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Southwell 7th January


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1.10 Southwell Hard to look past the top few in the market in this tight handicap with a few of these in cracking form. Autumn blades has solely been campaigned over 7f recently but has previously had a few tries over 6f and run extremely well so cant see that inconviencing him biggest concern is this career high mark but he continues to improve and may take a market check in the morning little short at mo! Harlech castle beat the consistent onceuponatime last time out and onceuponatime gets a small pull in the weights and may have a chance to reverse those placings but harlech castle remains well handicapped on old form. Xpressmaite has been running over trips that stretch his stamina but is now 6lb below last winning mark over CD but concerns that his running style may not be suited with how southwell is running at the moment with horses coming off the pace not really running a race. Green park won well at wolverhampton but never convinced on 2 starts on the fibresand. Resplendent alpha has shown signs of a return to form with a 2nd and 4th at kempton and is attractively handicapped 1lb lower than last win and has run some solid races into 2nd over cd off marks 7lb higher marks but again track not running to his style but a considerable price would see me involved in him! No bets yet dont think bet365.com's book is quite right!

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Re: Southwell 6th January I had a wee look, I've been backing Alan Bailey runners lately so quite fancy Autumn Blades again after backing him last week, down in trip but on a more sapping surface running under a penalty. I backed Onceuponatime last week in a race won by Harlech Castle and I'd take him to reverse placing on basis of the 6lbs penalty, but I'll still go for Autumn Blades to trump them both. 9/2 available at b365, I'll have a small nibble at those odds.

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