Wolverhampton Sunday 20th Jan....My thoughts (join in if you so wish).......

[Falbrav]

.........off to Dunstall Park then, and let's see if/what we can make..... Morning. Sunday upon us once again then, and only one meeting to work around, but here goes... 2.50 Wolverhampton. BOLD DIVA (3.05) She's hit form recently with winning her last two races (both handicaps), and that bare form would give her claims of going well again in context with today's race. The trip and surface wouldn't be of any concerns, and although the weights demand she needs at least a repeat of her recent best, she has conditions to suit and would be in form, so no reason why she shouldn't run her race, therefore every chance of the hat-trick. The opposition brings in "Weet-from-the-chaff" , "Regal Veil" , "Fulford" and "Wynberg" as the main dangers, and although all have their differences and several points between them within the early market, they all bring the same sort of chance to the race in my opinion, and that would be place claims. So all have their chances and all ensure this favourite has no room for error, so let's hope one or two of them can get the race run to suit, find their bests, then cause the favourite plenty of unrest. You could argue that recent form gives the favourite the edge, but the weights level that out, so let's hope one or two of these main dangers can find that best and cause plenty of unrest for the favourite. "Liani" , "Andrasta" and "Little Finch" make up the line up and need more than expected, so we couldn't be confident in them finding enough to get the job done for us, but saying that they wouldn't be a million miles off what's needed, so we'll just hope they can find their bests and then the principals under achieve a little, then they can get more involved and cause unrest. Couldn't ever be confident in that, but all possible. We have "Bold Diva" in at 21/10 (3.1) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 2.8 or under, we'll go in for a lay. 3.20 Wolverhampton. QAASI (2.64) He dropped out of handicap company on his return from a break, and that has appeared to be the right move with him being two from two since his return, and his recent form in context with today's race would give him every chance of the hat-trick. The trip and surface would be fine, but if there's an angle in for layers, it's the weights! they do ensure this favourite needs to be at least at his recent best, if of course certain others run their races, so no room for error, but does have conditions to suit and in good recent form, therefore every chance of the hat-trick. The opposition brings in "Mujamead" and "Slavonic Lake" as the main dangers, and both come into the race in decent form, and both have the form to make this favourite work hard, therefore both bits of ammo for layers. You could argue that the favourite would have the more solid looking profile, but there's really not much in this between the trio on bare form and weights combined, so let's hope both these main dangers run their races and cause the favourite plenty of unrest. The remainder would need degrees of extra and need to surprise, so couldn't be confident in any of them, but maybe the likes of "The Mighty Ogmore" and "Jenny Soba" can run their hearts out and then take advantage of any chinks that may appear within the principal's armoury. Barring that they need to surprise us. We have "Qaasi" in at 2/1 (3.0) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 2.7 or under. 3.50 Wolverhampton. BLUE EYED ELOISE (3.15) She's yet to win after eight lifetime starts, but her latest effort would be good enough to give her every chance in context with today's race, so with no trip and surface worries, she's have every chance of that first win. She should get the race run to suit too, so although she's yet to prove she can actually go and win a race, she'd have the chance to do so today. The opposition brings in "Last Chance Dance" and "Orama's Ghost" as the main dangers, and both bring enough bare form to the race to ensure this favourite has no room for error, therefore bits of ammo for layers. Both have differing race make ups and need the race run to suit to score here, but if either of them get that, then no reason why they shouldn't make this favourite work hard. Both are also open to a shade of improvement to be fair, so let's hope they're on their games today. "Beech Games" would be clear next best, and to be fair there's not much between him and the main principals on the bare form of things, but he's yet to win after eighteen attempts and wouldn't appear the most battle hardened horse in training, therefore always vulnerable to a more tougher runner, and more unexposed runner. Should run his race though, and maybe he can cash in 'if' the others falter around him, but as it stands needs to run to his best and find more battling qualities. The remainder would all need degrees of extra and need to surprise, so couldn't be confident in any of them, but "West End Lad" looks the more likely to cause a surprise if there's to be one, as obviously needs that bit more than expected and has slight questions to answer, but if finding things to his liking and seeing chinks in the principal's armoury, then no reason why he shouldn't get a bit closer and cause a bit of unrest. So needs more than expected, but not totally out of this. The others would simply need to find more than expected, so a case of fingers crossed concerning those. We have "Blue Eyed Eloise" in at 12/5 (3.4) and so no bets can be advised at current odds. If we see 3.1 or under, we'd go in for a lay. 4.20 Wolverhampton. GLENRIDDING (3.15) He's been in good form recently and form that's good enough to see him go well again in context with this race today. The trip and surface wouldn't be a worry, and he'd also be open to a shade more improvement, so despite the weights demanding at least a repeat of his recent best, he's got conditions to suit and would be open to a shade more improvement, therefore every chance of another win. Traders be aware that he ha a tendency to lead, or race very prominent. The opposition brings in "He's Mine Too" , "Alfie Tupper" and "Rigat" as the main dangers, and although all have their differences, they all being enough to the race to ensure this favourite has no room at all for error, so all bits of ammo for layers as it stands. However, although they have every chance as it stands, they'd also be vulnerable to the favourite's potential improvement, therefore they'd not want to let him have all his own way up front if he decided to take them along, so let's hope the jockeys on these main dangers are wise to the events around them. Every chance as it stands though, so let's hope they run to their bests and cause the favourite plenty of grief. "Schelm" and "Rising Force" would be next best in and make up the line up, and although you could argue that the former has the slightly better chance, there's not too much between them after all said and done, and both would still need to find that bit extra than expected on the book. So couldn't be confident in either of them, but if they can find their bests and the main protagonists do not, then they do have enough about them to get involved and cause unrest. We have "Glenridding" in at 5/2 (3.5) and so a LAY is the call at current odds. We'd lay up to 3.2 or under. All races priced up with non runners taken into account, up until 10:01am. So that's what we have to work on for this afternoon then, as we take our satchels to Dunstall Park!!. No play for 5 runner strategists, but 4 runner players will have a go, and although there's no room at all for any error early, we still have enough within our armoury to go into battle, so discipline to the fore and take advantage of any prices that come our way. Good luck and speak in the morning.. Marc. :ok

[Falbrav]

Re: Wolverhampton Sunday 20th Jan....My thoughts (join in if you so wish)....... Going ok..