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Non 3PM Kick off's


Jase82

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Hopefully the title is descriptive enough, as it's the first time I've ventured here to commit any betting strategies to paper, and offer it up for scrutiny. I'm sure any who follow the Football betting forums may have heard me voice my opinion on games that kick off outside of the normal 3PM kick off times. For clarification, the games I am including in this thread are Friday night kick offs, Saturday lunch time kick offs, and evening Saturday kick offs. I am NOT including Sunday kick offs, or Monday kick off because I have never seen them go too much off the form book. I will only be selecting fixtures from the English Premier League, all the way down the English Pyramid system to the Blue Square Premier. I will continue to include the FA Cup, but now we are into round four, there are going to be fewer selections. Where the Blue Square Premier is concerned, I MAY also include certain midweek fixtures where there is a favourite that has odds of 1.40 or below. This will be done at my discretion because, obviously, I don't want this strategy to involve too much manual intervention. I mention the BSP here because I am aware that midweek games in that league often throw up a few wild cards too. For any that haven't read my thoughts previously, I've had a theory that these fixtures often go against the form book, and can throw up random results. For extra clarification, I will be selecting the underdog not to lose, and I will classify the team as an underdog if they are +0.25 or higher, on the Asian line. This will just be a paper trail until the end of the season. :hope my theory works out. Over the last month, I've taken note of a number of fixtures that fit into my categorisation, and all of them have favoured the underdog. In recent memory, there are only two non 3pm kick offs that spring to mind, that have gone exactly according to predictions. Those were Huddersfields' demolition of Wycombe Wanderers, and Leeds' comeback against Stockport County. Both occasions, I think it was clear that Wycombe and Stockport were both going through tumultuous times. In those circumstances, where there are very clear contributing factors, I MAY change the selection to OVER / UNDER 2.5 goals. I still want to keep every non 3pm kick off included in this thread, and I hope to never have to change the selection. Again, I don't wan this strategy to involve too much manual intervention, so any changes will be made at my further discretion. I will write my selection as such: e.g. Team A V Team B + 0.25, Team A + 0.5 V Team B. Highlighting the selection taken. Hopefully I have covered everything, and that this is as self explanatory as can possibly be. If anyone has any comments, please feel free to do so.

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