Weekend AFL.

[Guest TazaD]

Carlton +12.5 Ignoring the 116 point flogging in Perth last year, the Eagles haven’t beaten Carlton by more than 8 points since the end of 1996! They have won only once@ Optus since the same year, losing 5 and winning one by a single point v. Carlton in 2002. By my stats, West Coast have the 2nd worst defense in the League…allowing a goal every 3.17 times the ball enters their 50. (Only Adelaide worse). I expect Carlton will try to keep the pace of the game slow by bottling up the play at every opportunity. The weather could also be a factor with rain and wind forecast for Melbourne all weekend. Think the Blues are a big chance to win this game. I definitely think they can keep it close. Geelong +29.5 Remarkably, Fremantle have beaten Geelong only once ever (14 games) by more than this number. Also Geelong have a very strong record in Perth. They have lost only 2 games out of 14 @ Subi by more than this, winning 7 outright. Fremantle won a tight game in Perth last year by 16 points, but Ben Graham played no part in the game. (Injured in warm up if I remember rightly?). Fremantle aren’t a team that win by big margins, winning by more than 28 only 3 times in their last 18 games overall. Geelong have a very strong defense now they are all back from injury, and they will stay in this game all the way. Forecast for cloudy, maybe stormy day, so heat not a factor…and any rain will be a bonus.

[Guest TazaD]

Re: Weekend AFL. Kangaroos/St. Kilda 226+ @ 2.75 (1 unit) 200-255 @ 3.00 (1/2 unit) Kangaroos have topped 92 in their last 8 meetings v. Saints....topping 120 in 6 of them! They've met @ the dome 3 times and totalled 246, 199 and 259. St. Kilda have topped 114 in 5 of last 6 games at the dome at an av. of 119.8. Both teams have topped 100 in 3 of their 4 games this year, Saints av. 110.7, Kanga av. 108.2. Should be a qucik free-flowing game in the dome.