jimbeamdp Posted December 7, 2009 Share Posted December 7, 2009 Hi all!!!First post here.I will just paper test my betting on games with "delayed" odds from my countrys bookmaker.For example...on todays game of Watford - QPR the odds are 2.20-3.25-2.55.The last 9 games on these odds ended without a draw.So statistically this game will end up with a draw.If not,I will wait for a game with the same odds and bet again.That is the general idea.I will start with a bank of 1000 points and flat betting.After 1-2 weeks I will change my staking plan accordingly.All bets on betfair. So todays games... Watford - QPR Back Draw 10pts@3,50 Ionikos - OFI Back Draw 10pts@3,10 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dannkez2407 Posted December 7, 2009 Share Posted December 7, 2009 Re: Delayed odds hi jim, :welcome to pl. good start on your second selection, but was just wondering how you managed to get the odds on the watford game being as you stated, as best odds quoted were actually 2.67-3.43-2.88, the lowest odds available on watford were 2.4. and then you mentioned you backed the draw at 3.5 although the 1x2 odds you quoted at 3.25. im sure im missing something here..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 8, 2009 Author Share Posted December 8, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Thanksfor your comments dannkez2407.The odds of the games that I pick are from my country bookmaker and I use them just because I can find a database of more than 20.000 games.The problem is that they have a very low payout so I use betfair for betting. About the Watford game odds I think when I check the draw was 3,50,but I'm not sure so I take your word for it. So yesterday results Watford - QPR Back Draw Lost 10pts Ionikos - OFI Back Draw Won 31pts New Bank:1011 pts Todays selections: Chelsea - Apoel Nicosia Back Draw 10pts@5,80 Swansea - Plymouth Back Draw 10pts@4,00 (Match Odds Unmanaged???) Huracan - Boca Juniors Back Huracan 10pts@4,20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 8, 2009 Author Share Posted December 8, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Chelsea - Apoel Nicosia Back Draw Won 58pts Swansea - Plymouth Back Draw Lost 10pts Huracan - Boca Juniors Back Huracan Lost 10pts Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1035,5 (after commission) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 9, 2009 Author Share Posted December 9, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Selections for today: Sevilla - Rangers Back Draw 10pts@4,90 Gimnasia LP - Newells Back Newells 10pts@2,14 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lardonio Posted December 9, 2009 Share Posted December 9, 2009 Re: Delayed odds For example...on todays game of Watford - QPR the odds are 2.20-3.25-2.55.The last 9 games on these odds ended without a draw.So statistically this game will end up with a draw. Hi, and good luck with your betting! I just have to comment that the above is wrong. Even though the last 9 games on some odds ended without a draw, there's no statistical reason that the game will end up with a draw. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 9, 2009 Author Share Posted December 9, 2009 Re: Delayed odds My database shows that in 140 games with the odds at 2.20-3.25-2.55 the results are 43,57%-30%-26,43%.So 30% means that we have one draw in every 3,33 games.In the last 9 we didn't have a draw so I back the draw.Of course we can have 20 games in a row without a draw but is is very unlikely.So I'm waiting for delayed results and bet of them. I hope I explain it right and make you understand my betting pattern,because my English are quite bad :$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 10, 2009 Author Share Posted December 10, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Sevilla - Rangers Back Draw Lost 10pts Gimnasia LP - Newells Back Newells Won 21,4pts Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1036,3 (after commission) Total staked:70 Number of bets:7 Winning bets:3 Losing bets:4 Strike rate:43% Yield:52% Profit (or Loss):+36,3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 10, 2009 Author Share Posted December 10, 2009 Re: Delayed odds A small change...I will use odds from Pinnacle when they are greater. One selection for today: Arsenal FC v Tucuman Back Arsenal FC 10pts@2,13 (Pinnacle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 11, 2009 Author Share Posted December 11, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Arsenal FC v Tucuman Back Arsenal FC Won 21,3pts Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1047,6 (after commission) Total staked:80 Number of bets:8 Winning bets:4 Losing bets:4 Strike rate:50% Yield:60% Profit:+47,6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 11, 2009 Author Share Posted December 11, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Today's picks: FC Kaiserslautern - TuS Koblenz Back Draw 10pts@5,30 (Pinnacle) Pacos Ferreira - Nacional Madeira Back Pacos Ferreira 10pts@2,81 (Pinnacle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 12, 2009 Author Share Posted December 12, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Yesterday's results: FC Kaiserslautern - TuS Koblenz Back Draw Lost 10pts Pacos Ferreira - Nacional Madeira Back Pacos Ferreira Won 28,1pts Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1065,7 (after commission) Total staked:100 Number of bets:10 Winning bets:5 Losing bets:5 Strike rate:50% Yield:66% Profit:+65,5 It's going quite well :clap A lot of picks today and no time.I will update soon as possible... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 12, 2009 Author Share Posted December 12, 2009 Re: Delayed odds So for today we have: Nürnberg - Hamburger SV Draw [email protected] Empoli - Vicenza Draw 10@ 3.55 Lecce - Ascoli Draw [email protected] PAS Giannina - Ergotelis Draw 10@3,03 Burnley - Fulham HW 10@2,60 Sunderland - Portsmouth AW 10@4,27 Barnsley - Newcastle HW [email protected] Carlisle - Wycombe AW 10@5,34 Leyton Orient - Milton Keynes Dons HW 10@3,26 Millwall - Walsall AW [email protected] Bristol Rovers - Swindon HW 10@ 2.36 Southampton - Tranmere Rovers Draw [email protected] Huddersfield - Gillingham HW [email protected] Lincoln City - Rochdale HW 10@ 4.39 Burton Albion - Aldershot Town AW [email protected] Bradford - Rotherham Draw [email protected] Notts County - Accrington AW [email protected] Dagenham & Redbridge - Bury HW [email protected] Castellon - Real Sociedad Draw [email protected] Peterhead - Cowdenbeath Draw [email protected] Cagliari - Napoli Draw 10@3,10 Club Brugge - Mechelen AW [email protected] I hope I post the picks on time :\ Paper test only and odds from pinnacle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 12, 2009 Author Share Posted December 12, 2009 Re: Delayed odds I'm so stupid :@ At Barnsley - Newcastle I posted HW instead of a Draw that I wanted to :spank I bet on the draw and I won the bet but I posted HW by mistake. I just want the stats to be right.Is it better to count it as a lost bet,won bet or take it of ??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted December 13, 2009 Share Posted December 13, 2009 Re: Delayed odds hi there done it myself a few times keep it in so your stats are correct we all make mistakes when putting a lot of bets on . well done so far.:clap cheers hamcat:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 13, 2009 Author Share Posted December 13, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Thanks hamcat.I was thinking the same so the stats are correct. Only 3 games for today Monaco - Lille Draw [email protected] pinnacle Sporting Gijon - Sevilla Draw [email protected] pinnacle Celta Vigo - Elche Draw [email protected] betfair Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 13, 2009 Author Share Posted December 13, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Nürnberg - Hamburger SV Draw Lost 10 Empoli - Vicenza Draw Lost 10 Lecce - Ascoli Draw Won 24,4 PAS Giannina - Ergotelis Draw Lost 10 Burnley - Fulham HW Lost 10 Sunderland - Portsmouth AW Lost 10 Barnsley - Newcastle Draw Won 26 Carlisle - Wycombe AW Lost 10 Leyton Orient - Milton Keynes Dons HW Lost 10 Millwall - Walsall AW Lost 10 Bristol Rovers - Swindon HW Won 13,6 Southampton - Tranmere Rovers Draw Lost 10 Huddersfield - Gillingham HW Won 4,37 Lincoln City - Rochdale HW 10@ Lost 10 Burton Albion - Aldershot Town AW Lost 10 Bradford - Rotherham Draw Lost 10 Notts County - Accrington AW Won 47 Dagenham & Redbridge - Bury HW Won 13,2 Castellon - Real Sociedad Draw Lost 10 Peterhead - Cowdenbeath Draw Lost 10 Cagliari - Napoli Draw Won 21 Club Brugge - Mechelen AW Lost 10 Monaco - Lille Draw Lost 10 Sporting Gijon - Sevilla Draw Lost 10 Celta Vigo - Elche Draw Lost 10 Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1035.3 (after commission) Total staked:350 Number of bets:35 Winning bets:12 Losing bets:23 Strike rate:34% Yield:10% Profit:+35.3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 15, 2009 Author Share Posted December 15, 2009 Re: Delayed odds After a quite Monday one game for tonight Sunderland - Aston Villa AW [email protected] :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 16, 2009 Author Share Posted December 16, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Sunderland - Aston Villa AW [email protected] Won 16,6pts :) Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1051.9 Total staked:360 Number of bets:36 Winning bets:13 Losing bets:23 Strike rate:36% Yield:14.5% Profit:+51.9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 16, 2009 Author Share Posted December 16, 2009 Re: Delayed odds One for today Nacional da Madeira - Austria Wien HW 10tps@2,00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 17, 2009 Author Share Posted December 17, 2009 Re: Delayed odds (Yield:14.5%) Another winner yesterday Nacional da Madeira - Austria Wien HW 10tps@2,00 Won 10pts :) Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1061.9 Total staked:370 Number of bets:37 Winning bets:14 Losing bets:23 Strike rate:38% Yield:16.7% Profit:+61.9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 17, 2009 Author Share Posted December 17, 2009 Re: Delayed odds (Yield:16.7%) 2 games for tonight Hapoel Tel Aviv – Hamburger SV HW [email protected] Villarreal – Red Bull Salzburg HW [email protected] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 17, 2009 Author Share Posted December 17, 2009 Re: Delayed odds (Yield:16.7%) Tonight results: Hapoel Tel Aviv – Hamburger SV HW [email protected] Won 22,5pts :) Villarreal – Red Bull Salzburg HW [email protected] Lost 10pts :@ One more good day with a profit of 12,5pts :ok Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1074,4 Total staked:390 Number of bets:39 Winning bets:15 Losing bets:24 Strike rate:38% Yield:+19% Profit:+74,4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 18, 2009 Author Share Posted December 18, 2009 Re: Delayed odds (Yield:+19%) Tonight's picks: AC Ajaccio - Nantes Atlantique AW [email protected] Mechelen - Germinal Beerschot HW [email protected] Grimsby Town - Morecambe HW [email protected] Hereford United - Lincoln City AW [email protected] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 18, 2009 Author Share Posted December 18, 2009 Re: Delayed odds (Yield:+19%) Bad night.2 canceled games and lost the other 2.Still in profit so no problem :ok AC Ajaccio - Nantes Atlantique AW [email protected] Lost 10pts :@ Grimsby Town - Morecambe HW [email protected] Lost 12pts :@ Starting bank:1000 Current bank:1052.4 Total staked:412 Number of bets:41 Winning bets:15 Losing bets:26 Strike rate:37% Yield:+12.7% Profit:+52.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 19, 2009 Author Share Posted December 19, 2009 Re: Delayed odds (Yield:+12.7%%) Five for today Albinoleffe – Empoli AW [email protected] Blackburn – Tottenham HW [email protected] Salamanca – Rayo Vallecano DRAW [email protected] Valenciennes FC – RC Lens AW [email protected] Montpellier HSC – AS Nancy Lorraine DRAW [email protected] :hope:hope:hope:hope:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 20, 2009 Author Share Posted December 20, 2009 Re: Delayed odds (Yield:+12.7%%) Very bad night yesterday with 0/5 wins :sad Starting bank:1000 Current bank:998.4 Total staked:466 Number of bets:46 Winning bets:15 Losing bets:31 Strike rate:33% Yield:------ Profit:-1.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 20, 2009 Author Share Posted December 20, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Found 2 games today.I'm glad that this is a paper trial because I would never bet these results :tongue2 Inter Milan - Lazio DRAW [email protected] Koln - FC Nürnberg AW [email protected] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 21, 2009 Author Share Posted December 21, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Inter Milan - Lazio DRAW [email protected] Lost -10pts :@ Koln - FC Nürnberg AW [email protected] Lost -10pts :@ Starting bank:1000 Current bank:978.4 Total staked:486 Number of bets:48 Winning bets:15 Losing bets:33 Strike rate:31% Yield:-5% Profit:-21.6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbeamdp Posted December 22, 2009 Author Share Posted December 22, 2009 Re: Delayed odds Arles - Sedan DRAW [email protected] Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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