Lingfield 16th Dec (AW)

[chris34]

12.00 Lingfield Thoughtsofstardom had been threatening a win before winning well at southwell over 5f, but has never won over 6f and with a pentalty is gonna be tougher. Only a game appears to be coming into form nicely with the fitting of cheek pieces, which are fitted again today and gets to run off a 1lb lower mark than last weeks 2nd at southwell but does have form on polytrack aswell and appears on a good mark having won handicap off a mark of 57 rated just 54 today. 0.5pt e/w only a game 1.35 Lingfield Greystoke Prince has been upped in trip recently and that appears to be working as far as bringing him back into form with a spark, has only one win to his name which is over 7f and is lightly raced over this trip with only 3 runs and only 1 of them in handicap (other 2 maidens) and in his current mood cannot be ignored off a career low mark. 0.25pt e/w greystoke prince 3.20 Lingfield Completely impossible to look past Sircozy he won a tad cosily over taste the wine last time out, under same jockey today and although a 6lb penalty may make this a little harder but he carries an extremely progressive profile and remains completely unexposed at the moment. 2pt win sircozy

[georgeCOSTANZA]

Re: Lingfield 16th Dec (AW)

Tip Detail

Sport	Horse Racing
Event	LINGFIELD - 12:30
Selection	ELATION (Lay)
Strength	10/10
Date	16/12/2009
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 2.20 (Lay)
Reasoning	LINGFIELD 12:30 E.b.f. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (2yo, Class 5, 7f, 10 runners) LAY: ELATION Trainer M Johnston's form is well below his par at 14% the last 14 days, 2/14. 2yo's the last 5 seasons here is 10/82 (12%) and is his worse AW strike rate. T G Mills is 8/30 (27%) with 2yo's here the last 5 seasons, SINGINGINTHERAIN. L M Cumani is 5/24 (21%) with 2yo's here the last 5 seasons, MNASIKIA. R Hannon holds the biggest danger with LEAVING ALONE who drops back in trip. Her efforts at 1m were good and only beaten by W J Knight's, FAIRY FLIGHT lto. That was here where Knight entered at 9/28 with 2yo's the last 5 seasons. Favorites have failed to win this race the last two seasons, 4TH and 5TH. The last two fillies' maiden here was also won by outsiders of 14-1 SP each. One won by Knight and the other by E A Dunlop, both 2yo SR were highs that day.
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