Over 1.5 Goals System

[TopSavings]

Hi, Some of you may or may not remember me from previous over and under threads, but using the same set of rules I used to find selections for these systems, I have realised that betting over 1.5 is more profitable and becoming more common amongst online bookmakers in many leagues across the world (the ones I will be quoting odds from are Betfair, Gamebookers, Winunited and Unibet). Anyway, I have back tracked over the last 100 bets I have backed over 2.5 in and found that 90% of them actually had two or more goals in at average odds of 1.19 (according to highstreet bookmaker prices on betexplorer) which is level stakes ROI of 7.10% which I thought was a good starting point for a 20% increased bank staking plan. I will be testing this on here with a hypothetical bank of 1000 points and be using 1/20th of it for each bet placed on the day. If two or more matches kick off at the same time, they will have the same stake placed until a new bank is reached. One rule which I have used which seems to be very important is after a loser the stake never decreases. eg. Bank of 1000 points, first bet loses at 50pts, new bet should be 950/20 = 47.50pts, but 50 points will remain the stake until a new high point in the bank is reached. ie. over 1000 points. This staking plan is one I used to use for laying greyhounds, which I had some success at. I always used to lay a dog between odds of say 4.0 (ie. backing at 1.33) or 8.0 (ie. backing 1.14) for 1/20th of the bank and it really does increase level stakes profit by over 20% after only 100 bets if you can stick with it. Obviously I am hoping for only 9/100 losers but even if this increases to say 12 or 13, some of the odds and where they fall in the staking ladder can help the losses be not too damaging, if you can follow it with a couple of decent prices bets of say 1.25 or 1.30. I don't expect to get rich over night, but in the last 4 or 5 years, overs and unders is the only market I have really ever bet on, and I hope to stick with this and show a profit. It would be lovely to double the bank after 100 bets which I think is quite feasible having tested a few models in spreadsheets of random positions of losing bets and random prices between 1.15 and 1.25 over thousands of bets. Wish me luck and hope you enjoy the system. Regards, TS. ps. There is a strict set of rules I use based on the teams' last 3 homes and last 3 aways, with an overall form of last 6 matches taken into consideration too. Historical stats do not come into this whatsoever. For these reasons, it may take a while for the bets to start rolling in from England, Germany, Italy, Holland and Spain because it will be a few weeks before all sides have played 3 home and 3 aways.

[TopSavings]

Thursday 20th August 2008 Bet 1 Swedish Cup Hammarby v Kalmar (17:00 GMT) 50pts Betfair over 1.5 @ 1.26 (this becomes 1.247 after commission which is better than Winunited's 1.22) :hope