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Southwell 5/2/08


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Re: Southwell 5/2/08 Goin to the casino tonight and hopin i wont be up too early in the mornin, so goin through the form at southwell tomorrow for the last 2 hours and here are my picks for the handicaps. 3.40 Southwell….. Wessex

Back to a mark of 86 and he last won of 87. Course and distance will suit (he was headed in the last furlong over 7f lto), has good recent form and trainer form is ok too.

4.10 Southwell…..Black Falcon EW

I think calculating, three boars and bentley brook are too high in the weights. IMO the course and distance will suit black falcon, and I wouldn’t worry too much about the break because he ran three boars within a length coming back from a break of 3 months last march. In that race he was 2nd off 69 and hes running off 70 today. However the 3 others have gone up more and I believe he has a good chance. My main danger could be Petrosian but my doubts about him are the distance and his lay off.

4.40 Southwell….Wild Bill Tracey

Orpens Art will go off favourite for this race but a bit like Egyptian lord yesterday he was beaten off this mark LTO so why cant he be beaten again? My fancy here is wild bill tracey who will appreciate the course and distance, He was only beaten half a length lto off 63 and today he runs off 60 which should give him a right chance. Chris Caitlin up is also a plus.

:hope

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