john_lovell Posted May 14, 2008 Share Posted May 14, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Well done 4 the winner! :) I missed it earlier due to the footie! O well =D Rangers lost!! woohoo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 15, 2008 Author Share Posted May 15, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 24 pts Return to Date = 49.43 pts Profit to Date = +25.43 pts:ok E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 83 pts Return to Date = 77.01 pts Loss to Date = - 5.99 pts:\ Combined Yield = +18.2%:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 16, 2008 Author Share Posted May 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Hamilton 8.00 Society Venue 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Stan James (BOG):hope Finished strongly over 8 furlongs LTO. Highest rated OR plus the sire of this horse gets more winners in the 9-11 fulong range rather then the 7-9 furlong range. If it stays it should placed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 16, 2008 Author Share Posted May 16, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Hamilton 8.00 Society Venue 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Stan James (BOG):hope Finished strongly over 8 furlongs LTO. Highest rated OR plus the sire of this horse gets more winners in the 9-11 fulong range rather then the 7-9 furlong range. If it stays it should placed. 2nd loss on bet = -0.2 pts:\ Having a bit of a run of seconditis on my E/W bets at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet 2.35 Thirsk Touchdown 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope The odd-on favourite's form looks far from stong IMO. While Touchdown would have won LTO if he had not runabout all over the track. With a left hand rail this time could go very close today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Uttoxeter 7.05 Keepitsecret 1 pt E/W @7/1 with BetFred:hope 2 runners in this race have much higher ratings over hurdles then chases. One is odds-on the others is 7/1. With the place component representing a degree of value must represent some value IMO. The assistance of a claimer will may be the reason this selection is 7/1. With McCoy is on the other stable representative this may be the reason for the price. But McCoy got to ride that one for McManus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet 2.35 Thirsk Dolly Penrose 1 pt E/W @8/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Reasonable form on higher class courses so could do well here. More importantant represent value on market comparsion. Show c2.0 for the place on the exchanges and here we are getting 2.6 plus win odds similiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Single Bet 4 pts win Very Cool @5/4 with Blue Square:hope Now it's drifted it represent a degree of value. Like my E/W selection in the same race appears to get into this race with a low OR. If he can reproduce his hurdle form must just about win his. Obviously a risk with the distance and the obstacles. But my have too much ability for most of this field. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spithas Posted May 17, 2008 Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 :cheers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Uttoxeter 6.30 In a poor race with very little solid form But where the price structure offers us some value 2 small bets are advised. Quelclass O.5 pt E/W @7/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Smart Tom 0.5 pt E/W @16/1 with BetFred:hope Outlay = 2 pts only. A reflection of my confidence in the form rather then the price structure Both have shown sign of ability and in a very poor race a little ability may be all that is required to at least place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ardman123 Posted May 17, 2008 Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Awesome again today mate best tipster on this site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kamo Posted May 17, 2008 Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Well done Cavelloman :clap Great tipping there mate :ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tulenos Posted May 17, 2008 Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxster Posted May 17, 2008 Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Fantastic as usual mate. Looking forward to a great summer. Cheers, you're a star! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet 2.35 Thirsk Touchdown 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope The odd-on favourite's form looks far from stong IMO. While Touchdown would have won LTO if he had not runabout all over the track. With a left hand rail this time could go very close today. :clap Won Profit on Bet = 9.6 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet 2.35 Thirsk Dolly Penrose 1 pt E/W @8/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Reasonable form on higher class courses so could do well here. More importantant represent value on market comparsion. Show c2.0 for the place on the exchanges and here we are getting 2.6 plus win odds similiar. Placed:ok Profit on Bet = +0.6 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Single Bet 4 pts win Very Cool @5/4 with Blue Square:hope Now it's drifted it represent a degree of value. Like my E/W selection in the same race appears to get into this race with a low OR. If he can reproduce his hurdle form must just about win his. Obviously a risk with the distance and the obstacles. But my have too much ability for most of this field. Won:clap Profit on Bet = + 5 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Uttoxeter 7.05 Keepitsecret 1 pt E/W @7/1 with BetFred:hope 2 runners in this race have much higher ratings over hurdles then chases. One is odds-on the others is 7/1. With the place component representing a degree of value must represent some value IMO. The assistance of a claimer will may be the reason this selection is 7/1. With McCoy is on the other stable representative this may be the reason for the price. But McCoy got to ride that one for McManus Unplaced:sad Loss on Bet = -2 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Uttoxeter 6.30 In a poor race with very little solid form But where the price structure offers us some value 2 small bets are advised. Quelclass O.5 pt E/W @7/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Smart Tom 0.5 pt E/W @16/1 with BetFred:hope Outlay = 2 pts only. A reflection of my confidence in the form rather then the price structure Both have shown sign of ability and in a very poor race a little ability may be all that is required to at least place. unplaced and a placed Profit on Bet = 0.1 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 17, 2008 Author Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 28 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +30.43 pts:ok E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 93 pts Return to Date = 94.91 pts Profit to Date = + 1.91 pts:ok Combined Yield = +26.7%:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jackeychan14 Posted May 17, 2008 Share Posted May 17, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 got to agree with you Aardman123.Amazing stuff again cavelloman :clap:clap:notworthy If Carlsburg did forums!!...........you know the rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 18, 2008 Author Share Posted May 18, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BETS Fakenham 2.20 Great Grimsby 1 pts E/W @9/4 with Bet365(BOG):hope Gradually improving and in a race with most of the runners outside the handicap should have a good chance of at least placing Supreme Team 1 pt E/W @6/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Finished behind the favourite at Fontwell by c10l But get a 20ib pull here and may now give this moderate animal a winning chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 18, 2008 Author Share Posted May 18, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BET Fakenham 3.50 Cannibar 1 pt e/w @11/2 with BetFred:hope Somewhat inconsistent but pitched in here with a good chance if he can reproduce recent chase form where he is rated over 120 OR. Best on faster ground and if chase OR is reproduce over hurdles is very closely matched to the favourite who not run for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 18, 2008 Author Share Posted May 18, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BETS Fakenham 2.20 Great Grimsby 1 pts E/W @9/4 with Bet365(BOG):hope Gradually improving and in a race with most of the runners outside the handicap should have a good chance of at least placing Supreme Team 1 pt E/W @6/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Finished behind the favourite at Fontwell by c10l But get a 20ib pull here and may now give this moderate animal a winning chance. 2nd and 3rd Loss on advised bets = -0.35 pts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 18, 2008 Author Share Posted May 18, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W BET Fakenham 3.50 Cannibar 1 pt e/w @11/2 with BetFred:hope Somewhat inconsistent but pitched in here with a good chance if he can reproduce recent chase form where he is rated over 120 OR. Best on faster ground and if chase OR is reproduce over hurdles is very closely matched to the favourite who not run for a while. :clap:clap Profit on Bet= 6.19 pts:ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 18, 2008 Author Share Posted May 18, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 28 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +30.43 pts:ok E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 99 pts Return to Date = 106.75 pts Profit to Date = + 7.75 pts:ok :clap:clapCombined Yield = 30.1%:clap:clap :clap:clap:clapForza del Cavello:clap:clap:clap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boxster Posted May 18, 2008 Share Posted May 18, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Outstanding yet again! :clap:clap:clap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 21, 2008 Author Share Posted May 21, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/w BETS 8.25 Sedgefield Tucker 2 pts E/W @ 3/1 with Paddy Power.:hope......3.5 with Bet365(BOG) for doubles Clocked a faster time compared to standard then the favourite LTO at Wetherby. Rated in excess of 100 on the flat may now be improving over hurdles Speed Up 2.0 pts E/W @3.25 with Bet365(BOG):hope Ran well recently at Aintree and obviously acts on a sharp track. X Add this for E/W Doubles Sedgefield 7.20 Safari Run @2.1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Closely rated with the favourite over hurdles But bred more for chasing then the favourite. But this being a first run over the bigger obstacles only qualifies for E/W Doubles IMO 2 x 0.5pt E/W Doubles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 21, 2008 Author Share Posted May 21, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/w BETS 8.25 Sedgefield Tucker 2 pts E/W @ 3/1 with Paddy Power.:ok.....3.5 with Bet365(BOG) for doubles:ok Clocked a faster time compared to standard then the favourite LTO at Wetherby. Rated in excess of 100 on the flat may now be improving over hurdles Speed Up 2.0 pts E/W @3.25 with Bet365(BOG):sad Ran well recently at Aintree and obviously acts on a sharp track. X Add this for E/W Doubles Sedgefield 7.20 Safari Run @2.1 with Bet365(BOG):ok Closely rated with the favourite over hurdles But bred more for chasing then the favourite. But this being a first run over the bigger obstacles only qualifies for E/W Doubles IMO 2 x 0.5pt E/W Doubles Loss on Bets = -5.38 pts:sad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted May 22, 2008 Author Share Posted May 22, 2008 Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Late E/E Bets 2 pts E/W Dolly Penrose @5/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope 1 pt E/W Wells Lyrical @12/1 with BetDirect(BOG):hope Based on Market Comparsions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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