Come from Behind....Draw....Win

[MrMal]

Okay, I want to try out a strategy, not really a system as such, more a mish mash of previous stats and an interpretation of what the bookies favour with certain matches.

For instance if a team is on form then I would not be inclined to go near the underdog bet.

See Chelsea and Man Utd below, the away team are available at 18/1 which gives a good indication of a one sided match.

The following teams have been involved in at least 5 matches where they have come from behind to either draw or win.

Chelsea, Everton, Fulham, ManCity, Man Utd

Arsenal just recently came from behind to beat Liverpool but have only been involved in 3 matches that they have come from behind.

And of course you have the high scoring draw matches where both teams come from behind – as shown in the recent match at Anfield:

Liverpool 2 Man City 2

Skrtel 50 Adebayor 69

Benayoun 77 Ireland 76

This week's matches have a few matches that could go either way.

Tuesday, 15th December 2009, 19:45

Sunderland (19/10) v Aston Villa (7/5)

Sunderland to Come From Behind and Win 12/1 (20%) 2pts

Aston Villa to Come From Behind and Win 10/1 (20%) 2pts

Sunderland to Come From Behind and Draw 11/2 (30%) 3pts

Aston Villa to Come From Behind and Draw 11/2 (30%) 3pts

Birmingham (6/5) v Blackburn (23/10) Not 100% sure

Birmingham to Come From Behind and Win 10/1 (25%) 2.5pts

Blackburn to Come From Behind and Win 14/1

Birmingham to Come From Behind and Draw 6/1 (35%) 3.5pts

Blackburn to Come From Behind and Draw 6/1 (25%) 2.5pts

Bolton (13/10) v West Ham (21/10)

Bolton to Come From Behind and Win 9/1 (65%) 6.5pts

West Ham to Come From Behind and Win 12/1

Bolton to Come From Behind and Draw 11/2

West Ham to Come From Behind and Draw 11/2 (35%) 3.5pts

Man Utd (1/6) v Wolves (18/1)

Man Utd to Come From Behind and Win 10/1

Wolves to Come From Behind and Win 90/1

Man Utd to Come From Behind and Draw 14/1

Wolves to Come From Behind and Draw 14/1

Burnley (6/1) v Arsenal (1/2)

Burnley to Come From Behind and Win 25/1

Arsenal to Come From Behind and Win 15/2 (45%) 4.5pts

Burnley to Come From Behind and Draw 7/1 (20%) 2pts

Arsenal to Come From Behind and Draw 15/2 (35%) 3.5pts

Wednesday, 16th December 2009, 19:45 Chelsea (1/6) v Portsmouth (18/1)

Chelsea to Come From Behind and Win 9/1

Portsmouth to Come From Behind and Win 90/1

Chelsea to Come From Behind and Draw 14/1

Portsmouth to Come From Behind and Draw 14/1

Liverpool (1/3) v Wigan Athletic (10/1)

Liverpool to Come From Behind and Win 9/1 (35%) 3.5pts

Wigan Athletic to Come From Behind and Win 40/1

Liverpool to Come From Behind and Draw 9/1 (35%) 3.5pts

Wigan Athletic to Come From Behind and Draw 9/1 (30%) 3pts

Tottenham (6/5) v ManCity (11/5)

Tottenham to Come From Behind and Win 17/2 (20%) 2pts

ManCity to Come From Behind and Win 11/1 (20%) 2pts

Tottenham to Come From Behind and Draw 11/2 (30%) 3pts

ManCity to Come From Behind and Draw 5/1 (30%) 3pts

19 bets

% Bets on each individual matches

Starting Bank of 100pts

58.5pts bet over Tues / Weds I wanted to get this paper trial down before tonight, so a bit rushed.

[MrMal]

Re: Come from Behind....Draw....Win Glad this is only paper. Wed selections have been reduced to the Spurs v Man City game. No point in over complicating things with so many selections. Tottenham (6/5) v ManCity (11/5)

Tottenham to Come From Behind and Win 17/2 (15%) 1.5pts

ManCity to Come From Behind and Win 11/1 (15%) 1.5pts

Tottenham to Come From Behind and Draw 11/2 (35%) 3.5pts

ManCity to Come From Behind and Draw 5/1 (35%) 3.5pts

Tues selections = 9 Amended Wed selections = 4 Original Bank = 100pts Amended Bank = 61.5pts