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Serie Beeeeeee, i love you


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Over the summer months i back tested a system which i used last season to predict Home wins in certain leagues where the home team was no more than 5 league positions lower than their opponents. The back testing proved very inconclusive except for one league, the Serie B in Italy. The results of back testing for four seasons were, Season Wins/Selections 2003/04 12/22 2004/05 8/14 2005/06 9/16 2006/07 10/14 A better than 50% strike rate with average win odds of 2.16. The extra selections for 2003/04 can be explained as the division had 24 teams in it rather than 22. Obviously with only an average of 15 selections per season you are not going to become a millionaire, but i will run with this system throughout this season to see if makes a profit again. Need to wait until 8 games have been played so there won't be any selections for this weekend. Selection criteria is based on league position, last 6 games, last 4 homes & aways and the opening odds. Still to decide on a staking plan, but will let you know before the first bet is placed. :hope

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