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Bundesliga Prediction 2009


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Well guys, after experiencing a few bad moment concerning stacking and discipline in the last 6 month I had a lot of time to think about a "system" which I want to use for 1.Bundesliga only. I will concentrate on Bundesliga and will use my previews (which I post every week in Western European Forum) as a base. Aspects which will be taking into account before placing a bet are: Team motivation/atmosphere; Team/Key players form; H2H/over-under stats; Injury/Suspension/Lineup; Tactic of both teams; Media pressure; Fans mood; Influence of midweek matches; New coach effect; Lucky wins/Bad luck losses (which will influence last match form positiv/negativ). After having done the homework I will have a look at the odds. I am going to look for AH, 1X2 and over/under odds and compare them with the odds I would expect from the information I found. Since I am expecting to have a low number of bets each weekend, stacks will be high % of the bank. Its my first serious attempt to make profit of my knowledge and I will papertrailing this for the rest of the season in hope to have good results to go on with this the next years. I am planning to do this with 1000€ bank next season so we will start this with a 1000 point bank. Stacks will be varying between 2-5% of the bank. Still two weeks to go for Bundesliga to start and I will go on gathering information about clubs to have a good 1st weekend then ;)

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