Horses for Courses

[ZuluWarrior]

Ok, Been looking at horses with course wins for a little while now, and am gonna trail a fairly simple system... The main criteria is that all selections must have at lease 1 course win. The selections are then filtered on Last Time Out statistics. The final selection criteria is a price of 5/1 (6.00) or less. If there are 2 qualifiers for a race, there is a formula to determin the pick, if there are likely to be 2 qualifiers I will list the selection. All results will be calculated at Starting Price. Because Odds are a selection criteria also, the Early Prices available at around 1pm ( I will be using Bet365) will be used to make the selections. If there is a risk of 2 selections, due to odds changing and market moves (ie, if there is one selection @ 5/2 and one at 13/2 and shortening) I will list both selections and indicate the selection to take, should both qualify. All bets are 2pt^Edit WIN only bets. Starting bank of 100pts should surfice... PAPER TRAIL This is just a trail, I'm putting VERY small stakes on for interest, but I don't recommend following until there is some trail. There can be quite a few selections in a day, and the system can fluctuate from day to day, but initial results are promising. Yesturdays selections (made with SP odds) yeilded an ROI of +29.90% (+2.99pts @ 1pt win [10 selections]) I haven't run it for Thursday 26th, but the 25th yeilded an ROI of +37.88% (+3.03pts @ 1pt win [8 selections]) Lets see what happens.... EDIT - The system selection process and the odds to take have changed, see here: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/showthread.php?p=856910#post856910 Now all selections under 10/1 EP will be listed, and those with an SP of under 11/2 are to be backed.

[ZuluWarrior]

Re: Horses for Courses PAPER TRAIL - BEWARE 28/7/2007 15:25 Newcastle - Hartshead (5/1 EP) 16:35 Newcastle - Royal Flyn (7/2 EP) 16:30 York - Kayf Aramis (11/4 EP) 18:40 Salisbury - Magic Mountain (5/4 EP) 20:10 Salisbury - Rehearsed (9/4 EP) 20:40 Salisbury - Our Faye (9/4 EP) 19:20 Leopardstown - Liscanna (9/2 EP) 19:50 Leopardstown - Fracas (4/5 EP) All bets are 1pt WIN Total (Today) Stake: 8.00pts (8.00pts) Return: 0.00pts (8 Outstanding) Profit/Loss: -8.00pts (8 Outstanding) Bank: 92.00pts (8 Outstanding)