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AFL Rd. 10.


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Well, doesn't this look like the crapiest week ever... Depending on the weather of course, Adelaide should be able to beat Essendon by 50+ without to many worries.. Crows being who they are tho are likely to kick 14.26 and ice the last 5 minutes by rushing 4-5 points... Collingwood 1.17?! Are you kidding me? One good win and this? Eagles have been terrible tho of course, esp. on the road...although they did win their last meeting at the dome...back in 2006...with really only Judd now missing! Collingwood had Tarrant kick 4, Buckley 2... May well be tempted by the points...26 or 27? Oh, btw made it upto 44th in the weighted tipping...so I guess there's no way the Eagles should be 5.00 shots here, right Ash? ;) Not sure the Doggies are evens here either mate, but I do tend to agree they're a show. Dunno, finding t hard to reconcile our form atm...Have been way down in last 3...have played just 3 teams inside the 8...won 2 of course, but a bit lucky in both?... I've been saying all year tho that I think the Hawks are a good match up for the Dogs...Kangaroos showed, Richmond showed, even Essendon showed that tight 1-1 teams do well against us...I think we have the foot skills and like to use the middle enough to be able to pick apart this Hawthorn zone...plus the Swans game proved a lack of I50's is no real worry. Hawthorn defense is a disaster when the ball gets that far. Shoot-out, but not sure the Doggies can get over the line... Yeah, guess Brisbane are 1.25 shots v. North. 2nd best midfield numbers in last 4 (Behin Hawks) +14 I50's per game...plus score freely at home. Kangas have done sfa so far, and got belted last interstate trip. Spread doesn't really interest me tho... ...now, are Carlton really 6.25 pops?? Head to head numbers are a disaster...Cats won last 4 (all at the dome) by 78, 65, 70 and 57... but what have you done for me lately? A big loss last week. Played 1 quarter of football against Brisbane, Sydney and Richmond...should have lost to Freo. Match stats-wise by St. Kilda... Carlton were pretty good last week against a Freo team that had been troubling some of the better teams in the comp. Only 3 less shots than Brisbane the week before... Having said that, they've only beaten the bottom 3 teams, and arsed Collingwood... Still, form since that win hasn't been too bad at all... Just don't know. Not that brave. Sydney too good at home for Tigers...price looks about right. Bit disappointed with Melbourne at only 3.25 too. Melbourne have had the draw from hell, although they did get pumped by Carlton I guess! Saints much better in the dome, but they are so up and down. Lucky v. Richmond, unlucky v. Collingwood and Geelong... You'd think Port, but not sure as favs...Won both meetings last year, one in Perth...have had a very tough draw themselves, but Freo have pushed some decent teams at home. 2 fragile teams. Both quite willing to slow the game down for no reason... ...probably best left alone. :\

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Re: AFL Rd. 10. If WCE get an off focus opponent (main factor) and a slippery deck then that'll be third week on end, but Collingwood should be on upward trend this week. Sure the Eagles have presented better lately but at -27.5 I think I'll be in. Well if WBD aren't close to evens, then I'd better change the way I've always assessed matches and get me punt'n in some sort of order! Those windy surrounds of Tassie and a little bit rain possible has me rating Hawks just a marginal fave - I'm not suggesting dogs would be so vulnerable in it these days but home teams you'd think are preferable if any tricky conditions. Gotta be careful about buying into the dogs softish draw IMO. The Swans game is the best guide and, unlike a number of their matches, the focus this week should be like that day. More settled line-up than Hawks and should I dwelve into yin and yang here :unsure? (they're due! It's a factor!). ps. Crows were more advanced than dogs at Rd1. 2.10 chance IMO and I'm already on at 2.95. North and Richmond are both overs IMO. Already on Richmond at 5.00 and the spread is also excellent on both (for anyone who's weak as ...). Considering Essendon also. Anyway, you heading out on Saturday, Taza? I guess the Pope's not Catholic either! Although, don't do that friken stupid hand frame thing when your on camera, mate. :D

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