cavello Posted December 2, 2007 Author Share Posted December 2, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Small E/W bet based mainly on figures. 2.50 Leicester HORSEBF PRICE PLACEBF WIN PRICEBOOKIES ODDS6/5POTENTIAL RETURNSymbiosis2.809.009.00107.14 Decent form in the past for another trainer and note went off at 5/1 in novice race recently when hampered early but did lead till 3 out. :hope for an improved effort. Not one for a big bet but still appears to offer a degree of value. 1 pt E/W Symbiosis @8/1 with BetFred:hope Fell when likely to place:wall Loss on Day = -2 pts Profit to Date = 57.79 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 7, 2007 Author Share Posted December 7, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 7.55 Wolverhampton Based on figures HORSEBF PRICE PLACEBF WIN PRICEBOOKIES ODDS8+POTENTIAL RETURNCEKA DANCER1.433.703.75109.86 2 pts E/W Ceka Dancer @11/4 BetFred Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 7, 2007 Author Share Posted December 7, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 7.55 Wolverhampton Based on figures HORSEBF PRICE PLACEBF WIN PRICEBOOKIES ODDS8+POTENTIAL RETURNCEKA DANCER1.433.703.75109.86 2 pts E/W Ceka Dancer @11/4 BetFred 2nd Loss on Bet = -0.9 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 8, 2007 Author Share Posted December 8, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 With a very short price favourite the 1.30 long distance hurdle race on heavy going looks to offer some E/W value (IMO) and:hope a chance of a surprise. Both selection appear to love heavy going are in reasonable form and hopefully can at worse run into a place up the stiff Sandown hill. Insignia 1 pt E/W @33/1 with BoylesSport:hope Love heavy conditions Arafan 1 pt E/W @16/1 with Bet365(BOG):hope Handicapped on beat the "nd favourite here plus IMO the condition will suit better. Others may appear later but concerned about runners being withdrawn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 8, 2007 Author Share Posted December 8, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Price gone at BoylesSport while posting , so will change to Insignia 1 pt E/W @25/1 with Bet365.:hope P.S. I'm on at 33/1:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 8, 2007 Author Share Posted December 8, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Tingle Creek 2.35 Sandown 2 pts E/W Monets Garden @11/4 with Bet365:hope 1 pt e/w Ashley Brook @6/1 with Bet365:hope Both proven top class and very close to the fav on all know form. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 8, 2007 Author Share Posted December 8, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Price gone at BoylesSport while posting , so will change to Insignia 1 pt E/W @25/1 with Bet365.:hope P.S. I'm on at 33/1:ok Unplaced loss on Bet = -2 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 8, 2007 Author Share Posted December 8, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Tingle Creek 2.35 Sandown 2 pts E/W Monets Garden @11/4 with Bet365:hope 1 pt e/w Ashley Brook @6/1 with Bet365:hope Both proven top class and very close to the fav on all know form. 3rD and unplaced loss on Bet = -2.6 pts Arafan 2nd @16/1 proft on Bet = 3 pts Loss on Bet Today = -1.6 pts. P.S. I hope everyone following me also backed my E/W doubles on another thread to ensure yet another winning racing day.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 8, 2007 Author Share Posted December 8, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Profit to Date = 55.29 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 8, 2007 Author Share Posted December 8, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Hong Kong Sprint 6.00 Sunday morning Absolute Champion 2 pts E/W @8/1:hope Won this last season and with a good draw should make a bold bid to retain title:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 9, 2007 Author Share Posted December 9, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Hong Kong Sprint 6.00 Sunday morning Absolute Champion 2 pts E/W @8/1:hope Won this last season and with a good draw should make a bold bid to retain title:hope 2nd Profit on Bet = +1.2 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 9, 2007 Author Share Posted December 9, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.10 Warwick Helen Wood 2 pts E/W @4/1 with SportingBet. Not rated too inferior to the favourite over hurdles this leggy filly may be able to take advantage of the weight concession. Can act on a soft surface so:hope she can jump. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 9, 2007 Author Share Posted December 9, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.20 Kelso Karlani 2 pts E/W @ 6/1 with Blue Square.:hope Suited by soft going and after first hurdle race now got the blinkers back on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 9, 2007 Author Share Posted December 9, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.10 Warwick Helen Wood 2 pts E/W @4/1 with SportingBet. Not rated too inferior to the favourite over hurdles this leggy filly may be able to take advantage of the weight concession. Can act on a soft surface so:hope she can jump. 2nd loss on bet = -0.4 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 9, 2007 Author Share Posted December 9, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 3.20 Kelso Karlani 2 pts E/W @ 6/1 with Blue Square.:hope Suited by soft going and after first hurdle race now got the blinkers back on. Unplaced loss on bet = -4 pts:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 9, 2007 Author Share Posted December 9, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Profit to Date = 52.09 pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 15, 2007 Author Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 12.20 Cheltenham HORSEBF PRICE PLACEBF WIN PRICEBOOKIES ODDS8+POTENTIAL RETURNHARPER VALLEY2.3511.0010.00108.32 Harper Valley ran well in a Grade 3 hurdle race in Ireland LTO and today wears blinkers for the first time. Collateral formlines are not good in relation to the odds-on favourite. But the bllinkers and the engagement of McCoy may just be an indication of an improve effort today Certianly the selection was a better flat horse then then the favourite so:hope for today. 2 pts E/W Harper Valley @9/1 with BetDirect:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 15, 2007 Author Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.05 Southwell Maslak 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Sportingbet:hope Rated similiar to favourite on flat. Able to act on soft so hopeful will act on fibresand:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 15, 2007 Author Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 12.20 Cheltenham HORSEBF PRICE PLACEBF WIN PRICEBOOKIES ODDS8+POTENTIAL RETURNHARPER VALLEY2.3511.0010.00108.32 Harper Valley ran well in a Grade 3 hurdle race in Ireland LTO and today wears blinkers for the first time. Collateral formlines are not good in relation to the odds-on favourite. But the bllinkers and the engagement of McCoy may just be an indication of an improve effort today Certianly the selection was a better flat horse then then the favourite so:hope for today. 2 pts E/W Harper Valley @9/1 with BetDirect:hope :clap:clap Profit on Bet = 21,6 pts:clap:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john_lovell Posted December 15, 2007 Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Well done mate :) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 15, 2007 Author Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.05 Southwell Maslak 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Sportingbet:hope Rated similiar to favourite on flat. Able to act on soft so hopeful will act on fibresand:hope :clap:clap Profit on Bet = 10 pts :clap:clap :nana:nanaForza Del Cavello:nana:nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JB1979 Posted December 15, 2007 Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 outstanding! Thanks cavelloman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spithas Posted December 15, 2007 Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 thank you again :clap :clap :clap :clap :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 15, 2007 Author Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Profit to Date = 83.69 pts.*:ok *Those who also followed my E/W Bets in my summer thread have now made 218.74 pts since June.:clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mileni4uk Posted December 15, 2007 Share Posted December 15, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Good going, mate :clap I always forget about your threads, because they are in the systems section, but nevermind. I'm happy to see you continue with your dsicipline and style of betting that makes you such a good profit. Well done :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 16, 2007 Author Share Posted December 16, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 12.50 Naven 4 pts E/W Sweet Kiln @11/10 with Bet365(BOG):hope 1 pt E/W Earth Magic @14/1 with Blue Square:hope HORSEBF PRICE PLACEBF WIN PRICEBOOKIES ODDS8+POTENTIAL RETURNSWEET KILN1.122.002.10114.38EARTH MAGIC2.8018.0015.00113.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 16, 2007 Author Share Posted December 16, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Bollox one just withdrawn.:wall Will stand by bets for record purposes because they have been placed and posted.:hope But if reading this please ignore E/W advice now.:\ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 16, 2007 Author Share Posted December 16, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 12.50 Naven 4 pts E/W Sweet Kiln @11/10 with Bet365(BOG):hope 1 pt E/W Earth Magic @14/1 with Blue Square:hope HORSEBF PRICE PLACEBF WIN PRICEBOOKIES ODDS8+POTENTIAL RETURNSWEET KILN1.122.002.10114.38EARTH MAGIC2.8018.0015.00113.10 2nd and unplaced. Loss on bet = -4.9 pts Profit to Date = 78.79:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 22, 2007 Author Share Posted December 22, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 Next week may offer some good opportunties with plenty of novice races and other non-handicaps. Lets try to end the year on a up.:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cavello Posted December 23, 2007 Author Share Posted December 23, 2007 Re: Cavelloman's Winter E/W Value Bets 2007/8 1.35 Thurles. In this race the 2nd favourite Holly Tree appears to have no chance. But if we dig a little deeper a case can be found for him. Beaten 28l by the today's favourite on his first hurdle race for some time after a stint at chasing. In this race dropped out after making a mistake before running on late. Was pretty good last season and placed in listed+ standard races. Today blinkers are fitted for the first time and if returning to last season's level of form could go very close here 1 pt E/W Holly Tree @7/1 with Sportingbet:hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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