LAY OF THE DAY ~ Fri 9th Nov...

[Falbrav]

Schinken Otto 2.50 Hexham. At the weights would have decent win claims, but not as good over hurdles than fences and looks vulnerable again this afternoon. I'm sure they keep popping him over hurdles every now and then to take advantage of a much lower mark, but he continues to not show his chase form over hurdles, therefore should again struggle this afternoon. Has only place once (3rd) in 10 hurdles attempts, and I see nothing in his hurdling form that tells me he can win today, so 'm sure all backers are 'hoping' he can find his chase form of which he hasn't before over hurdles. No trip and ground worried, so it's there for him if he wants it, but for my money needs to improve too much on his hurdling form to be considered for this race. Should be 12/1+ on hurdling form alone, therefore can only be opposed at a current 5.3 (betfair) irrespective of the end result. Can win, but just cannot be backed at such short odds with looking at his hurdling form with several live dangers.

[jackg99]

Re: LAY OF THE DAY ~ Fri 9th Nov... 21.10 Dundalk rouvres Girl 4.00 In Place Market Form Taken A Slight Dip And Bred For Shorter Distances