Targeting 1-1 correct score system

[rabs]

This is a 100% statistical based system to identify 1-1 scorelines. It started with an attempt to snag games with 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 & 2-2 scorelines. Followed it manually for a few weeks with a negative return, mainly because it required 4 units outlay on every match meeting the parameters. I then decided to backtest it on 18 leagues for which I was able to access csv result files for the current season. The parameters are very simple, looking at recent goals scored by the two teams (all matches context, plus home and away context), and league position at the time of the meeting. The backtesting was only applied from the 9th round onwards and the results have influenced me to exclusively target 1-1. The original and underlying aim was to find games where both teams will score at least one goal. I also dropped 7 leagues from the system after backtesting, 2 of those Holland and Turkey did not provide a single bet and the other 5 collectively showed a slight loss, 2 of them were in decent profit. I dropped them as they were lesser leagues and to narrow the risk. The original parameters were never altered so backfitting has not occurred however back omitting has happened. 1-1 & 3-2 were the only results showing a profit. In most leagues 1-1 is the most frequent score so this is hardly surprising and the backtesting resulted in 33 bets for 11 hits and a 33% strike rate. That would provide a 100% yield at $6 which is under what your average dividend would be. 3-2 showed a large profit for only 4 hits but aiming for that score line long term would most likely fail. So 1-2, 2-1 & 2-2 were dropped leaving me with only 1 unit outlay per bet. I will be betting on this system live, if someone were to tail on this I suggest setting a single bet amount you can afford to lose by 10, and ensuring you make every bet to the end of the season. In other words if you can afford to lose $100 then make your bets $10. This system is 100% statistical, no human judgement so the risk is obvious. Bets are rare, only 33 bets from approximately 1,780 matches. The reason I'm showing the system is that I now have a bet after 2 weeks wait. The leagues I'll be looking for bets in are: England Premier League England Championship France Ligue 1 France Ligue 2 Germany Bundesliga Germany Bundesliga 2 Greece Super League Italy Serie A Italy Serie B Spain Primera Spain Segunda

[rabs]

Re: Targeting 1-1 correct score system first up live bet Serie B · Matches Draw 1-1 Correct Score ANCONA vs FROSINONE @ 6.00