rabs Posted July 11, 2009 Share Posted July 11, 2009 have a very basic system going here using contextual home/away, favourite/underdog, and recent matches; goals scored and conceded to calculate totals currently playing it on these leagues where a substantial amount of data is available USA, NOR, SWE, IRE, RUS, FIN The odds won't be great as the system identifies pretty much what most analysts would predict. Overs bets will be made on the best > 3 calculated total, and Unders bets made on the best Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 11, 2009 Author Share Posted July 11, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals today there are 4 bets Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 11, 2009 Author Share Posted July 11, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 13, 2009 Author Share Posted July 13, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 13, 2009 Author Share Posted July 13, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 14, 2009 Author Share Posted July 14, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 17, 2009 Author Share Posted July 17, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals only one bet this weekend, an unders in Russia HomeAwayHODOAOLeagueHSASTotalOddsSat. MoscowRostov2.352.62.71RUS10.470.911.371.53 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 22, 2009 Author Share Posted July 22, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals result: HomeAwayHODOAOLeagueHSASTotalOddsScoreResultSat. MoscowRostov2.352.62.71RUS10.470.911.371.534-0-1.00 start bank: 100 current bank: 98.60 W/L:4-4 SR: 50% P/L: - 1.40 ROI: -17% Unders: W/L: 2-3 SR: 40% P/L: -1.85 ROI: -37% Overs: W/L: 2-1 SR: 66% P/L: +0.45 ROI: 15% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 22, 2009 Author Share Posted July 22, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals best over and under for the weekend ahead HomeAwayHODOAOLeagueHSASTotalOddsHalmstadMalmö2.33.142.87SWE10.850.621.47?ColumbusToronto1.793.293.98USA11.881.353.231.80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 26, 2009 Author Share Posted July 26, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals Odds for Halmstad v Malmo under is 1.62 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted July 28, 2009 Author Share Posted July 28, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals HomeAwayHODOAOLeagueHSASTotalOddsScoreResultHalmstadMalmö2.33.142.87SWE10.850.621.471.620-3-1.00ColumbusToronto1.793.293.98USA11.881.353.231.803-20.80 unlucky in the Sweden match with 2 goals in the final 3 minutes :@ start bank: 100 current bank: 98.40 W/L:5-5 SR: 50% P/L: - 1.60 ROI: -16% Unders: W/L: 2-4 SR: 33% P/L: -2.85 ROI: -47% Overs: W/L: 3-1 SR: 75% P/L: +1.25 ROI: 31% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 1, 2009 Author Share Posted August 1, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 4, 2009 Author Share Posted August 4, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 7, 2009 Author Share Posted August 7, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals UndersTime (GMT +9)HomeAwayLeagueGoalsBest Bet?OddsScoreP/L08.08.2009 04:45Bohemians D.Cork CityIRE11.91No1.55 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 7, 2009 Author Share Posted August 7, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals UndersTime (GMT +9)HomeAwayLeagueGoalsBest Bet?OddsScoreP/L08.08.2009 04:45Bohemians D.Cork CityIRE11.91No1.551-00.5509.08.2009 00:00AIKBrommapojkarnaSWE12.00No1.65 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 8, 2009 Author Share Posted August 8, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trevman Posted August 9, 2009 Share Posted August 9, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals in post 13 you said start bank:100 current bank:100.51 ROI: 2% doesn't 0.51 on top of 100 = 0.0051% increase? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 9, 2009 Author Share Posted August 9, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals in post 13 you said start bank:100 current bank:100.51 ROI: 2% doesn't 0.51 on top of 100 = 0.0051% increase? no trevman.... there have been 18 bets and a profit of 0.51 0.51 divided by 18 = .028 which is the equivalent of 2.8% the 100 bank is a standard starting point and really does nothing except keep you in a positive bank once you start losing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 9, 2009 Author Share Posted August 9, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 11, 2009 Author Share Posted August 11, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals OversTime (GMT +9)HomeAwayLeague GoalsBest Bet?OddsScoreP/L12.08.2009 04:45Dundalk FCBrayIRE12.61Yes2.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 13, 2009 Author Share Posted August 13, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 18, 2009 Author Share Posted August 18, 2009 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rabs Posted August 18, 2009 Author Share Posted August 18, 2009 Re: Soccer Totals Awful results this weekend pretty much confirms this was a failed experiment. At best the system was treading water but interestingly I had a look at the 7 weekends of data I've been running this and the highest predicted total has gone over every week, going 7-0 for +5.1 units. Based on that I will continue to run this data and only publish the data's most likely over bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.