JaneFromSpain Posted February 2, 2010 Share Posted February 2, 2010 I was just wondering how many succesfull betters are here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 2, 2010 Share Posted February 2, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor yep on around 3 football systems Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaneFromSpain Posted February 2, 2010 Author Share Posted February 2, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor yep on around 3 football systems Care to share them? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted February 2, 2010 Share Posted February 2, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor yup, i do. 238 matches, 1 year, 20.3% yield http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f21/total-corner-spreads-holy-grail-238-bets-20-yield-80745/ :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 2, 2010 Share Posted February 2, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor sorry i dont post my established systems, i use this forum to trial them only Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted February 3, 2010 Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor Maybe the question should be if anyone has 20%+ yield after more than 500 bets. Someone takes 1000 bets in 6 months period, and someone 100. And answer should most likely be-NO. I have never seen 20% with more than 500 bets. If you see someone with such record please let me know. :) Muppet77's record with 20% with 238 bets is huge, can't remember of better. I'm running my own personal statistics (on paper :$) since 15th July 2009, so almost 7 months now. Untill New Year i had 822 bets, with 7,4% yield in that period. I would be delighted with the same record in 2010., but of course, it's very unlikely. Yield higher than 5% after 1000 bets is masterpiece IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1907zico Posted February 3, 2010 Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor I know a few guys with Yield over 5% after 1000+ bets actually. 8% yield is very solid - I am trying hold the magic yield of 10%+ at the moment which is quite tough. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JaneFromSpain Posted February 3, 2010 Author Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor yup, i do. 238 matches, 1 year, 20.3% yield http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f21/total-corner-spreads-holy-grail-238-bets-20-yield-80745/ :cheers Maybe the question should be if anyone has 20%+ yield after more than 500 bets. Someone takes 1000 bets in 6 months period, and someone 100. And answer should most likely be-NO. I have never seen 20% with more than 500 bets. If you see someone with such record please let me know. :) Muppet77's record with 20% with 238 bets is huge, can't remember of better. I'm running my own personal statistics (on paper :$) since 15th July 2009, so almost 7 months now. Untill New Year i had 822 bets, with 7,4% yield in that period. I would be delighted with the same record in 2010., but of course, it's very unlikely. Yield higher than 5% after 1000 bets is masterpiece IMO. Congrats both of you and good point uptheirons. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted February 3, 2010 Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor ive got one in the horses system section which is at 350 selections at 18.85%, but i really want that to go thru the flat season aswell before id be happy to throw my staking plan in like my other systems i run outside this forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KThom Posted February 3, 2010 Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor I am currently backtesting a system I've developed. It's fairly time consuming process but for the EPL since the 2000/01 season it produced a 6.09% yield for 835 selections. The problem is that there was high fluctuation season on season. I'm not sure how much I should look into the individual season results in context with the overall picture. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted February 3, 2010 Share Posted February 3, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor I am currently backtesting a system I've developed. It's fairly time consuming process but for the EPL since the 2000/01 season it produced a 6.09% yield for 835 selections. The problem is that there was high fluctuation season on season. I'm not sure how much I should look into the individual season results in context with the overall picture. I have the same situation. I am using a Java program which i've developed that allows me to input different testing criterias, and then it performs backtesting over the last 5 seasons for all major leagues in Europe. I though i found a gem, but as you experienced there were extreme fluctuations from season to season. I finally decided that not only must my system show profit, it must also be consistent in doing so. I can't rely on a system which gives me 30% ROI for one season and -50% for another. Sometimes the problem can be that the system generates too few selections, resulting in a small sample. This wasn't the case here though, a typical season with the mentioned system would generate about 50 bets per month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lardonio Posted February 5, 2010 Share Posted February 5, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor I'd be more than happy with a consistent yield of 1% as long as it was stable, generated 1000 bets a year and I could place the bets on Betfair in markets with a lot of liquidity. That would make me a millionaire in a very short time. I'm just adding this to show that yield is not the only factor - number of bets, the quality of the betting market etc. are just as important, if not even more important. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nkdz Posted February 5, 2010 Share Posted February 5, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor I'd be more than happy with a consistent yield of 1% as long as it was stable, generated 1000 bets a year and I could place the bets on Betfair in markets with a lot of liquidity. That would make me a millionaire in a very short time. I'm just adding this to show that yield is not the only factor - number of bets, the quality of the betting market etc. are just as important, if not even more important. Of course, if you place 20 bets a day, i would take even 0.5% a year any time. I agree, yield is important indicator of someone's success, but not the only one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ Posted February 5, 2010 Share Posted February 5, 2010 Re: Does anyone here have a yield of over 20 percent over a period of 6 months or mor Whilist the number of bets is important, you'd still want to run some liner regression and chi square testing on your results to get a feel for the " safety" of them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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