vodka Posted February 26, 2010 Share Posted February 26, 2010 I've borroved idea from atoo's thred here:http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f21/home-team-just-has-score-method-97940/ Rules: 1. I pick games frome leagues than have better home win ratio (have to score to win I guess) 2. Teams I pick must be in 3/4 of teams (1-15 team if there is 20 teams in league) in home games table, so i get rid of must possible losses. 3. I will set my stakes with D'almber system. My starting bank will be 1000 unit, and on each bet I'll try to win 1 unit. 4. I will bet on each team individualy. I will give you example: I bet on team to score gool @1.25 Stake will be 4 units. This team doesn't score so i wait till this team play another home game and then i bet on this team to score again @1.20 with stake 25 units if I win then I've earned one unit on this team. 5. You can see that stakes are going up fast so I set limit. If team doesn't score 4 times in row @1.3 I stop betting beacuse the stake is the half of my bank. Or I stop betting when the SUM of all bets is around 200. @1.2 this is 3 bets. 6. Odds will be from gamebookers and williamhill, if you know where to get beter odds, let me know. I'm sure that I forgot something, will explane it later. Hope we don't get broke in long run. And sorry for my english.:\:\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted February 26, 2010 Author Share Posted February 26, 2010 Re: Home scorers Bets for tonigth: AUS 1 Mattersburg v Austria Vienna 1.29@WH Stake:3.5 FRA 2 Angers v Clermont 1.27@GB Stake:3.7 FRA 2 Tours FC v Ajaccio 1.22@GB Stake:4.6 FRA 2 Brestois v Sedan 1.2@GB Stake:5 FRA 2 Caen v Strasbourg 1.18@GB Stake:5.6 FRA 2 Istres v Chateauroux 1.33@GB Stake:3 FRA 2 Nimes v Nantes 1.23@GB Stake:4.4 ITA 2 Vicenza v Cittadella 1.22@WH Stake:4.6 BEL 1 Germinal Beerschot v KAA Gent 1.25@WH Stake:4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted February 27, 2010 Author Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Home scorers Bets for tonigth: AUS 1 Mattersburg v Austria Vienna 1.29@WH Stake:3.5 :nana FRA 2 Angers v Clermont 1.27@GB Stake:3.7 :nana FRA 2 Tours FC v Ajaccio 1.22@GB Stake:4.6 :nana FRA 2 Brestois v Sedan 1.2@GB Stake:5 :nana FRA 2 Caen v Strasbourg 1.18@GB Stake:5.6 :wall FRA 2 Istres v Chateauroux 1.33@GB Stake:3 :nana FRA 2 Nimes v Nantes 1.23@GB Stake:4.4 :nana ITA 2 Vicenza v Cittadella 1.22@WH Stake:4.6 :wall BEL 1 Germinal Beerschot v KAA Gent 1.25@WH Stake:4 :nana Bets: 9 Bets win: 7 Strike rate:78% Avr. win odd: 1.25 ROI: -8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted February 27, 2010 Author Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Home scorers I've made some league selection from now on we will bet on 5 leagues and I will update them every month. Leagues are: Austrian Bud. Swiss Super English Premier Dutch Eredivision Dutch Gouden Gids Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted February 27, 2010 Author Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Home scorers Five bets for 27.2: Austrian Bud. LASK Linz v Sturm Graz 1.27@WH Stake: 3.7 Austrian Bud. Ried v Wiener Neustad 1.1@WH Stake: 10 English Premier Birmingham v Wigan 1.24@WH Stake: 4.2 English Premier Burnly v Portsmund 1.2@WH Stake: 5 English Premier Stoke v Arsenal 1.49@WH Stake: 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
relf Posted February 27, 2010 Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Home scorers Bets: 9 Bets win: 7 Strike rate:78% Avr. win odd: 1.25 ROI: 18% I think your ROI should be -8%. You staked a total of 38.4 units, and returns are 35.22 units. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted February 27, 2010 Author Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Home scorers I think your ROI should be -8%. You staked a total of 38.4 units' date=' and returns are 35.22 units.[/quote'] True, I 'll have to edit my excel:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted February 27, 2010 Author Share Posted February 27, 2010 Re: Home scorers Five bets for 27.2: Austrian Bud. LASK Linz v Sturm Graz 1.27@WH Stake: 3.7:nana Austrian Bud. Ried v Wiener Neustad 1.1@WH Stake: 10:wall English Premier Birmingham v Wigan 1.24@WH Stake: 4.2:nana English Premier Burnly v Portsmund 1.2@WH Stake: 5:nana English Premier Stoke v Arsenal 1.49@WH Stake: 2:nana Bets: 14 Bets win: 11 Strike rate:79% Avr. win odd: 1.27 ROI: -14% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted February 28, 2010 Author Share Posted February 28, 2010 Re: Home scorers Austrian Bud. Rapid Vienna v Salzburg 1.13@WH Stake:7.7 Swiss Super Xamax v St Gallen 1.17@WH Stake:5.9 English Premier Tottenham v Everton 1.17@WH Stake:5.9 English Premier Sunderland v Fulham 1.21@WH Stake:4.8 Dutch Eredivision Groningen v Feyenoord 1.24@WH Stake:4.2 Dutch Eredivision Sparta v NAC 1.24@WH Stake:4.2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted February 28, 2010 Author Share Posted February 28, 2010 Re: Home scorers Austrian Bud. Rapid Vienna v Salzburg 1.13@WH Stake:7.7:wall Swiss Super Xamax v St Gallen 1.17@WH Stake:5.9:wall English Premier Tottenham v Everton 1.17@WH Stake:5.9:nana English Premier Sunderland v Fulham 1.21@WH Stake:4.8:wall Dutch Eredivision Groningen v Feyenoord 1.24@WH Stake:4.2:nana Dutch Eredivision Sparta v NAC 1.24@WH Stake:4.2:nana Bets: 20 Bets win: 14 Strike rate:70% Avr. odd: 1.24 ROI: -16% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted March 1, 2010 Author Share Posted March 1, 2010 Re: Home scorers Dutch Gouden Gids: Dordrecht to score 1.18@GB Veendam to score 1.27@GB Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted March 7, 2010 Author Share Posted March 7, 2010 Re: Home scorers Dutch Gouden Gids: Dordrecht to score 1.18@GB :nana Veendam to score 1.27@GB:wall Bets: 22 Bets win: 15 Strike rate:68% Avr. odd: 1.24 ROI: -17% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted March 8, 2010 Author Share Posted March 8, 2010 Re: Home scorers 8.mar Dutch Gouden Gids Omniworld v Go Ahead @1,35 Stake: 2.9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vodka Posted March 8, 2010 Author Share Posted March 8, 2010 Re: Home scorers 8.mar Dutch Gouden Gids Omniworld v Go Ahead @1,35 :nana Stake: 2.9 Fast win for tonigth Bets: 23 Bets win: 16 Strike rate:69% Avr. odd: 1.25 ROI: -14% I'm thinking that I should change staking plan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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