El_Stuart Posted March 7, 2008 Share Posted March 7, 2008 Ok, seems im gonna have more time on my hands than i would like at the moment so im gonna have a little play about with the trend ratings on statto. Same kind of ratings as the ones in the RPO but these are available online so it should be easier to check for picks. What i will do is use a formula taken from 3 figures to compute a total rating for each team, the ratings are open-ended because of the large numbers involved. I Will start by using a rating difference of 100 (I make 100 around about a goal superior between the teams) to make a selection since this seems to work well in the last few weeks that ive watched it. The formula goes.... Current rating + Last 10 games rating + (trend rating * 2) The plan is to find teams that are playing well and on the up, but might well be the underdog because of league position. I saw something similar used on a forum with the RPO ratings a few years back but it was used in a different kind of way. I will only start by using a few leagues to see how well it goes and how many picks it throws up. ALL picks must be better than even money to weed out the obvious games like Man Utd @ home to Derby at 1.67 etc etc. I Will start by using the following leagues... *English Premier League *Spanish Primera Liga *Italian Serie A *German Bundesliga *French Ligue 1 *Portuguese SuperLiga *Holland Eredivise I have no idea how this will perform so im not laying down my hard earned on it just yet. 200pt starting bank and a 5pt level stake on each selection, i have no idea how many picks this will throw up or how it will go but we'll soon find out :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 7, 2008 Author Share Posted March 7, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Friday March 7th No Picks :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 7, 2008 Author Share Posted March 7, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Saturday 8th March 5 Pts - FC Schalke @ 2.10 (Betfair) Sunday 9th March 5 pts - Fiorentina @ 2.42 (Betfair) 5 pts - AS Roma @ 2.32 (Betfair) 5 pts - FC Twente @ 2.05 (Hills) 5 pts - Roda JC @ 2.38 (Betfair) 5 pts - Getafe @ 2.65 (Expekt) 5 pts - Everton @ 2.33 (Betdaq) 35pts total stakes over the weekend, back on Sunday night for a chuckle when it all goes belly up :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted March 7, 2008 Share Posted March 7, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Good Luck with this Stuart, hope it works out for you.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 8, 2008 Author Share Posted March 8, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Schalke get things rolling with an easy 2-0 win :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 9, 2008 Author Share Posted March 9, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Saturday 8th March 5 Pts - FC Schalke @ 2.10 (Betfair) Won 2-0 :D Sunday 9th March 5 pts - Fiorentina @ 2.42 (Betfair) Lost 1-0 :\ 5 pts - AS Roma @ 2.32 (Betfair) Won 2-0 :D 5 pts - FC Twente @ 2.05 (Hills) - Match Postponed 5 pts - Roda JC @ 2.38 (Betfair) Lost 4-1 :\ 5 pts - Getafe @ 2.65 (Expekt) Won 3-0 :D 5 pts - Everton @ 2.33 (Betdaq) Won 1-0 :D 4 Winners, 2 Losers and 1 void. 35pts stakes, 52pts returned. +17pts for the opening weekend :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 9, 2008 Author Share Posted March 9, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Monday 10th March No Picks :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
happygooner Posted March 10, 2008 Share Posted March 10, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Be interested to see how this goes as I tried using their ratings once myself and it didn't perform at all. Gl:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 10, 2008 Author Share Posted March 10, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Tuesday 11th March 5 pts - Stuttgart @ 2.10 (VC Bet) :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 10, 2008 Author Share Posted March 10, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail How rude of me, i swear i replied to the good wishes earlier :unsure Cheers Dave and Goooner :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 11, 2008 Author Share Posted March 11, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Stuttgart etched out a 1-0 win to keep things moving, be back tomorrow night to update the bank when i aint pissed lol :beer:beer:beer Also, no picks for Wednesday, 12th March :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 12, 2008 Author Share Posted March 12, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail 7 selections so far, 5 winners and 2 losers. 71% Strike Rate, 67% Yield and 22.5pts profit to 5pt stakes, Early days but so far so good :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 14, 2008 Author Share Posted March 14, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail I couldnt get on to post last night, but there were no picks anyway thanks to the Uefa cup action. No picks either for Friday. Will be back later with any picks for the upcoming weekend :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 14, 2008 Author Share Posted March 14, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Saturday 15th March 5 pts - Heracles @ 2.80 (Expekt) 5 pts - Lyon @ 2.2 (SportingOdds) 5 pts - Real Madrid @ 2.15 (VCBet) :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 15, 2008 Author Share Posted March 15, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Lyon got the job done :dude Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 15, 2008 Author Share Posted March 15, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Sunday 16th March 5 pts - Marseille @ 3.00 (StanJames) 5 pts - PSV Eindhoven @ 2.00 (StanJames) 5 pts - Benfica @ 2.07 (Canbet) 5 pts - Vitoria Setubal @ 2.80 (Bet365) 5 pts - Everton @ 2.15 (Canbet) :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 16, 2008 Author Share Posted March 16, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Losing day yesterday when both late plays failed to win tricky games. Will be back to update the bank etc after todays carnage. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 16, 2008 Author Share Posted March 16, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Another shocking day at the office :unsure No picks for Monday, i'll be back with a bank update tomorrow afternoon :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bunnychaser Posted March 17, 2008 Share Posted March 17, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail keep it up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 17, 2008 Author Share Posted March 17, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Saturday 15th March 5 pts - Heracles @ 2.80 (Expekt) Drew 0-0 :$ 5 pts - Lyon @ 2.2 (SportingOdds) Won 3-0 :D 5 pts - Real Madrid @ 2.15 (VCBet) Lost 1-0 :$ :hope Not a great Saturday, I hate it when systems throw out picks i wouldnt normally spit at :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Stuart Posted March 17, 2008 Author Share Posted March 17, 2008 Re: Statto ratings - Paper trail Sunday 16th March 5 pts - Marseille @ 3.00 (StanJames) Drew 3-3 :eyes 5 pts - PSV Eindhoven @ 2.00 (StanJames) Drew 1-1 :eyes 5 pts - Benfica @ 2.07 (Canbet) Drew 1-1 :eyes 5 pts - Vitoria Setubal @ 2.80 (Bet365) Lost 2-1 :eyes 5 pts - Everton @ 2.15 (Canbet) Lost 1-0 :eyes :hope How'd you like a perfect goose egg from 5 on Sunday :wall:wall 6 winners from 15 so far, -9% Yield and a 6.5pt loss to 5pt stakes :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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