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Bookings and Cards Season 2


davidc

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Going to run this system for this season and fingers crossed it will produce a profit again. Rules as laid out below: OVER BETS: Only use referees with average cards points average of 8.0 or better. One team must have 4.0 or more booking points average. Other team must be in top 10 team bookings index. Bet on over cards or over total points or lay under points at Betfair. Only use referees who have officiated in 5 or more games. UNDER BETS: Only use referees with average cards points average of 7 or less. One team must have less than 3.0 booking points average. Other team must be in bottom 10 team bookings index. Bet on under cards or under total points or lay over points at Betfair. Only use referees who have officiated in 5 or more games. For reference purposes I will be using: Team Card Totals - http://www.covers.co.uk/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/england/premierleague/statistics/2007-2008/team_discipline_points.html Referees Card Totals - http://www.covers.co.uk/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/england/premierleague/statistics/2007-2008/team_discipline_points.html Referees Rota - http://www.bettingzone.co.uk/footbal...al_105022.html I was unable to find a satisfactory site for both the above totals stats so I have used these two and then converted the stats based on 2 points for a yellow and 5 points for a red, which is the formula that Betfair use. As far as I am aware most bookies and exchanges only quote a bookings index on live games (Bet365 are an exception), so there may not be that many bets available. Starting bank will be 1000 points and bet stakes will be variable (depending on how much I can get on) but will normally be 50 points, although lays may go 1 or 2 pence over this. Updated stats will be posted regularly.

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