puntyboy Posted February 16, 2008 Share Posted February 16, 2008 Been posting this a bit in the soccer bets but it was recommended to me to start a thread in Systems and Strategies. Its very basic and simplistic strategy when backing soccer teams. My system is to only back home teams that won last time at home V away sides who lost last time away from home. I will only concentrate on English Premier, Championship, and League 1 as well as Serie A and Spanish League. So far the results have been fairly encouraging. AC Milan V Siena WON 1/3 Sampdoria V Napoli WON 5/6 Chelsea V Liverpool Draw Blackpool V Wolves Draw Bristol Rovers V Oldham WON 5/6 Hartlepool V Port Vale.... WON 8/11 The home team must be favourite for them to qualify for an accum although I will back singles with outsiders. This week once again there are only a few games in England satisfing my criteria Cheltenham V Hartlepool 13/10 Oldham V Yeovil EVS Forest V Swindon . 7/10 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses For interest sake im gonna do a 100pt starting bank and strike rate... 6 bets advised Strike rate 66.66% 100 pt Bank to 1pt win per team : 100.68 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted February 16, 2008 Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Good luck with your system, Puntyboy :ok I don´t think you´re allowed to "claim" the 6 previous bets unless, of course, you posted them on another thread before kick-off ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Yes their posted....in Midweek Bets : Feb 12-14 & Weekend Bets : Feb 8-11 :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Cheltenham V Hartlepool Drew 13/10 Oldham V Yeovil WON EVS Forest V Swindon WON 7/10 9 bets in and im still looking for one of my teams to be beaten! 3 up would have been nice though.......:( 9 bets advised Strike rate 66.66% 100 pt Bank to 1pt win per team : 101.38 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 16, 2008 Author Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Only 3 matches again from the selected leagues tomorrow: Genoa V Sampdoria 13/8 Palermo V Cagliari 5/6 Napoli V Empoli 8/11 Gonna stake 3 1pt wins, 3 1pt doubles and 1pt treble :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted February 16, 2008 Share Posted February 16, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses :okGood luck Puntyboy, looking very promising so far! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 18, 2008 Author Share Posted February 18, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Pretty poor day, suffering my 1st 2 defeats.... maybe il concentrate more on just english soccer as Continental can be very dodgy..... Worst day so far but only would have lost 1.16 pts if backing singles. Genoa V Sampdoria 13/8 LOST Palermo V Cagliari 5/6 WON Napoli V Empoli 8/11 LOST Strike Rate 58.33%......7/12 Balance of 100pt starting bank to 1pt singles 100.21pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 18, 2008 Author Share Posted February 18, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Bristol City fit my bill on monday night so gonna put up another home win.. Bristol City V Crystal Palace 6/5......:hope Might even have a large wager on this one myself.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliando Posted February 18, 2008 Share Posted February 18, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses good luck mate! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 19, 2008 Author Share Posted February 19, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Bristol City V Crystal Palace 65 Drew Gah... horrible...really thought this one was a good thing...... Anyhoo... Strike Rate 7/13.....53.8% Balance of 100pt starting bank to 1pt singles..... 99.21 pts Great start but goin crap now...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 19, 2008 Author Share Posted February 19, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses HUddersfield V Millwall 5/6 Only one game tonight suits...... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 20, 2008 Author Share Posted February 20, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Huddersfield V Millwall 5/6 WIN :ok Good result to get me back to winnin ways.... Strike Rate 8/14.....57.1% Balance of 100pt starting bank to 1pt singles..... 100.04 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 22, 2008 Author Share Posted February 22, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Couple of games friday night and I fancy both of them so here goes.... Hartlepool V Northampton.... 11/10 Swansea V Luton..... 3/10 Iv 6 matches coming up on Saturday but unsure which ones im gonna go with yet but they will all be here for Saturday mornin..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 22, 2008 Author Share Posted February 22, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Oh and thanks glex, aliando & bedlam for the well wishes and to anyone else who does!!! :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 23, 2008 Author Share Posted February 23, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Hartlepool V Northampton.... 11/10 LOST Swansea V Luton..... 3/10 WON Strike rate...9/16...56.2% Balance of 100pt starting bank to 1 pt singles...99.34 pts Ok its becoming pretty clear at this stage where im being let down... Regardless of Northampton losing L.T.O away, why in my right mind would I fancy them to get beat after a 4-0 win last time they played! Time to throw a few more nuts and bolts into my criteria... So the new criteria...... 1. Home team must have won last time out at home. 2. Away team must have lost last time out away. 3. Away team must not have won their previous match (i.e at home) If they drew thats fine, but I say whats the point in backing against a team that might be on the start of a winning streak. I know this will probably cut odds dramatically but who cares if my win percentage goes up! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 23, 2008 Author Share Posted February 23, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Using my old criteria id have 6 matches today, but with my new criteria im down to 3. (Possibly posted all over UK & Irish football forum by others but what the hey!) Saturday 23 February Norwich V Barnsley 10/11 :hope Watford V Preston 8/13 :hope Millwall V Port Vale 4/6 :hope GL all and hope I earn anybody following this plenty of bookies money! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 23, 2008 Author Share Posted February 23, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Norwich V Barnsley 10/11 WON :clap Watford V Preston 8/13 DREW:wall Millwall V Port Vale 4/6 WON :clap This is becoming really frustrating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 23, 2008 Author Share Posted February 23, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Strike rate...11/19... 57.8% Balance of 100pt starting bank to 1 pt singles...99.90 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 24, 2008 Author Share Posted February 24, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Only one game on sunday to suit..... Empoli V Catania 11/10 Empoli in great form winning last two, beating Napoli away in last game (in which I tipped Napoli :$ )Catania lost last 3 and in freefall. Hope this one comes off cos im lumpin on!!! Not using that crossed fingers smiley cos it brings me bad luck methinks! so.......:drums Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 25, 2008 Author Share Posted February 25, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Empoli V Catania 11/10 WIN :clap Pretty convincing 2-0 win here..... Strike Rate...12/20.....60% Balance of 100pt starting bank to 1pt singles...101.00pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 26, 2008 Author Share Posted February 26, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Oldham V Swindon EVS One game for me tonight.... Lets keep those winners coming! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scukit Posted February 29, 2008 Share Posted February 29, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses best of luck mate Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 29, 2008 Author Share Posted February 29, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Oldham V Swindon EVS..... Drew :sad Back to square one! Balance of 100pt starting bank to 1 pt singles..100.00pts Strike Rate...12/21....57.1% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted February 29, 2008 Author Share Posted February 29, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Three games for me tomorrow, Saturdays seem to go well making a profit for this system but one team always seems to bloody draw letting me down for my trebles etc..... Anyway for Tomorrow iv got 3 matches... Middlesbrough V Reading 5/6 Millwall V Bristol Rovers 5/4 Tranmere V Doncaster 6/5 All Prices are taken from Paddy Power for convienience. Iv actually another team fired in with these for an accum and x trebles but I dont wanna put em in here cos the dont suit my criteria. Anyway here's hoping for a full house tomorrow. :drums Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WHUPUNTER Posted February 29, 2008 Share Posted February 29, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Good luck with these mate, ive had a small stake treble. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted March 3, 2008 Author Share Posted March 3, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Middlesbrough V Reading 5/6 LOST Millwall V Bristol Rovers 5/4 LOST Tranmere V Doncaster 6/5 LOST Well that was a complete and utter disaster.... Apologies to anyone who might have followed this crap... :$ Balance of 100pt starting bank to 1pt singles....97.0pts Strike Rate 12/24 .....50% :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted March 4, 2008 Author Share Posted March 4, 2008 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Darlington V Chester...1/2 Blackpool V Barnsley....8/11 I know prices are crappy enough but two matches for the thread tonight. Here's hoping for a lot better result than the weekend.:unsure Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted January 21, 2009 Author Share Posted January 21, 2009 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses Dont quite know why I abandoned this last year, exams or something got in the way, for those who forget the criteria : 1. Home team must have won last time out at home. 2. Away team must have lost last time out away. 3. Away team must not have won their previous match (i.e at home) Fairly simplisic but just for fun! Be back with my selections soon.....:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
puntyboy Posted January 21, 2009 Author Share Posted January 21, 2009 Re: Soccer - Home Wins V Away Losses <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /> Scunthorpe V Leyton Orient 1/2<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /> Villareal V Osasuna 2/5 Juventus V Fiorentina 4/6 Their my matches for Saturday as im only following, Premier, championship, league 1 , serie a and Primera Division. Prices arnt great but their the only 3 that fall into my category. Heres hoping to winning return...:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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