Paul176 Posted March 28, 2009 Author Share Posted March 28, 2009 Day 11 Selections Peterborough v Leicester - English League 2 - Coral 2.6 (2.48) Bright & Hove v Tranmere - English League 2 - VC 3.0 (2.96) Carlisle v Northampton - English League 2 - William Hill 2.3 (2.26) Crewe v Millwall - English League 2 - Coral 3.4 (3.25) Hereford v Huddersfield - English League 2 - Ladbrokes 2.62 (2.58) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted March 29, 2009 Author Share Posted March 29, 2009 Day 11 Results Day 11 Results Korea v UAE - 2-0 +0.83pt Wales v Finland - 0-2 + 2.75pt Moldovia v Switzerland - 0-2 +0.67pt Cyprus v Georgia- 2-1 + 1.1pt Albania v Hungary- 0-1 -1pt Uruguay v Paraguay - 2-0 +1.25pt Argentina v Venezuela - 4-0 +0.2pt Mexico v Costa Rica - WC 2010 - 2-0 +0.66pt Trinidad & Tobago v Honduras - 1-1 -1pt Peterborough v Leicester - 2-0 +1.6pt Bright & Hove v Tranmere - 0-0 -1pt Carlisle v Northampton - 1-1 -1pt Crewe v Millwall - 0-1 -1pt Hereford v Huddersfield - 0-1 +1.62pt Bank P/L -1.94 Yield -3% Betfair Paper bank P/L -5.075 Yield -8% Well excellent day. Recovered from the crushing results of last weekend to put us very close to profit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted March 29, 2009 Author Share Posted March 29, 2009 Day 12 Selections Day 12 Selections Mozambique v Nigeria - WC 2010 - SJ 1.8 (1.77) Ancona v Empoli - Italian League 1 - Expekt 2.85 (2.8) Grosseto v Mantova - Italian League 1 - Skybet 3.0 (2.94) Alicante v Elche - Spanish League 1 - Centrebet 2.9 (2.84) Gimnastic v Levante - Spanish League 1 - Boylesports 2.2 (2.16) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted March 29, 2009 Author Share Posted March 29, 2009 Day 12 Results Day 12 Results Mozambique v Nigeria - 0-0 -1pt Ancona v Empoli - 1-2 +1.85pt Grosseto v Mantova - 1-1 +2pt Alicante v Elche - 0-3 +1.9pt Gimnastic v Levante - 2-0 +1.2pt Bank P/L +4.01pt Yield 6% BF Paper Bank P/L +0.31pt Yield 0% Staked - 67pt Well were in profit hopefully we will stay there! A quick question for any statisticians who may be reading the thread. I would very much like to, after the sample size has increased, run some statistical tests on the data for significance. My current method would be working out the average profit on winning bets and the strike rate which would be required to break even given the losing bets. This strike rate would then give expected values for number of bets won and lost with the system values being the observed. I'd then apply a chi squared test. As I said though I'm not a statistician and have never had to apply stats to this kind of situation so this method may not be valid. Any help is appriecated. Anyway I'm now going to relax and enjoy my cool £2 profit and have a pint (maybe just a half :cheers) with it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted March 31, 2009 Author Share Posted March 31, 2009 Day 13 Selections Day 13 Selections Wales U21's v Luxembourg U21's - Bluesquare - 1.22 (1.19) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted March 31, 2009 Author Share Posted March 31, 2009 Day 13 results Day 13 Results Wales U21's v Luxembourg U21's - 5-1 +0.22pt Well not going to lie I always felt this was somewhat of a cert. I'm no expert in U21's footy (and if anyone else is I'd be happy for you correct me) but I fail to see how Luxembourg - a country with a population close to the town I live in - were ever going to beat Wales at football! 5-1 anyway! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted March 31, 2009 Author Share Posted March 31, 2009 Day 14 Selections Day 14 Selections Venezuela v Colombia - WC 2012 - Skybet 2.7 (2.64) Bulgaria v Cyprus - WC 2012 - Ladbrokes 1.5 (1.47) Georgia v Montenegro - WC 2012 - William Hill 2.62 (2.6) Saudi Arabia v UAE - WC 2012 - Skybet 1.44 (1.43) N.Ireland v Slovenia - WC 2012 - Skybet 2.37 (2.34) England v Ukraine - WC 2012 - Skybet 1.44 (1.42) France v Lithuania - WC 2012 - Skybet 1.2 (1.19) Some short odds selections this time round. Short odds on favourites seem to be the trend of this round! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted April 1, 2009 Author Share Posted April 1, 2009 Day 14 Results Day 14 Results Venezuela v Colombia - 2-0 -1pt Bulgaria v Cyprus - 2-0 +0.5pt Georgia v Montenegro - 0-0 -1pt Saudi Arabia v UAE - 3-2 +0.44pt N.Ireland v Sloveni - 1-0 + 1.37pt England v Ukraine - 2-1 + 0.44 pt France v Lithuania - 1-0 +0.20pt Bank P/L +5.18pt Yield 7% BF Paper Bank P/L +1.22pt Yield 2% Staked - 75pt Another good round of internationals! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted April 4, 2009 Author Share Posted April 4, 2009 Day 15 Selections Day 15 Selections Arsenal vManchester City - EPL - Totesport 1.53 (1.51) West Ham v Sunderland - EPL - Skybet 4 (3.8) Blackpool v Plymouth - English League 1 - Skybet 4 (3.35) Coventry City v Reading - English League 1 - Totesport 2.37 (2.32) Derby v Burnley - English League 1 - Totesport 2.7 (2.64) Norwich v Sheffield Wednesday - English League 1 - Skybet 2.2 (2.18) Bristol City v Preston North End - English League 1 - Ladbrokes 2.2 (2.18) Cheltenham v Leyton Orient - English League 1 - Ladbrokes 2.26 (2.6) Huddersfield v Southend Utd - English League 1 - Ladbrokes 2.37 (2.32) MK Dons v Brighton & Hove - English League 1 - Ladbrokes 1.57 (1.55) Dundee Utd v Hibernian - Scottish Premier - Canbet 2.19 (2.14) Celtic v Hamilton - Scottish Premier - Ladbrokes 1.2 (1.19) Grenoble v Lorient - French Premier - Stanjames 3.0 (2.92) Valenciennes v Auxerre - French Premier - Bluesquare 2.3 (2.26) Real Betis v Numancia - Spanish Premier - Stanjames 1.7 (1.66) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted April 11, 2009 Author Share Posted April 11, 2009 Re: Odds Alone Day 15 Results Arsenal v Manchester City - 2-0 +0.53pt West Ham v Sunderland - 2-0 -1pt Blackpool v Plymouth - 0-1 -1pt Coventry City v Reading -0-0 -1pt Derby v Burnley - 1-1 -1pt Norwich v Sheffield Wednesday - 0-1 -1pt Bristol City v Preston North End - 1-1 -1pt Cheltenham v Leyton Orient - 0-1 +1.62pt Huddersfield v Southend Utd - 0-1 -1pt MK Dons v Brighton & Hove - 2-0 +0.57pt Dundee Utd v Hibernian - 2-2 -1pt Celtic v Hamilton - 4-0 +0.2pt Grenoble v Lorient - 1-3 -1pt Valenciennes v Auxerre - 2-0 +1.3pt Real Betis v Numancia - 2-2 -1pt Bank: P/L: -0.60pt Yield: -1% Staked: 90pt Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted April 11, 2009 Author Share Posted April 11, 2009 Day 16 Selections Day 16 Results Chelsea v Bolton - EPL - Ladbrokes 1.3 (1.28) Middlesborough v Hull - EPL - Boylesports 2.2 (2.14) Tottenham v West Ham - EPL - WillHill 1.8 (1.77) Stoke City v Newcastle - EPL - Coral 2.6 (2.54) Crystal Palace v Cardiff - Championship - 2.7 (2.64) Nottingham Forest v Bristol - Championship - 2.6 (2.54) Not so many fixtures but I've been busy lately so just trying to keep this ticking over. Were back into the red after the English leagues do us over again! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted April 11, 2009 Author Share Posted April 11, 2009 Day 16 Results Day 16 Results Chelsea v Bolton - 4-3 +0.3pt Middlesborough v Hull 3-1 +1.2pt Tottenham v West Ham 1-0 +0.8pt Stoke City v Newcastle - 1-1 -1pt Crystal Palace v Cardiff - 0-2 -1pt Nottingham Forest v Bristol - 3-2 +1.6pt Yield: +1% P/L: +1.3pt Staked: 96 Back in profit! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paul176 Posted April 18, 2009 Author Share Posted April 18, 2009 Re: Odds Alone This is going to have to go on hold for a little. Been very busy of late and I'm not able to get internet access at the times when I need to for the odds. I intend to restart this in July. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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