LAY of the day 23/07/07

[mowgli77]

LAY of the day in here :)

[Falbrav]

Re: LAY of the day 23/07/07 Thornaby Green 3.15 Ayr. ( currently 4.9 betfair ) Won well last time on heavy ground, and the bare form of that run would be good enough for this race. However! it's not heavy ground today and faster, so probably not ideal, and with having a weight that demands a repeat of his recent best, it doesn't look an easy task for him. I'm not really a stats man, but if you look at all his winning runs ( 5 of them before last time. 6 in total ) he's then performed below par next time out! so if continuing that stat then he'd have no chance today! So enough reasons to oppose and with several more than capable of going well, he'd be my lay of the day, irrespective of the end result.