Redcar (eve) 2/7/09

[fintron]

8.50 Redcar Only eight go to post for this class 5 handicap over 1m 6f. Paddy Reilly has been raised 4 lbs for a three quarter length second to Yonder at Salisbury last time out, which puts him 10 lbs higher than his latest win. Dramatic Solo is only 3 lbs higher than when winning at Mussleburgh in May but that win did come at a lower level and he was well beaten at the same track off a similar sort of mark to this when last seen. Desert Destiny won a Catterick seller in June but was put in his place back in handicaps last time out so is discounted and Cripsey Brook has work to do to reverse form with a couple of these from recent starts. Moonwalking has been recently more effective over hurdles whilst Lord Oroko has generally found winning in this grade beyond him in the past. Both Mister Nimbus and Zefooha are course and distance winners and come into this race off the back of last time out wins at this track and Carlisle respectively. However, Mister Nimbus has been raised 5 lbs and steps in in class, whereas Zefooha remains at the same level, and has a lower, 3 lb burden, to try shake off. Add to that the form boost of Zefooha's CD win as Monte Pattino went in Musselburgh yesterday and Miss Keck has won since and also taking into account Bijou Dan boosted the Carlile form by winning yesterday, and he stacks up to be a good looking bet at 3/1 with Hills. The pair look closely matched based on CD running as 5.25 lengths split them and Zefooha is 5 lbs worse off today, however, on a formline through Monte Pattino I think there is two bits of evidence to point to Zefooha coming out on top.

[fintron]

Re: Redcar (eve) 2/7/09 6.40 Redcar A reproduction of her debut 4th would give Vilnius every chance in this nursery handicap. She was only three quarters of a length off Avon Valley who won a maiden next time out and was rated 83. Crown was a short head back in fifth and has won two novices races since, and was rated 87 when last seen running in the Queen Mary Stakes (Grp 2) at Ascot. She dropped into selling company at Catterick last time out but that run at least proved she handles this sort of ground. As an April foal she is the youngest of the six remaining participants, but she looks handicapped to win races off 58. Inform Paul Hanagan in the saddle is another plus. 4/1 Coral, 10 pts win.