Lingfield 19th Dec (AW)

[chris34]

1.25 Lingfield Decider has proved himself consistent in what ever grade he goes into having run well in seller recently on unfavourable terms and also running well in handicaps. Will need a strong pace and should certainly get that in this race with several front runners in the field. Form is working out well in last race in handicap with several going on to run solid races in to places and then over CD in seller last time out on unfavourable terms yet still managed a good second up a further pound in handicap but in such fine fettle at the moment 7/1 looks a tad to big. 0.5pt e/w decider 7/1 bet365 2.00 Lingfield Heck of a lot of front runners in the field could cause an upset here and certainly plenty of potential for something coming off the strong pace if they all burn themselves out. Littlemisssunshine will come from a useful stall tomorrow in stall 4 and is likely to be happy to sit behind the pace and presented late by his extremely useful jockey L Keniry (confidence is on a high and getting plenty of rides at the moment). She won 3 starts ago at chepstow off a mark of 65 and then contested a hotter race at Beverley off new mark of 68 and could only manage 5th but ran a good race after 90 days off a couple weeks ago and is sure to strip fitter from that run and clearly surface isn’t gonna be a problem on that evidence (only raced twice on aw now) 0.5pt e/w littlemisssunshine 6/1 bet365 2.30 Lingfield Tranquil tiger is the obvious winner in the race on the form he showed round here back in November but at 5/4 (best price) he is far too short for me in a listed event on the sand. Im willing to give the Newmarket specialist Plum pudding one more chance in this event, he was clearly ridden to get the trip last time and wasn’t really a threat if he was to ride more with the pace he would perhaps stand more chance and clearly has to put last effort behind him ran a stonker given an awful ride by Hughes, but his Bunbury cup run and 3rd in a group2 would put him well in here if turning up the same horse. 0.5pt e/w plum pudding 11/1 pp 3.35 Lingfield Brett vale proved useful at this trip for Prescott but since left him and joined Hannon and won easy over 2m but taking the step back in trip may not be what he needs now and a further 5lb wont help neither. Mister new york ran a blinder round here 3 starts ago and then put a disappointing effort in next time out before contesting a very hot handicap last time out at wolverhampton, running 1lb out of handicap and a 28/1 shot and was a superb 2nd and no fluke any effort like that here today would see him go very well from a good draw in stall 2. 0.5pt e/w mister new york

[StuSimmy]

Re: Lingfield 19th Dec (AW) Quite looking forward to the Lingfield card tomorrow and I plan to look at most the races in detail. 12:20 Lingfield Quite a competitive claimer here to start us off and usually I won't play in these sort of races but had a look into it and feel there could be a bit of value to be found, here is my intake on the field: Clear Ice - Only 12 runs to date, showed nothing on turf but since the switch to the All Weather something seems to have clicked with 2 wins and 3 places from just the 6 runs. All of the horses runs on the AW have been at Southwell. Form reads 221 over 6 furlongs. Is raised 5lbs for the win but should run a good race if he takes well to the polytrack. Miss Lesley - Has the one win to her name which came over the distance in a Class 4 maiden on turf. Did show some promise in her 2 runs before that win when she was 2nd to Singeur and Sand Vixen who have both went on to better things. Singeur has won 3 races since with her best win coming off a mark of 86. Was also beaten a head in a listed race at Doncaster off a mark of 93. Sand Vixen is from the Godolphin stable and has won a listed race off a mark of 96 and a Group 2 race off a mark of 100 since. Considering Miss Lesley was only beaten 1/4 a length by Singeur and 2 and a 1/4 lengths by Sand Vixen then a win off a mark of 70 in a Class 6 race should be achievable. Ran over course and distance LTO off a mark of 73 when she was beaten 1 and a 1/2 lengths, did run on well near the end so she could improve on that today. Yeadon - This horse has yet to win in 9 races so far but at the same time has yet to finish worse than 4th. Has been well beaten in most efforts but was only 2 lengths off the winner LTO over the distance at Southwell. Definately others with stronger claims in the race. Ramamara - Should be up at the head of the market as this horse has a course and distance win and has placed here off a mark of 73 in a handicap, did have a 5lb claimer on board though. Was 2nd LTO over the distance at Wolverhampton when beaten by Bubbly Bellini by a neck. Loses the claimer on board today but will have more experience on board. The horse has won off a mark of 78 on turf over the distance so she should definately run a good race again with some good form of late. Tamarind Hill - Only 7 runs to date. Did finish ahead of Miss Lesley over course and distance but only by 1/4 a length and I expect that form to be reversed today. Like Miss Lesley he could improve from that run but has had the 1 run since, finished 3rd at Wolverhampton in a similar contest off a mark 1lb higher. Those 2 efforts have been the horses best yet so maybe there is more to come from the horse on the AW and can by no means be discounted too easily. Anjomarba - Has 15 runs to date in which on 3 occasions she has got her head in front. These wins have all been over the distance in sellers but they were all on turf. Was 3rd LTO off a mark of 75, this was her first try at the distance on the AW and was her best effort on the surface yet. Did have a 7lb claimer on board and was behind Ramamara that day. Has also finished behind Zubova in another race and I would fancy both of those over her so that rules her out for me but at the same time I wouldn't be surprised if she won. Zubova - Has been beaten just a head in her last two races and has yet to be unplaced in all 6 races so far. This can be good and bad, good because it proves she is a consistent sort but bad because she has yet to get her head in front, this could be because of attitude. Seems to be well weighted here and is probably the perfect chance for her to prove she can win. Drops down 1lb from her last run. Mind The Monarch - Was well beaten by Ramamara in a similar race back in August. Was only beaten a neck LTO over the minimum trip at Kempton but that form doesnt look to be up to standard and shouldn't really be involved in matters here. From this I expect Ramamara and Zubova to head the market but got a feeling both will be a bit short for me. That leaves me with Miss Lesley who I am willing to give another chance to get her head in front. Should be a nice price as well and might get on each way, depends on the price. I would probably make her a 5/1-6/1 shot for this, currently trading at around 9/1 on betfair just now. Will wait for the markets to form before placing a bet.