Some interesting stats from RFO?

[Guest crowie1969]

The 21-30 System? I was looking through this weeks RFO and they came up with what I think are some interesting figures using their Outlook Index. They have backtested their figures on the 4 main European leagues and a few areas stood out. First of all, for info, they want back to 1993/94 and tested the following amount of games Spain - 3584 Italy - 2753 Germany - 2754 France - 3050 They then presented the outcome of the games based around 9 different bands on their outlook index These were Home team has rating 31+ higher than away Home team has rating 21-30 higher than away And then down in bands of 11-20, 1-10, level, and the same four bands for the away team having a higher rating. These results that I thought were quite interesting were Spain Home 21-30 higher - 62.5% home wins (65 out of 104) Italy Home 11-20 higher - 64.48% home wins (256 out of 397) Home 21-30 higher - 77.01% home wins (67 out of 87) France Home 21-30 higher - 68.33% home wins (41 out of 60) Germany Home 11-20 higher - 60.15% home wins (243 out of 404) Home 21-30 higher - 63.55% home wins (68 out of 107) Does anyone (the experts!) have any thoughts on these figures. I will post up the qualifiers for this weekends fixtures later, it may be worth keeping an eye on but as I said, I would be interested to hear some experienced systems bods views.

[Joe]

Re: Some interesting stats from RFO? All a complete waste of time (not you crowie, but RFO) unless we have the betting odds as well. 95% strike rate is not the same thing as making money from the bookies. Nor is 10% strike necessarily loss making. Back testing is only relevant with the betting odds. Do you have these?