Ayr 1st Oct

[chris34]

2.55 Ayr Cant see star addition being turned out for this but showed some real promise in handicap today at Newcastle and if turned out again could be well treated on this extremely low mark after showing little in maidens! Lost in paris was maybe just slightly unlucky to find one too good last time out when running very strongly from the front at first try at this trip, gets to run off same mark today and could well get his nose infront 0.5pt e/w lost in paris 0.25pt e/w star addition 3.30 Ayr Woodsley house had shown some return to form until missing the break last time out, has been running on soft conditions and a return to fast ground could be interesting useful 5lb claimer on board and is now 3lb lower than last win without that claim! 0.5pt e/w woodsley house 4.05 Ayr Amanda carter won well last time out but does have a tendency to do that and then handicapper gets ahold and she has to wait for a slip again therefore gonna avoid she may win well again and good on her if she does just not reliable enough. Where as wells lyrical has run with consistency all starts and seems to go well fresh last 2 runs have been great places in a listed event and and Northumberland plate handicap is now 2lb higher than that but is lightly raced and likely to be improving. 0.75pt win wells lyrical 5.15 Ayr Soto looks a little bit of a sod of a horse to win with but has run consistently into place and probably ran his best race in a while last time out when totally messing up the start but finishing extremely strongly gets to run off same mark today and same jockey blinkers refitted again today. 0.5pt e/w soto

[Falbrav]

Re: Ayr 1st Oct FLOW CHART 2.20 Ayr. 0.5 points each way. Best form gives him chances of going close and would be open to finding a little improvement too. The 5f trip shouldn't be any cause for concern and the ground's fine. The race should be run at a fast enough early pace for him, so all in all has every chance of a win.