still great. There are many categories of aspects with several under aspects. F.e.: Aspect categorie: Home Teams last games Under aspects: Last Win, Last 2 Wins, Last 5 Wins, Last 10 Wins ... ... Last 3 Home Draws... Last 5 Away Losses You can choose two numbers for the aspects and a yes or no box. F.e.: Aspect: Home Teams Last Draw: 1 - 5 ; yes This means the Home Team had their last draw in the last 1-5 games If you choose "no", in this case it would mean, the home team has not played draw in their last 5 games. Avaible Leagues in the tool with historical odds at least back to 07/08 England 1 + 2 + 3 + 4, Germany 1 + 2, Spain 1 + 2, Italy 1 + 2, France 1 + 2, Portugal, Turkey, Greece, Russia, Poland, Netherlands, Scotland, Czech Rep., Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, Denmark, Sweden, Norway and Finnland Champions League, Europa Legue, Cup Tournaments, Friendleys and so on can not be analysed with the tool yet. All past statistics are based on the odds with the highest volume for back odds of the big betting exchange. So in the past it was always easy to get the odds as the programm has choosen it or even better ones. Be aware that all listed Yields are before commision! Okay... now I have allready found some systems which made profit in the past years and this season so far. All system have a strategy behind it and are not just randomly choosen aspects combined so long until positive results coming out...Of course this is no guarantee for future profits but I am very optimistical about that :) Im planing to write it down like this: (League(s) --- System ID --- Score(s) to back ) All --- #014 --- 1-1 (Yield in Year ... first of july to first of july) Yield 06-09: 55 % in 832 Games Yield 07-09: 63 % in 545 Games Yield 08-09: 51 % in 289 Games Yield 09-10: 59 % in 134 Games so far Pick(s) this week: Team 1 - Team 2 @ 11.5 to win 99.75 (after commision) Team 3 - Team 4 @ 14.0 to win 123.50 (after commision) ... ( Yield 07-09: Average Yield in seasons 07/08 and 08/09 (1.7.2007 - 1.7.2009) in ... games. Yield 09-10: Average Yield in this season 09/10 (all games since 1.7.2009) in ... games. ) In general the odds will be added on the play day and will not be included in the first post of picks for a week. For the record tracking one unit is 10 € / $ / £. Some system are played with a double unit oder just a half. This will always be mentioned. If more than one system puts out the same pick I will play the pick twice (or even more). If its the same score to back and the same system ID but f.e. #004b then its not a second play. ------- Most of the systems I created so far are still in working progress. Since I surely will try to improve them, so they might be changes in the numbers. Last weekend I had the first picks of some systems. Most of the "this season yield" numbers for 0-0 systems are incorrect because they included BB Ankaraspor which is a suspended team and the programm stated all the plays as 0-0 with the average 0-0 odd. This ist just for example so its not in the form as mentioned above and have no odds. Score to back - Yield 07-09 - Yield this Season Teams - real result 2-0 --- 153 % - 205 % Nürnberg vs Leverkusen 3-2 Kladno vs Sparta Prag 0-1 Falkirk vs Celtic 0-2 2-0 / 0-0 --- 72 / 60 - 64 / 40 % Banik Ostrava - Jablonec 4-1 2-1 --- 33 % / 73 % Nürnberg vs Leverkusen 3-2 Kladno vs Sparta Prag 0-1 2-1 ---- 57 % / 80 % Kaiserslautern vs FSV Frankfurt 1-1 Legia Warschau vs wodzislaw 0-1 benfica lissabon - fc ferreira 3-1 2-1 --- 42 % / 14 % Exeter - Oldham 1-1 2-1 ---- 74 / 50 % Cadiz - Albacette 4-3 0-0 ---- 44 % / 37 % Laval vs Metz 3-3 Lautern vs Frankfurt 1-1 roma vs milan 0-0 benfica - ferreira 3-1 0-0 ---- 101 % / 96 % Werder vs Stuttgart 2-2 0-0 58 % / 24 % Roma Milan 0-0 0-0 --- 84 % - 144 % Guingamp - Nimes 0-0 0-0 --- 64 % --- 176 % Ankaragucu - Gaziantepspor 0-0 0-0 --- 119 - 142 % Wolfsburg - vs Bochum 4-1 0-0 ---- 79 % - 82 % Belenenses - Sporting Lissabon 0-4 So this were 4 correct 0-0 picks in 21 games. Lets give it an average odd of 11 after com and all plays at 10 € this would have been a 100 % a payout around 400 € with a stake 210 €. Lets start with the picks for this week in the next post. If you have any questions please ask here or write me a pm.

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First Picks Europe --- #202a --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 176 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 278 % in 65 games so far Pick(s) this week: Denizlispor - Besiktas Europe --- #202b --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 73 % in 141 games Yield 09-10: 148 % in 70 games so far Pick(s) this week: Denizlispor - Besiktas - not a second play Catania - Inter Livorno - Rom Europe --- #301 --- 2-1 Yield 07-09: 53 % in 79 games Yield 09-10: 86 % in 11 games so far Pick(s) this week: Salzburg - Kapfenberg Galatasaray - Ankaragücü Europe --- #302 --- 2-1 - half unit Yield 07-09: 36 % in 164 games Yield 09-10: 22 % in 68 games so far Pick(s) this week: Bohemians Prague - Slovacko Europe --- #303 --- 2-1 - double unit Yield 07-09: 81 % in 55 games Yield 09-10: 62 % in 25 games so far Pick(s) this week: Galway - Bray Wanderes Europe --- #001a --- 0-0 - half unit Yield 07-09: 40 % in 287 games Yield 09-10: 19 % in 101 games so far Pick(s) this week: Rubin Kazan - Lok. Moscow Europe --- #001b --- 2-1 - half unit Yield 07-09: 16 % in 287 games Yield 09-10: 40 % in 101 games so far Pick(s) this week: Rubin Kazan - Lok. Moscow Europe --- #002 --- 0-0 + 2-0 split unit 5/5 Yield 07-09: 50 % / 22 % in 693 games Yield 09-10: 23 % / 26 % in 230 games so far Pick(s) this week: Dijon - Guingamp Berlin - Nurnberg Brann Bergen - Haugesund Morecambe - Grimsby Town Lille - Grenoble Parma - Atalanta Bergamo Leixoes - Viktoria Setubal Liverpool - Portsmouth Europe --- #004 --- 0-0 + 2-1 split unit 5/5 Yield 07-09: 22 % / 28 % in 106 games Yield 09-10: 46 % / 13 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: Ried - Mattersburg Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 31 % in 290 games Yield 09-10: 43 % in 80 games so far Pick(s) this week: Vicenza - Brescia Swansea - Sheffield SSC Napoli - Fiorentina Frankfurt - Dusseldorf Swansea - West Bromwich Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 62 % in 103 games Yield 09-10: 20 % in 36 games so far Pick(s) this week: Atromitos - Iraklis Saloniki Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 68 % in 160 games Yield 09-10: 121 % in 66 games so far Pick(s) this week: Bellinzona - Neuchatel Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 53 % in 548 games Yield 09-10: 61 % in 252 games so far Pick(s) this week: Nijmengen - Roda Kerkrade Stockport - Gillingham Hamilton Aca. - St. Mirren Falkirk - St. Johnstone Southend United - Exeter City Levadiakos - Xanthi Santander - Saragossa Bohemians Prague - Slovacko Arnheim - Heerenveen Wilhelm - Tilburg Lazio - AS Bari Albacete - Celta de Vigo Europe --- #401 --- 0-1 double unit Yield 07-09: 61 % in 33 games Yield 09-10: 151 % in 26 games so far Pick(s) this week: Valladolid - Real Madrid Europe choice --- #901a --- 2-1 Yield 07-09: 36 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 73 % in 38 games so far Pick(s) this week: Schalke - Stuttgart Montpeiller - Auxerre Birmingham - Everton Odd Grenland - Stabeak IF Sporting Lissabon - Guimareas Europe choice --- #901b --- Over 2,5 - Four units (40) Yield 07-09: 26 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 25 % in 38 games so far Pick(s) this week: Schalke - Stuttgart Montpeiller - Auxerre Birmingham - Everton Odd Grenland - Stabeak IF Sporting Lissabon - Guimareas Europe choice --- #902 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 107 % in 140 games Yield 09-10: 115 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: VV St. Truiden - Germinal Beerschot Antwerpen Europe choice --- #902b --- 2-0 - half unit Yield 07-09: 21 % in 140 games Yield 09-10: 66 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: VV St. Truiden - Germinal Beerschot Antwerpen

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer Schalke Over @ 2.041 with 4 Units: correct (+ 41.64) and also the Schalke - Stuttgart 2-1 @ 9.6 (+ 81.70 after 5 % com) Galway - Bray 2-1 @ 9.8 with double unit ended 2-1 (+ 167.20 € after 5 % com) Dijon - Guingamp @ 8.6 / 13.0 for 0-0 and 2-0 ended 1-0 (- 10) The 0-0 Bet for Vicenza - Brescia @ 8.4 is also 1-0 (- 10) Catania vs Inter which had odds of 30 for the 2-0 is 3-1 at finishing time. (- 10) All lost bets were close, which is a good sign too. So today we close the first day with: Placed Bets for 100 € Payout 350.54 € Yield 250 % Thats a very nice start - this wont be the normal case. I would be very, very happy if there is a yield of 30 % after commision in the end. Every Yield above that would be just marvelous... GL with tommorows bets if you tail -------------- - Added the week day of the game - Corrected some spelling mistakes - Added Odds for coming games I allready placed the bet - Removed game Bohemians Prague - Slovacko because the correct score market for this game is not offered @ bf Europe --- #202a --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 176 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 278 % in 65 games so far Pick(s) this week: Denizlispor - Besiktas mon Europe --- #202b --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 73 % in 141 games Yield 09-10: 148 % in 70 games so far Pick(s) this week: Denizlispor - Besiktas - not a second play Catania - Inter @ 30.0 fri - result 3-1 Livorno - Rom sun Europe --- #301 --- 2-1 Yield 07-09: 53 % in 79 games Yield 09-10: 86 % in 11 games so far Pick(s) this week: Salzburg - Kapfenberg sat Galatasaray - Ankaragucu sun Europe --- #303 --- 2-1 - double unit Yield 07-09: 81 % in 55 games Yield 09-10: 62 % in 25 games so far Pick(s) this week: Galway - Bray Wanderes @ 9.8 fri - result 2-1 Europe --- #001a --- 0-0 - half unit Yield 07-09: 40 % in 287 games Yield 09-10: 19 % in 101 games so far Pick(s) this week: Rubin Kazan - Lok. Moscow sun Europe --- #001b --- 2-1 - half unit Yield 07-09: 16 % in 287 games Yield 09-10: 40 % in 101 games so far Pick(s) this week: Rubin Kazan - Lok. Moscow sun Europe --- #002 --- 0-0 + 2-0 split unit 5/5 Yield 07-09: 50 % / 22 % in 693 games Yield 09-10: 23 % / 26 % in 230 games so far Pick(s) this week: Dijon - Guingamp @ 8.6 / 13.0 fri - result 1-0 Berlin - Nurnberg sat Brann Bergen - Haugesund sat Morecambe - Grimsby Town sat Lille - Grenoble sun Parma - Atalanta Bergamo sun Leixoes - Viktoria Setubal sun Liverpool - Portsmouth mon Europe --- #004 --- 0-0 + 2-1 split unit 5/5 Yield 07-09: 22 % / 28 % in 106 games Yield 09-10: 46 % / 13 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: Ried - Mattersburg sat Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 31 % in 290 games Yield 09-10: 43 % in 80 games so far Pick(s) this week: Vicenza - Brescia @ 8.4 - result: 1-0 Swansea - Sheffield sat @ 11.0 SSC Napoli - Fiorentina sat @ 9.8 Frankfurt - Dusseldorf sat @ 10.5 Swansea - West Bromwich tue Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 62 % in 103 games Yield 09-10: 20 % in 36 games so far Pick(s) this week: Atromitos - Iraklis Saloniki sat Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 68 % in 160 games Yield 09-10: 121 % in 66 games so far Pick(s) this week: Bellinzona - Neuchatel sat Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 53 % in 548 games Yield 09-10: 61 % in 252 games so far Pick(s) this week: Nijmegen - Roda Kerkrade sat Stockport - Gillingham sat Hamilton Aca. - St. Mirren sat @ 9.2 Falkirk - St. Johnstone sat @ 10.5 Southend United - Exeter City sat @ 10.5 Levadiakos - Xanthi sun Santander - Saragossa sun Vitesse Arnheim - Heerenveen sun Wilhelm - Sparta Rotterdam sun Lazio - AS Bari sun Albacete - Celta de Vigo sun Europe --- #401 --- 0-1 double unit Yield 07-09: 61 % in 33 games Yield 09-10: 151 % in 26 games so far Pick(s) this week: Valladolid - Real Madrid sun Europe choice --- #901a --- 2-1 Yield 07-09: 36 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 73 % in 38 games so far Pick(s) this week: Schalke - Stuttgart fri @ 9.6 - result 2-1 Montpellier - Auxerre sat Birmingham - Everton sat Odd Grenland - Stabeak IF sun Sporting Lisbon - Guimaraes sun Europe choice --- #901b --- Over 2,5 - Four units (40) Yield 07-09: 26 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 25 % in 38 games so far Pick(s) this week: Schalke - Stuttgart fri @ 2.041 (188bet) Montpellier - Auxerre sat @ 2.64 (Pinnacle) Birmingham - Everton sat @ 2.37 (Pinnacle) Odd Grenland - Stabaek IF sun @ 1.806 (Pinnacle) Sporting Lisbon - Guimaraes sun Europe choice --- #902 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 107 % in 140 games Yield 09-10: 115 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: VV St. Truiden - Germinal Beerschot Antwerpen (GBA) sun Europe choice --- #902b --- 2-0 - half unit Yield 07-09: 21 % in 140 games Yield 09-10: 66 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: VV St. Truiden - Germinal Beerschot Antwerpen (GBA) sun

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer Europe --- #301 --- 2-1 - 10 Salzburg - Kapfenberg sat @ 11.5 - result 1-0 Europe --- #002 --- 0-0 + 2-0 split unit 5/5 - 5 / - 5 Berlin - Nurnberg sat @ 11.0 / 11.5 - result 1-2 + 85.50 / - 5 Brann Bergen - Haugesund sat 19.0 / 10.0 - result 0-0 - 5 / - 5 Morecambe - Grimsby Town sat 13.0 / 10.0 - result 1-1 Europe --- #004 --- 0-0 + 2-1 split unit 5/5 - 5 / - 5 Ried - Mattersburg sat @ 15.0 - result 3-0 Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 + 95.00 Swansea - Sheffield sat @ 11.0 - result 0-0 - 10 SSC Napoli - Fiorentina sat @ 9.8 - result 1-3 - 10 Frankfurt - Dusseldorf sat @ 10.5 - result 2-0 Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 - 10 Atromitos - Iraklis Saloniki sat @ 9.0 - result 2-1 Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 - double unit - 20 Bellinzona - Neuchatel sat @ 17.0 - result 3-2 Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 - 10 Nijmegen - Roda Kerkrade sat @ 14.0 - result 0-2 + 104.50 Stockport - Gillingham sat @ 12.0 - result 0-0 - 10 Hamilton Aca. - St. Mirren sat @ 9.2 - result 1-0 (goal 90.th min) - 10 Falkirk - St. Johnstone sat @ 10.5 - result 1-2 + 90.25 Southend United - Exeter City sat @ 10.5 - result 0-0 Europe choice --- #901a --- 2-1 - 10 Montpellier - Auxerre sat @ 11.0 - result 1-1 - 10 Birmingham - Everton sat @ 14.0 - result 2-2 Europe choice --- #901b --- Over 2,5 - Four units (40) - 40 Montpellier - Auxerre sat @ 2.64 (Pinnacle) result 1-1 + 54.80 Birmingham - Everton sat @ 2.37 (Pinnacle) result 2-2 Today summary: Risk: 260 Payout: 505.05 (after 5 % commision) Win / Loss: + 245.05 € Total summary: Risk: 360 Payout: 855.59 (after 5 % commision) Win / Loss: + 495.59 €

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer Very intresting system comrade pinkpunter :ok You sad your software can also generate home/draw/away results. Will be intresting to see some possible results on this market for tomorrow games :)

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer haha ;D this is a lot of work, and wont be anything there by tommorow... also the cs markets have much more value, so i will concentrate on that. but there will be surely some systems for those markets too. i think until the next weekend i will have several new systems ready.

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer - Added Odds for all todays games - Added first results for today - Added Picks for sunday (see bottom) Europe --- #202a --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 176 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 278 % in 65 games so far Pick(s) this week: Denizlispor - Besiktas mon Europe --- #202b --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 73 % in 141 games Yield 09-10: 148 % in 70 games so far Pick(s) this week: Denizlispor - Besiktas - not a second play Catania - Inter @ 30.0 fri - result 3-1 Livorno - Rom sun @ 34 Europe --- #301 --- 2-1 Yield 07-09: 53 % in 79 games Yield 09-10: 86 % in 11 games so far Pick(s) this week: Salzburg - Kapfenberg sat @ 11.5 - result 1-0 Galatasaray - Ankaragucu sun @ 9.2 Europe --- #303 --- 2-1 - double unit Yield 07-09: 81 % in 55 games Yield 09-10: 62 % in 25 games so far Pick(s) this week: Galway - Bray Wanderes @ 9.8 fri - result 2-1 Europe --- #001a --- 0-0 - half unit Yield 07-09: 40 % in 287 games Yield 09-10: 19 % in 101 games so far Pick(s) this week: Rubin Kazan - Lok. Moscow sun @ 9.0 - result 2-0 (0-0 until 88.th min) Europe --- #001b --- 2-1 - half unit Yield 07-09: 16 % in 287 games Yield 09-10: 40 % in 101 games so far Pick(s) this week: Rubin Kazan - Lok. Moscow sun @ 11.0 - result 2-0 Europe --- #002 --- 0-0 + 2-0 split unit 5/5 Yield 07-09: 50 % / 22 % in 693 games Yield 09-10: 23 % / 26 % in 230 games so far Pick(s) this week: Dijon - Guingamp @ 8.6 / 13.0 fri - result 1-0 Berlin - Nurnberg sat @ 11.0 / 11.5 - result 1-2 Brann Bergen - Haugesund sat @ 19.0 / 10.0 - result 0-0 Morecambe - Grimsby Town sat @ 13.0 / 10.0 - result 1-1 Lille - Grenoble sun @ 14.5 / 6.8 Parma - Atalanta Bergamo sun @ 9.8 / 11.0 Leixoes - Viktoria Setubal sun @ 8.8 / 12.0 Liverpool - Portsmouth mon @ 20.0 / 6.8 Europe --- #004 --- 0-0 + 2-1 split unit 5/5 Yield 07-09: 22 % / 28 % in 106 games Yield 09-10: 46 % / 13 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: Ried - Mattersburg sat - @ 15.0 / 9.6 result 3-0 Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 31 % in 290 games Yield 09-10: 43 % in 80 games so far Pick(s) this week: Vicenza - Brescia @ 8.4 - result: 1-0 Swansea - Sheffield sat @ 11.0 - result 0-0 SSC Napoli - Fiorentina sat @ 9.8 Frankfurt - Dusseldorf sat @ 10.5 - result 2-0 Swansea - West Bromwich tue Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 62 % in 103 games Yield 09-10: 20 % in 36 games so far Pick(s) this week: Atromitos - Iraklis Saloniki sat @ 9.0 - result 2-1 Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 68 % in 160 games Yield 09-10: 121 % in 66 games so far Pick(s) this week: Bellinzona - Neuchatel sat @ 17.0 - result 3-2 Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 53 % in 548 games Yield 09-10: 61 % in 252 games so far Pick(s) this week: Nijmegen - Roda Kerkrade sat @ 14.0 Stockport - Gillingham sat @ 12.0 - result 0-0 Hamilton Aca. - St. Mirren sat @ 9.2 - result 1-0 (90.th min) Falkirk - St. Johnstone sat @ 10.5 - result 1-2 Southend United - Exeter City sat @ 10.5 - result 0-0 Levadiakos - Xanthi sun @ 8.2 Santander - Saragossa sun @ 12.5 Vitesse Arnheim - Heerenveen sun @ 16.5 Wilhelm - Sparta Rotterdam sun @ 16.0 Lazio - AS Bari sun @ 10.0 Albacete - Celta de Vigo sun @ 9.2 Europe --- #401 --- 0-1 double unit Yield 07-09: 61 % in 33 games Yield 09-10: 151 % in 26 games so far Pick(s) this week: Valladolid - Real Madrid sun @ 9.2 Europe choice --- #901a --- 2-1 Yield 07-09: 36 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 73 % in 38 games so far Pick(s) this week: Schalke - Stuttgart fri @ 9.6 - result 2-1 Montpellier - Auxerre sat @ 11.0 - result 1-1 Birmingham - Everton sat @ 14.0 - result 2-2 Odd Grenland - Stabeak IF sun @ 10.50 Sporting Lisbon - Guimaraes sun @ 9.8 Europe choice --- #901b --- Over 2,5 - Four units (40) Yield 07-09: 26 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 25 % in 38 games so far Pick(s) this week: Schalke - Stuttgart fri @ 2.041 (188bet) result 2-1 Montpellier - Auxerre sat @ 2.64 (Pinnacle) result 1-1 Birmingham - Everton sat @ 2.37 (Pinnacle) result 2-2 Odd Grenland - Stabaek IF sun @ 1.806 (Pinnacle) Sporting Lisbon - Guimaraes sun @ 2.33 (Pinnacle) Europe choice --- #902 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 107 % in 140 games Yield 09-10: 115 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: VV St. Truiden - Germinal Beerschot Antwerpen (GBA) sun @ 11.0 Europe choice --- #902b --- 2-0 - half unit Yield 07-09: 21 % in 140 games Yield 09-10: 66 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: VV St. Truiden - Germinal Beerschot Antwerpen (GBA) sun @ 12.0 Switzerland + Denmark --- #903 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 56 % in 144 games Yield 09-10: 62 % in 41 games so far Pick(s) this week: Grasshoppers - St. Gallen sun @ 15.0 Sweden --- #S001 --- 1-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 86 % in 69 games Yield 09-10: 82 % in 29 games so far Pick(s) this week: Hacken v Djurgardens sun @ 7.6 Austria --- #A001 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 122 % in 69 games Yield 09-10: 162 % in 20 games so far Pick(s) this week: LASK Linz - Kärnten fri - result 0-0 (untracked because not posted before gamestart) Premieur League --- #PL001 --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 130 % in 62 games Yield 09-10: 70 % in 17 games so far Pick(s) this week: Stoke vs Aston Villa - result 0-0 (untracked because not posted before gamestart)

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer Today another winning day. Summary in total: 655 € risked 1208,88 € payout --- + 553.88 after 5.0 % commision 184.56 % Return of Investment Since people complained that the whole thing is too complex and confusing I wont post the past yields and game numbers anymore. Instead it will just be the system number, the score to back (or lay) the how many units to bet and the plays for this week. If you thinks its too many plays, I suggest you leave out the half unit bets or only play the double or more unit plays. By the way: you dont have to bet the minimum bet of 2 € or GBP at Betfair if you dont want to. You can bet 0.01 Cent if you want. Google for it if you are interested. I will post all results for this weekend in a few moments.

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer Thank you! The stakes are just based on the past results and in some cases on the odds. I wont but a double unit on an odd above 30, even it have made profits in the past. Maybe I should but for the start I have not the balls yet ;D My confidence is not important. Only for the stakes I play with real money I rate my own opinion sometimes higher than the pure statistic. F.e. I left out the Berlin 2-0 pick or todays Real Madrid 1-0 away I only played with one unit instead the of two. Also I highly suggest if anyone has a very different opinion on a game that there is no value in it - dont play it.

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer All results for this weekend incl. proft / loss Europe --- #202b --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 73 % in 141 games Yield 09-10: 148 % in 70 games so far Pick(s) this week: Denizlispor - Besiktas - not a second play - 10 Catania - Inter @ 30.0 fri - result 3-1 - 10 Livorno - Rom sun @ 34 - result 3-3 Europe --- #301 --- 2-1 Yield 07-09: 53 % in 79 games Yield 09-10: 86 % in 11 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 10 Salzburg - Kapfenberg sat @ 11.5 - result 1-0 - 10 Galatasaray - Ankaragucu sun @ 9.2 - result 3-3 Europe --- #303 --- 2-1 - double unit Yield 07-09: 81 % in 55 games Yield 09-10: 62 % in 25 games so far Pick(s) this week: + 167.20 Galway - Bray Wanderes @ 9.8 fri - result 2-1 Europe --- #001a --- 0-0 - half unit Yield 07-09: 40 % in 287 games Yield 09-10: 19 % in 101 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 5 Rubin Kazan - Lok. Moscow sun @ 9.0 - result 2-0 (first goal 88th min) Europe --- #001b --- 2-1 - half unit Yield 07-09: 16 % in 287 games Yield 09-10: 40 % in 101 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 5 Rubin Kazan - Lok. Moscow sun @ 11.0 - result 2-0 Europe --- #002 --- 0-0 + 2-0 split unit 5/5 Yield 07-09: 50 % / 22 % in 693 games Yield 09-10: 23 % / 26 % in 230 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 10 Dijon - Guingamp @ 8.6 / 13.0 fri - result 1-0 - 10 Berlin - Nurnberg sat @ 11.0 / 11.5 - result 1-2 + 80.75 Brann Bergen - Haugesund sat @ 19.0 / 10.0 - result 0-0 - 10 Morecambe - Grimsby Town sat @ 13.0 / 10.0 - result 1-1 - 10 Lille - Grenoble sun @ 14.5 / 6.8 - result 1-0 - 10 Parma - Atalanta Bergamo sun @ 9.8 / 11.0 - result 1-0 - 10 Leixoes - Viktoria Setubal sun @ 8.8 / 12.0 - result 1-2 Europe --- #004 --- 0-0 + 2-1 split unit 5/5 Yield 07-09: 22 % / 28 % in 106 games Yield 09-10: 46 % / 13 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 10 Ried - Mattersburg sat - @ 15.0 / 9.6 result 3-0 Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 31 % in 290 games Yield 09-10: 43 % in 80 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 10 Vicenza - Brescia @ 8.4 - result: 1-0 + 95.0 Swansea - Sheffield sat @ 11.0 - result 0-0 - 10 SSC Napoli - Fiorentina sat @ 9.8 - result 1-3 - 10 Frankfurt - Dusseldorf sat @ 10.5 - result 2-0 Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 62 % in 103 games Yield 09-10: 20 % in 36 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 10 Atromitos - Iraklis Saloniki sat @ 9.0 - result 2-1 Europe --- #007 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 68 % in 160 games Yield 09-10: 121 % in 66 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 20 Bellinzona - Neuchatel sat @ 17.0 - result 3-2 Europe --- #008 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 53 % in 548 games Yield 09-10: 61 % in 252 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 10 Nijmegen - Roda Kerkrade sat @ 14.0- result 0-2 + 104.50 Stockport - Gillingham sat @ 12.0 - result 0-0 - 10 Hamilton Aca. - St. Mirren sat @ 9.2 - result 1-0 (goal 90. min) - 10 Falkirk - St. Johnstone sat @ 10.5 - result 1-2 + 90.25 Southend United - Exeter City sat @ 10.5 - result 0-0 - 10 Levadiakos - Xanthi sun @ 8.2 - result 2-1 + 109.25 Santander - Saragossa sun @ 12.5 - result 0-0 - 10 Vitesse Arnheim - Heerenveen sun @ 16.5 - result 0-1 (goal 83. min) - 10 Wilhelm - Sparta Rotterdam sun @ 16.0 - result 3-1 - 10 Lazio - AS Bari sun @ 10.0 - result 0-2 - 10 Albacete - Celta de Vigo sun @ 9.2 - result 0-2 Europe --- #401 --- 0-1 double unit Yield 07-09: 61 % in 33 games Yield 09-10: 151 % in 26 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 20 Valladolid - Real Madrid sun @ 9.2 - result 1-4 Europe choice --- #901a --- 2-1 Yield 07-09: 36 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 73 % in 38 games so far Pick(s) this week: + 81.70 Schalke - Stuttgart fri @ 9.6 - result 2-1 - 10 Montpellier - Auxerre sat @ 11.0 - result 1-1 - 10 Birmingham - Everton sat @ 14.0 - result 2-2 - 10 Odd Grenland - Stabeak IF sun @ 10.50 - result 2-3 - 10 Sporting Lisbon - Guimaraes sun @ 9.8 - result 3-1 Europe choice --- #901b --- Over 2,5 - Four units (40) Yield 07-09: 26 % in 147 games Yield 09-10: 25 % in 38 games so far Pick(s) this week: + 41.64 Schalke - Stuttgart fri @ 2.041 (188bet) - result 2-1 - 40.00 Montpellier - Auxerre sat @ 2.64 (Pinnacle) - result 1-1 + 54.80 Birmingham - Everton sat @ 2.37 (Pinnacle) - result 2-2 + 32.34 Odd Grenland - Stabaek IF sun @ 1.806 (Pinnacle) - result 2-3 + 53.20 Sporting Lisbon - Guimaraes sun @ 2.33 (Pinnacle) - result 3-1 Europe choice --- #902 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 107 % in 140 games Yield 09-10: 115 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 20 VV St. Truiden - Germinal Beerschot Antwerpen (GBA) sun @ 11.0 - result 2-0 Europe choice --- #902b --- 2-0 - half unit Yield 07-09: 21 % in 140 games Yield 09-10: 66 % in 39 games so far Pick(s) this week: + 53.25 VV St. Truiden - Germinal Beerschot Antwerpen (GBA) sun @ 12.0 - result 2-0 Switzerland + Denmark --- #903 --- 0-0 Yield 07-09: 56 % in 144 games Yield 09-10: 62 % in 41 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 10 Grasshoppers - St. Gallen sun @ 15.0 - result 2-1 Sweden --- #S001 --- 1-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 86 % in 69 games Yield 09-10: 82 % in 29 games so far Pick(s) this week: - 20 Hacken v Djurgardens sun @ 7.6 - result - 2-1 Austria --- #A001 --- 0-0 - double unit Yield 07-09: 122 % in 69 games Yield 09-10: 162 % in 20 games so far Pick(s) this week: LASK Linz - Kärnten fri - result 0-0 (untracked because not posted before gamestart) Premieur League --- #PL001 --- 2-0 Yield 07-09: 130 % in 62 games Yield 09-10: 70 % in 17 games so far Pick(s) this week: Stoke vs Aston Villa - result 0-0 (untracked because not posted before gamestart) ---------------- Coming plays tommorow and tuesday 2-0 - one unit Denizlispor - Besiktas mon @ 36.0 0-0 + 2-0 split unit 5/5 Liverpool - Portsmouth mon @ 20.0 / 6.8 0-0 - one unit Swansea - West Bromwich tue I hope thats better now ;)

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer Amazing start, ThePinkPunter.... and thanks for simplifying the data.... suits my simple mind ;) You have obviously put a lot of hard work into this, so thanks for sharing it with us. By the way, I only came across this thread by chance.... I think most people interested in statistical systems normally look at the "Systems & Strategy Forum". It might be a good idea to move it there (I don't know how you do that - perhaps it has to be done by the moderators) :ok

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Re: Statistical Correct Score Betting for Football Soccer I just created a new thread with a simplified, well arranged starting post and also simplified future posts. Please visit now: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f21/statistical-correct-score-betting-football-soccer-simplified-now-99091/#post1632344 If a moderator reads this I would be thankful if you close this thread.

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